Re: Great Sam Harris Interview

2006-04-17 Thread bemmzim
 
  
Which book was that? Just wondering. 
 
  Julia 

 
 
I am away from home. I will send you the name next weekend
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Re: Great Sam Harris Interview

2006-04-16 Thread Doug Pensinger

Dan wrote:


Obtaining the oil production data from

http://tonto.eia.doe.gov/dnav/pet/pet_sum_crdsnd_adc_mbbl_m.htm

and the crude oil prices from

http://inflationdata.com/inflation/Inflation_Rate/Historical_Oil_Prices_Tabl
e.asp


We get the following table:

 production
US imports total  price GDP   US Population
1970   9.6   1.3   11.0   $17.193.6   203
1971   9.5   1.7   11.1   $17.503.7   208
1972   9.4   2.2   11.7   $18.763.9   210
1973   9.2   3.2   12.5   $20.884.1   212
1974   8.8   3.5   12.3   $37.264.1   214
1975   8.4   4.1   12.5   $44.634.1   216
1976   8.1   5.3   13.4   $45.314.3   218
1977   8.2   6.6   14.9   $46.744.5   220
1978   8.7   6.4   15.1   $45.134.8   223
1979   8.6   6.5   15.1   $67.424.9   225
1980   8.6   5.3   13.9   $89.484.9   227
1981   8.6   4.4   13.0   $77.495.0   230
1982   8.6   3.5   12.1   $64.964.9   233
1983   8.7   3.3   12.0   $57.485.1   235
1984   8.9   3.4   12.3   $54.485.5   237
1985   9.0   3.2   12.2   $49.255.7   239
1986   8.7   4.2   12.9   $25.925.9   242
1987   8.3   4.7   13.0   $30.746.1   244
1988   8.1   5.1   13.2   $24.786.4   246
1989   7.6   5.8   13.5   $29.096.6   247
1990   7.4   5.9   13.2   $34.836.7   249
1991   7.4   5.8   13.2   $29.196.7   253
1992   7.2   6.1   13.3   $27.006.9   255
1993   6.8   6.8   13.6   $22.837.1   258
1994   6.7   7.1   13.7   $20.797.3   261
1995   6.6   7.2   13.8   $21.647.5   263
1996   6.5   7.5   14.0   $25.667.8   265
1997   6.5   8.2   14.7   $22.868.2   268
1998   6.3   8.7   15.0   $14.388.5   270
1999   5.9   8.7   14.6   $19.528.9   276
2000   5.8   9.1   14.9   $31.299.2   281
2001   5.8   9.3   15.1   $25.57  278
2002   5.7   9.1   14.9   $24.94
2003   5.7   9.7   15.3   $29.63
2004   5.4  10.1   15.5   $39.21
2005   5.1  10.1   15.2   $50.38 287


I got different numbers (though with similar trends) from the first site.  
I clicked on View History/2006 for each of the relevant quantities and 
then checked the annual button at the top of the chart.  So for 1970 I 
have 483,293 thousand barrels imported compared with your number: 1.3 
somethings imported.


In any case, using my numbers, I subtracted U.S. exports from imports to 
get consumption of domestic supplies and added that to imports to get 
total consumption.  To get per capita consumption I divided the total 
consumption in millions of barrels by population in millions. (see 
http://groups.yahoo.com/group/brin-l/files/, Oil Consumption Study or ask 
me to send the excel file)


What I see on the resulting charts is that 1) consumption increased at a 
rate of about a half barrel of oil per person in the years preceding 
Carter's speech and then declined at a rate of .8 barrel/person over the 
period 1977-1985 (the period previously discussed) the decline starting 
before the spike in prices.  Most interestingly, consumption declined from 
24.6 barrel/person at its peak in 1977 to 18.6 barrels per person in 1982 
and then averaged 19.1 barrels per person between 1982 and 2000!!!  That's 
lower than the 1969 consumption rate of 19.2 barrels/person.


Also noteworthy are the rates of import and export pre and post 1977.  One 
year prior to prices spiking domestic production increased slightly after 
seven years of steady decrease, and imports decreased slightly after 
steady increases over the same period.  This could be an anomaly, but I'll 
bet it isn't - I'll bet the policies enacted by Carter were beginning to 
take effect.


