The decrease in crime is related to the prior increase in abortions - fewer potential criminals being born. source: Ian Ayres, _Super Crunchers_ (2008), p. 13, citing to Steven D. Levitt and Stephen J. Dubner, _Freakonomics.

_Susan Freiman_
_
Volokh, Eugene wrote:
Folks: Just a quick plug from the list custodian for maximum accuracy. If you want to cite a statistic, please check it and cite the source (plus see whether the big picture is more complex than you describe). For instance, a quick visit to the Bureau of Justice Statistics site (http://bjsdata.ojp.usdoj.gov/dataonline/Search/Crime/State/StatebyState.cfm) reveals that the crime rate as reported to the police rose from 160.9/100,000 in 1960 to 473.5/100,000 in 2006, a 200% increase (or a tripling) -- bad enough, but not 560%. (I realize that not all crimes are reported to the police, and the reporting rate changes over time, but I don't think the NCVS data goes back to the 1960; if you have better statistics, please let me know.) What's more, the current violent crime rate is pretty much at the 1974 level, and there was in fact a sharp decline from 1992 to 2003 -- not, I take it, because the nation or the educational system has somehow gotten less "atheistic." Now I'm perfectly happy to acknowledge that various forms of social pathology have increased since 1960 (while some have declined); and it's possible, though in my view unproven, that this has something to do with the decline of religion in public education. But I'd like to keep discussions on the list as accurate as possible, and a 560% increase is not the same as a 200% increase or even a 300% level; and a 1960-now comparison doesn't make such sense if the current numbers are at the 1974 level. So please let's check any statistics we mention, and provide citations when possible. Many thanks, Eugene Volokh

    ------------------------------------------------------------------------
    *From:* [EMAIL PROTECTED]
    [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] *On Behalf Of *Ed Darrell
    *Sent:* Tuesday, July 22, 2008 1:52 PM
    *To:* [EMAIL PROTECTED]; Law & Religion issues for Law Academics
    *Subject:* RE: Bible class rules set for Texas schools - Faith-
    msnbc.com

    Yet leading cultural indicators show that since 1960 in America,
    violent crime has increased by 560 percent, illegitimate birth
    rates have increased more than 400 percent, teen suicide is up
    over 200 percent, the divorce rate has more than doubled, and the
    percentage of families headed by a single parent has more than
    tripled.

    It seems to me, thanks to courts and judges that enforce state
    atheism and Ed's social experiment upon our families and children,
    by taking Bibles and prayer OUT of public schools, that...

    And that's with increased Bible instruction that violates the
    law.  Ed Brayton is right to worry -- looks like more of the same,
    maybe at an increased rate.

    Why not study what it really says, study the real literature
    components (as with every AP English course), the real effects on
    history (as with every AP U.S. History and AP World History
    course)?  Tougher academics can help -- Sunday school in the
    public schools is, by Chaplian Klingenschmitt's tally, a grotesque
failure, doing the opposite of what it is intended.
    More seriously, pay very careful attention to Mark Chancey's
    comments.  He's a very distinguished, and faithful, Bible
    scholar.  What the Texas State School Board is working to
    implement is contrary to most Christian faiths, let alone the
    Constitution.  Incompetence, weak academics, bad religion -- it's
    a bad brew.  When the state board ignores the state's leading
    Bible scholars, the state's teachers and teacher organizations,
    and even the sponsor of the Bill, there's evil afoot.

    And when we try to increase the AP offerings, which feature
    increased study of both Christianity and the Bible, these same
    people complain.

    Something's rotten in Texas.  There's prayer in the schools, but
    sadly, that's all the students have.  No wonder crime, illicit sex
    are up, and academic achievement is down.  The kids are following
    the State School Board's examples, ignoring all authority, making
    their own, unanchored moral decisions, ignoring the best
information, etc.
    By the way, I don't think the divorce rate has doubled.  I think
    it's dropping, in fact. Anybody got a current statistic?

    Ed Darrell
    Working in Dallas to get the curriculum planned out for 2008-2009,
    no thanks to the State School Board

    */Gordon James Klingenschmitt <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>/* wrote:

        Ed writes about teaching about the Bible (as an optional
        elective) in public schools, "the result is going to be very
ugly and very expensive."
        Yet leading cultural indicators show that since 1960 in
        America, violent crime has increased by 560 percent,
        illegitimate birth rates have increased more than 400 percent,
        teen suicide is up over 200 percent, the divorce rate has more
        than doubled, and the percentage of families headed by a
        single parent has more than tripled.

        It seems to me, thanks to courts and judges that enforce state
        atheism and Ed's social experiment upon our families and
        children, by taking Bibles and prayer OUT of public schools,
        that...