Finally, one of your arguments seems to be that consumption can't be 
curbed by conservation, but that higher prices _can_ curb consumption.  
But what are lower consumption rates compelled by high prices if not 
conservation?


--
Doug
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Re: Great Sam Harris Interview

2006-04-14 Thread maru dubshinki
On 4/11/06, Doug Pensinger [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 On Tue, 11 Apr 2006 08:33:08 -0700, Nick Arnett [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 wrote:

   Isn't it blindingly obvious that the bin Ladens of this world find
  followers because of the social and economic conditions where they
  recruit?

 No, that's not obvious at all.  I'm pretty sure that many of his recruits
 are middle/upper income types.  I would argue that it is the wealth of the
 region that stimulates terrorism and that if the Middle East was
 economically and politically irrelevant there would be no epidemic of
 terrorism.

 --
 Doug

Seconded. I remember reading the 9/11 report and interestedly looking
at the wealth statistics- predominately middle and upper class (bin
Laden himself being a good example).

~maru
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Re: Great Sam Harris Interview

2006-04-14 Thread maru dubshinki
On 4/12/06, Nick Arnett [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 On 4/12/06, The Fool [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 
 
  I believe only in the purity of math.  Everything else is nonsense.


 Seriously?  And what do you do with Goedel's Incompleteness Theorem?

 Nick

Based on what I've read of the Fool's messages, of the dilemma it
poses, I think he would accept the incompleteness choice.

~maru
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Re: Great Sam Harris Interview

2006-04-13 Thread Alberto Monteiro

The Fool, in a sudden religious zeal, wrote:

 I believe only in the purity of math.  Everything else is nonsense.
 
 Seriously?  And what do you do with Goedel's Incompleteness Theorem?
 
 Does it effect the underlying math the all physics is based around?
 
I think it does - if the base is not solid, eventually we will
come to a problem without a solution.

Alberto Monteiro

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Re: Great Sam Harris Interview

2006-04-13 Thread The Fool
 From: Alberto Monteiro [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 
 The Fool wrote:
 
  I believe only in the purity of math.  Everything else is
nonsense.
  
  Seriously?  And what do you do with Goedel's Incompleteness
Theorem?
  
  Does it effect the underlying math the all physics is based around?
 

 I think it does - if the base is not solid, eventually we will
 come to a problem without a solution.

In essense you are saying it's impossible to know both the velocity and
position of a particle at the same time.  But we already knew that.

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Re: Great Sam Harris Interview

2006-04-13 Thread bemmzim
 
 
-Original Message-
From: Alberto Monteiro [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: Killer Bs Discussion brin-l@mccmedia.com
Sent: Thu, 13 Apr 2006 14:38:27 -0200
Subject: Re: Great Sam Harris Interview



The Fool, in a sudden religious zeal, wrote:

 I believe only in the purity of math.  Everything else is nonsense.
 
 Seriously?  And what do you do with Goedel's Incompleteness Theorem?
 
 Does it effect the underlying math the all physics is based around?
 
I think it does - if the base is not solid, eventually we will
come to a problem without a solution.

As I understand it the incompleteness theroem does not in any way invalidate 
physics or the math that is used
to study and support it. Goedal was famously misunderstood (at least according 
to a book I read recently).
He did not believe that his work proved that the universe is ultimately 
unknowable. In fact he was basically
a platonist. He firmly believed that there was truth out there. While at 
Princeton he was close with only
one man, Einstein. They shared a belief in the existence of an ultimate truth. 
Like Goedel, Einstein was
in the ironic position of being credited with the notion that everything was 
relative when in fact his 
theories despite their unfortunate names proved (or he hoped they proved) the 
exact opposite. Einstein
of course abhored quantum physics because of it inherent probablistic nature. 
Alberto Monteiro

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RE: Great Sam Harris Interview

2006-04-13 Thread Dan Minette


 -Original Message-
 From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] On
 Behalf Of Charlie Bell
 Sent: Wednesday, April 12, 2006 2:14 AM
 To: Killer Bs Discussion
 Subject: Re: Great Sam Harris Interview
 
 
 Socioeconomics or straight politics create the conditions in which
 extremism can flourish, but the tools of that extremism, the suicide
 bombers themselves, *are* religiously motivated. They are convinced
 that they are doing god's work, and they are told by those who have
 another agenda that killing Israelis or Americans or Brits or Sunnis
 or each other is doing god's work.

God wants it has long been used as a means of promoting what is wrong, there
is no doubt of that. I'd generalize this to include other causes/reasons
greater than oneself.  In particular the economic rights of the workers is
also a strong motivation, being the excuse for the killing of tens of
millions in both the Soviet Union and China.  China, in particular, is a
good example because there was a good deal of spontaneous self-righteousness
involved with both the Great Leap Forward and the Cultural Revolution.
 
As a religious person, it is particularly galling when sacred text is
twisted far from its original meaning in order to support evil.  That is
real blasphemy, not saying [EMAIL PROTECTED].  

I've seen the argument, not from you, that humans would be better off if
there were no greater causes than one's own enlightened self interest.  But,
that would have stopped much of the good, as well as evil, that has been
done by people.  

 There is plenty of terrorism in Zimbabwe, and for much the same
 reasons. It's just that it's all internal (as it mostly is in the
 Basque region or was in Britain and Ireland).

I don't doubt that.  There is horrible war in much of Africa...I know a
former child soldier who goes to our church.  The Sudan and Rwanda examples
also come to mind.

My point was that the rest of the world hasn't had to worry about this
violence.  There is minimal risk of the violence spreading to the US, UK,
China, Russia, India, etc. because the lack of funding limited the scope of
the terrorists, private armies, etc. That doesn't make the deaths any less
horrificbut it makes them distant.

Dan M.


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Re: Great Sam Harris Interview

2006-04-13 Thread Julia Thompson

[EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:



As I understand it the incompleteness theroem does not in any way
invalidate physics or the math that is used to study and support it.
Goedal was famously misunderstood (at least according to a book I
read recently). He did not believe that his work proved that the
universe is ultimately unknowable. In fact he was basically a
platonist. He firmly believed that there was truth out there. While
at Princeton he was close with only one man, Einstein. They shared a
belief in the existence of an ultimate truth. Like Goedel, Einstein
was in the ironic position of being credited with the notion that
everything was relative when in fact his theories despite their
unfortunate names proved (or he hoped they proved) the exact
opposite. Einstein of course abhored quantum physics because of it
inherent probablistic nature.


Which book was that?  Just wondering.

Julia
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Re: Great Sam Harris Interview

2006-04-12 Thread Charlie Bell


On 12/04/2006, at 1:31 AM, Dave Land wrote:


One view  -- a minority view in Christianity -- is that the Bible  
is a human product, not a divine one.


Or that it is a divine one but with the errors inherent in human  
transcription, which is a similar but distinct position to the one  
that you mention. Another is that the OT is there for the history,  
but as Jesus represents a new covenant, only the gospels represent  
the part of the bible of direct relevance to Christians.


The Bible records certain people's wrestling with who God might be  
and how they might relate to God. The value in such a book (which  
is definitely NOT to be worshiped, but can still be taken very  
seriously) is that it lets us know what our spiritual forbears  
thought and believed, which might inform our understanding of God  
and our relationship to God. It also contains some historically- 
factual events.


It has been said The Bible is true, and some of it actually  
happened. Problems arise when our (modern, Western) ideas of the  
equality of truth and factuality are layered on top of writings  
that didn't originate in the same understanding of truth and  
factuality.


Indeed.


Unfortunately, that's all I have time for right now, but I do hold  
that there is value in the book, and it is not that it was handed  
down from deity.


This I understand, and it is the moderate Christianity that I grew up  
with. But the same questions apply - how do you pick and choose?


Charlie
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Re: Great Sam Harris Interview

2006-04-12 Thread Charlie Bell


On 12/04/2006, at 1:57 AM, Nick Arnett wrote:


I have discussed religion with a
number of Lutherans other than Nick (mainly Germanic Europeans,
either in Cyprus or in Australia), and all bar one of those still
practicing that I have met in the flesh (so 6 or 7) are biblical
literalists.



Are you sure?  That's not a typical Lutheran belief, not at all.   
At the
core of Lutheranism are scripture, faith and grace... the inclusion  
of faith
and grace means that scripture does not stand alone, leaving no  
room for

literalism.