"the result has already been very ugly and very expensive."
        In Jesus name,
        Chaplain Gordon James Klingenschmitt



        */Charles Haynes <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>/* wrote:

            I agree that much more guidance is needed (along the lines
            suggested in the consensus guidelines we issued in 2000 --
            "The Bible and Public Schools: A First Amendment Guide"
            http://www.firstamendmentcenter.org/about.aspx?id=6261.
            What puzzles me, however, is why the State Board fails to
            mention the requirements for training as outlined in
            Section 21.549 of the Texas "Bible Bill." Perhaps that is
            the next step... but there is no mention of it in the the
            board's decision this week.
            If the training requirements mandated by the bill are
            followed, then many of the problems might be avoided...
            But with groups out there pushing unconstitutional Bible
            materials (such as those at issue in the recently-settled
            lawsuit in Odessa) it will be difficult to monitor what is
            going on across the state. Charles Haynes


            21.459. BIBLE COURSE TRAINING. (a) The commissioner

            shall develop and make available training materials and other

            teacher training resources for a school district to use in

            assisting teachers of elective Bible courses in developing:

            (1) expertise in the appropriate Bible course

            curriculum;

            (2) understanding of applicable supreme court rulings

            and current constitutional law regarding how Bible courses
            are to

            be taught in public schools objectively as a part of a
            secular

            program of education;

            (3) understanding of how to present the Bible in an

            objective, academic manner that neither promotes nor
            disparages

            religion, nor is taught from a particular sectarian point
            of view;

            (4) proficiency in instructional approaches that

            present course material in a manner that respects all
            faiths and

            religious traditions, while favoring none; and

            (5) expertise in how to avoid devotional content or

            proselytizing in the classroom.

            (b) The commissioner shall develop materials and resources

            under this section in consultation with appropriate
            faculty members

            at institutions of higher education.

            (c) The commissioner shall make the training materials and

            other teacher training resources required under Subsection
            (a)

            available to Bible course teachers through access to
            in-service

            training.

            (d) The commissioner shall use funds appropriated for the

            purpose to administer this section.

            Charles Haynes
            The Freedom Forum First Amendment Center
            555 Pennsylvania Avenue, NW
            Washington, DC 20001
            202/292-6293 - office

            703/683-1924 home office

            ________________________________

            From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] on behalf of Ed
            Brayton
            Sent: Tue 7/22/2008 1:56 AM
            To: 'Law & Religion issues for Law Academics'
            Subject: RE: Bible class rules set for Texas schools -
            Faith- msnbc.com



            Having seen some of the material already at use in many
            Bible courses in
            Texas, I can only say that the State board of education is
            being incredibly
            irresponsible in not spelling out exactly what can and
            can't be taught in
            such classes. Local school districts are inevitably going
            to teach this
            course in constitutionally dubious ways without such
            guidance. Terri Leo
            claims that providing such guidelines might lead to a
            lawsuit; not providing
            them is going to lead to many such suits - and sooner
            rather than later.
            They are doing the same thing the Louisiana legislature is
            doing with the
            recent "academic freedom" legislation, inviting local
            schools into a "Dover
            trap." The result is going to be very ugly and very expensive.

            Ed Brayton

            -----Original Message-----
            From: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
            [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] On Behalf Of
            Gibbens, Daniel G.
            Sent: Monday, July 21, 2008 5:20 PM
            To: 'Law & Religion issues for Law Academics'
            Subject: RE: Bible class rules set for Texas schools -
            Faith- msnbc.com

            Justice Brennan's well-known statement, concurring in
            Schempp, 374 US at
            300: "teaching about the Bible" "in classes in literature
            or history" is
            permissible. As literature, surely teaching about the
            Bible is different
            from other literature items, distinctively involving the
            necessity of
            treating these issues:

            The fact that some people believe it (or some of it) is
            "the word of God" --
            others believe that it is essential to understanding their
            religion --
            others believe it is interesting literature but otherwise
            irrelevant -- and
            thinking internationally, it is one several books
            presenting similar issues,
            e.g., the Koran.

            Arguably, if teachers are not so advised/trained, there
            are indeed critical
            church-state issues.

            Dan
            Daniel G. Gibbens
            Regents' Professor of Law Emeritus
            University of Oklahoma


            -----Original Message-----
            From: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
            [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] On Behalf Of
            Joel Sogol
            Sent: Saturday, July 19, 2008 3:41 AM
            To: Religionlaw
            Subject: Bible class rules set for Texas schools - Faith-
            msnbc.com

            http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/25742567/

            Joel Sogol


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