It may be that creationism has taken hold in the churches of those  
with whom I have spoken - I was really quite surprised. But I had an  
otherwise very nice Austrian immigrant in Australia telling me that  
there was no way the earth was created in more than 6 days and  
couldn't be more than 6000 years old. Her husband was a little  
embarrassed. It may also be that American Lutheranism is more  
moderate than its European branch. Or that I'm just unlucky (not  
unlikely).


They'd regard themselves as Good Christians. I don't

know whether anyone still active on this list is a literalist, but if
one isn't a literalist, then that's a different measure for what
Christianity is or what a good follower means than for those that
are. How do we decide what is right?



Perhaps that the wrong question.  Perhaps the challenge is how to  
live with

uncertainty, as Harris challenges us.


To that question I think a quote of Feynman's is appropriate: I can  
live with doubt and uncertainty and not knowing. I think it's much  
more interesting to live not knowing than to have answers which might  
be wrong.


To me, this is why the traditional teaching of the major religions

fails, because frankly if one can just make it up as one goes along,



But that's not it at all.


Then what is it? Many Christians or theists have this idea of the  
Bible's teachings as a moral guide, but much of the moral precept  
they take from it (or imagine that's in there) is simply what they  
want to take from it. There are good people who are living good  
Christian Lives, but they're behaving differently to the code as  
laid out in the NT. Again, how does one decide?




Faith in a deity/deities/force/whatever is one thing. It's highly
personal. But faith in a book is something else, and that's where the
argument starts - if the book says one thing, but a follower
disagrees and does something else, where's the value in the book?



Plenty of Christians go astray by worshiping the Bible.


Right. So the Bible is not to be worshipped. It is a guide. But  
again, which bits are relevant today, without massive editorial?  
Which gospel do we take as, er, gospel? The 4 plus Acts? Any of the  
others that have been rediscovered, like the recent Gospels of Judas,  
or Thomas, or the other Apocrypha? Do we trust that the motives of  
the NT editors were pure in selecting which Gospels and Epistles to  
include, and which not?


Charlie
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Re: Great Sam Harris Interview

2006-04-12 Thread Charlie Bell


On 12/04/2006, at 4:18 AM, Dan Minette wrote:


If one is Christian, then the Incarnate Word of God (Jesus) has the  
greatest

authority.


Precisely what I was taught.


I never met someone who was really a literalist
concerning the whole of scriptures.they just don't count their
non-literal reading as non-literal.


Precisely why I abhor literalists.



The implication that fundamentalism is the only complete form of a
religion is a perfectly reasonable assertion


But, with Christianity, then one would have to argue that it was  
incomplete

for most of its existence.  Fundamentalism is really rather new.


Really? What was the Inquistion all about then? Enforcing the  
Doctrine of the Faith, and burning heretics to the faith. Or the  
Mohammedan jihads?  Fundamentalism is a new name for something that  
has been inherent in religion (and politics and tribalism) for as  
long as there have been people - inflexible adherence to whatever  
standard has been chosen, and beating up those that disagree...


Charlie
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Re: Great Sam Harris Interview

2006-04-12 Thread Charlie Bell


On 12/04/2006, at 7:45 AM, Dan Minette wrote:


I was saying that social, political and economic conditions in the  
Middle
East have created an environment favorable to recruiting  
terrorists by
demagogues.  My point was to argue against focusing on religion as  
the

reason there are terrorists arising in Islamic countries, as Harris
chooses
to do.


I certainly agree with that basic point, and differ with the Fool.


Socioeconomics or straight politics create the conditions in which  
extremism can flourish, but the tools of that extremism, the suicide  
bombers themselves, *are* religiously motivated. They are convinced  
that they are doing god's work, and they are told by those who have  
another agenda that killing Israelis or Americans or Brits or Sunnis  
or each other is doing god's work.


I think the unique mix of a region that both brings cash in hand  
over fist
and is ruled by a small group of people who control that cash  
fosters a lot
of the danger of terrorism in the Middle East.  The leader of  
Zimbabwe does
not have the resources to build atomic weapons that can set of a  
massive
nuclear war.  The leader of Iran does...and the West is sending him  
$50

billion/year to spend as he sees fit.  Bin Laden came from a
multi-billionaire family, and had access to millions.  That helped  
fund

their operations.


There is plenty of terrorism in Zimbabwe, and for much the same  
reasons. It's just that it's all internal (as it mostly is in the  
Basque region or was in Britain and Ireland).


Charlie
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Re: Great Sam Harris Interview

2006-04-12 Thread Max Battcher

Dan Minette wrote:

One thing that struck methe fundamental reason for the last big European
war was simply elbow room.  


Generally the term used is lebensraum, or living room, which is a 
German word.  It was not the reason for the war, but it was a large part 
of Germany's policy toward/with several nations, in particular 
Russia/Soviet Union.


--
--Max Battcher--
http://www.worldmaker.net/
I'm gonna win, trust in me / I have come to save this world / and in 
the end I'll get the grrrl! --Machinae Supremacy, Hero (Promo Track)

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Re: Great Sam Harris Interview

2006-04-12 Thread Nick Arnett
On 4/11/06, Charlie Bell [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:


 Then what is it? Many Christians or theists have this idea of the
 Bible's teachings as a moral guide, but much of the moral precept
 they take from it (or imagine that's in there) is simply what they
 want to take from it. There are good people who are living good
 Christian Lives, but they're behaving differently to the code as
 laid out in the NT. Again, how does one decide?


In Lutheranism and most of Protestantism, Christianity isn't about doing
good in order to get into heaven, even though that's often how it comes
across.  Christ's message of forgiveness frees us from the vicious cycle of
guilt and error, frees us to do good, to follow the very rules that free
us.  This is where cause and effect are often confused.  Am I a follower of
Christ because I'm good?  Yes, but not through my own doing.  In other
words, I would not be free to follow were it not for the freedom from guilt
that I enjoy, a freedom that is entirely unearned -- grace (we're big on
grace in Lutheranism).

Lest this all sound theological, intellectual and distant, let me make it
clear that in my life, I certainly have seen that I become a kinder, more
loving person when I start by accepting that I am accepted, rather than the
false, but often followed, idea that first I have to be good.

My favorite parable about this is the woman caught in adultery.  The *first*
thing Jesus does is send away her accusers and says that neither does he
does condemn her, vividly demonstrating that he accepts her as she is.  Only
then does he say those words that are so often taken out of this context --
Go and sin no more.  Acceptance and forgiveness precede be good.
Critics of Christianity talk about aspects that are hard to believe, but
they rarely point to this wild notion that God loves us in our sin, not
despite it.  I certainly find it hard to give up the idea that I have to be
good before you'll accept me... but when I do believe that, it is powerful
stuff.

Right. So the Bible is not to be worshipped. It is a guide. But
 again, which bits are relevant today, without massive editorial?
 Which gospel do we take as, er, gospel? The 4 plus Acts? Any of the
 others that have been rediscovered, like the recent Gospels of Judas,
 or Thomas, or the other Apocrypha? Do we trust that the motives of
 the NT editors were pure in selecting which Gospels and Epistles to
 include, and which not?


There are various ways that churches answer that question, but if there is
one that says, However you'd like to, it is most certainly on the fringe.
I suppose that Unitarians fit that description.  John Wesley's great
contribution was to offer a method (or a Method) to go about this, his
quadilateral of reason, tradition, experience and Scripture.  Reason can
be quite liberal, tradition tends to be conservative, experience can
probably go either way (e.g., a conservative is a Christian who has been
mugged, a liberal is somebody who has lived among the poor), Scripture can
be used and abused... but it seems to me that respecting each is as good as
any way to choose one's path.

Nick

--
Nick Arnett
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
Messages: 408-904-7198
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Re: Great Sam Harris Interview

2006-04-12 Thread Andrew Crystall
On 11 Apr 2006 at 15:31, Dave Land wrote:

 On Apr 11, 2006, at 2:22 PM, Charlie Bell wrote:
 
  On 11/04/2006, at 6:33 PM, Nick Arnett wrote:
 
  He also seems to fail to recognize the difference between  
  irrational and
  non-rational beliefs.  And this statement,  Religious moderation  
  is just a
  cherry-picking of scripture, ultimately, is ridiculous.  It  
  implies that
  fundamentalism is the only *complete* form of Christianity.   
  Nonsense,
  really.
 
  So how do you decide which parts of scripture to follow and which  
  not? The whole bible? Just the NT? Just Jesus' teachings, and  
  ignore Paul's commentary?
 
 ...
 
  Faith in a deity/deities/force/whatever is one thing. It's highly  
  personal. But faith in a book is something else, and that's where  
  the argument starts - if the book says one thing, but a follower  
  disagrees and does something else, where's the value in the book?
 
 One view  -- a minority view in Christianity -- is that the Bible is  
 a human product, not a divine one. The Bible records certain people's  
 wrestling with who God might be and how they might relate to God. The  

This is, incidentally, also the view of Reform Judaism.

AndrewC
Dawn Falcon

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Re: Great Sam Harris Interview

2006-04-12 Thread Ronn!Blankenship

At 04:35 PM Tuesday 4/11/2006, Charlie Bell wrote:


On 12/04/2006, at 12:33 AM, Ronn!Blankenship wrote:


Faith in a deity/deities/force/whatever is one thing. It's highly
personal. But faith in a book is something else, and that's where the
argument starts - if the book says one thing, but a follower
disagrees and does something else, where's the value in the book?

Charlie



One answer is that if there really is a God, you could try asking
Him what He wants you to do . . .


Sure. Like I say, it's highly personal.



Of course, it's possible that the answer you get will be RTF¹M . . .


_
¹Read The Father's Manual


--Ronn!  :)

Since I was a small boy, two states have been 
added to our country and two words have been 
added to the pledge of Allegiance... UNDER 
GOD.  Wouldn't it be a pity if someone said that 
is a prayer and that would be eliminated from schools too?

   -- Red Skelton

(Someone asked me to change my .sig quote back, so I did.)




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Re: Great Sam Harris Interview

2006-04-12 Thread Andrew Crystall
On 11 Apr 2006 at 7:22, The Fool wrote:

 If you ingore some minor gibberish about buddism:
 
 www.truthdig.com/report/item/20060403_sam_harris_interview

I find your faith in atheism is touching. I wonder why you need so 
strongly not to believe. As I said to a communist friend of mine the 
other day, he takes his Marx a lot more seriously than I take my 
Bible.

AndrewC
Dawn Falcon

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Re: Great Sam Harris Interview

2006-04-12 Thread Charlie Bell


On 12/04/2006, at 8:59 PM, Ronn!Blankenship wrote:


One answer is that if there really is a God, you could try asking
Him what He wants you to do . . .


Sure. Like I say, it's highly personal.



Of course, it's possible that the answer you get will be RTF¹M . . .


Now there's a good shortcut to atheism. :-)

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Re: Great Sam Harris Interview

2006-04-12 Thread Ronn!Blankenship

At 01:49 PM Wednesday 4/12/2006, Charlie Bell wrote:


On 12/04/2006, at 8:59 PM, Ronn!Blankenship wrote:


One answer is that if there really is a God, you could try asking
Him what He wants you to do . . .


Sure. Like I say, it's highly personal.



Of course, it's possible that the answer you get will be RTF¹M . . .


Now there's a good shortcut to atheism. :-)



Not necessarily, if as some have suggested the 
Bible is a record of God's dealings with other 
humans.  Then it might give you some useful 
guidelines which you could employ in your 
life.  FWIW, my experience is that God, like a 
good professor, gives you the smallest possible 
hint to get you on the right track.  In some 
cases that hint may well be found in the Scriptures . . .



--Ronn!  :)

Since I was a small boy, two states have been 
added to our country and two words have been 
added to the pledge of Allegiance... UNDER 
GOD.  Wouldn't it be a pity if someone said that 
is a prayer and that would be eliminated from schools too?

   -- Red Skelton

(Someone asked me to change my .sig quote back, so I did.)




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Re: Great Sam Harris Interview

2006-04-12 Thread Charlie Bell


On 12/04/2006, at 7:09 PM, Nick Arnett wrote:


In Lutheranism and most of Protestantism, Christianity isn't about  
doing
good in order to get into heaven, even though that's often how it  
comes

across.


That I know - I was raised C of E, and was heavily involved in  
Christian fellowship through my teens. It's not what I was talking  
about. The Christian precept of redemption through acceptance of  
God's grace in the sacrifice of Jesus is one thing. That is the  
correct definition of a Christian, and is where so many (including  
many Sunday Christians like my mother) get it wrong.



Christ's message of forgiveness frees us from the vicious cycle of
guilt and error, frees us to do good, to follow the very rules that  
free

us.  This is where cause and effect are often confused.


Sure. *snip for brevity*


Lest this all sound theological, intellectual and distant, let me  
make it
clear that in my life, I certainly have seen that I become a  
kinder, more
loving person when I start by accepting that I am accepted, rather  
than the

false, but often followed, idea that first I have to be good.


Also fine, and well understood by me.


My favorite parable about this is the woman caught in adultery.   
The *first*
thing Jesus does is send away her accusers and says that neither  
does he
does condemn her, vividly demonstrating that he accepts her as she  
is.  Only
then does he say those words that are so often taken out of this  
context --

Go and sin no more.  Acceptance and forgiveness precede be good.
Critics of Christianity talk about aspects that are hard to  
believe, but
they rarely point to this wild notion that God loves us in our sin,  
not
despite it.  I certainly find it hard to give up the idea that I  
have to be
good before you'll accept me... but when I do believe that, it is  
powerful

stuff.


Sure is.


There are various ways that churches answer that question, but if  
there is
one that says, However you'd like to, it is most certainly on the  
fringe.

I suppose that Unitarians fit that description.  John Wesley's great
contribution was to offer a method (or a Method) to go about this, his
quadilateral of reason, tradition, experience and Scripture.   
Reason can

be quite liberal, tradition tends to be conservative, experience can
probably go either way (e.g., a conservative is a Christian who has  
been
mugged, a liberal is somebody who has lived among the poor),  
Scripture can
be used and abused... but it seems to me that respecting each is as  
good as

any way to choose one's path.


Interesting how hard it is to get a straight answer, isn't it? So  
what you're saying is that there is no right answer, and we take out  
of it what we can?


It still seems that the only major difference between you and I in  
terms of understanding our place in this world is that while we both  
imagine how a moral person would be and try to live that way, while  
we both try to be both accepting of our own shortcomings and of  
others', you have a belief in something I no longer have. A large  
part of my journey away from religious or supernatural belief was my  
personal and growing understanding that the ethical and moral codes I  
chose to follow worked just as well whether God existed or  
not... ...and eventually, for me, he didn't.


I'm still interested in hearing the religious experience of  
intelligent and thoughtful scientific believers, and chewing the fat  
on these subjects. I may disagree (and often do, sometimes a bit  
strongly) but I'm always interested.


Charlie


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Re: Great Sam Harris Interview

2006-04-12 Thread Jim Sharkey

The Fool wrote:
I believe only in the purity of math. Everything else is nonsense.

Humans are fundamentelly evil creatures who deserve to die.

You must be great fun at parties.

Jim

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Re: Great Sam Harris Interview

2006-04-12 Thread Charlie Bell


On 12/04/2006, at 10:17 PM, Jim Sharkey wrote:



The Fool wrote:

I believe only in the purity of math. Everything else is nonsense.

Humans are fundamentelly evil creatures who deserve to die.


You must be great fun at parties.


*snort* Lucky I wasn't drinking just then. :D

Charlie
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Re: Great Sam Harris Interview

2006-04-12 Thread Charlie Bell


On 12/04/2006, at 10:01 PM, Ronn!Blankenship wrote:


Of course, it's possible that the answer you get will be  
RTF¹M . . .


Now there's a good shortcut to atheism. :-)



Not necessarily, if as some have suggested the Bible is a record of  
God's dealings with other humans.  Then it might give you some  
useful guidelines which you could employ in your life.  FWIW, my  
experience is that God, like a good professor, gives you the  
smallest possible hint to get you on the right track.  In some  
cases that hint may well be found in the Scriptures


Sure. But, I guess you're just as likely to find that smiting and  
stoning is recommended as a solution as kiss-and-make-up is...


Charlie


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Re: Great Sam Harris Interview

2006-04-12 Thread The Fool
 From: Andrew Crystall [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 
 On 11 Apr 2006 at 7:22, The Fool wrote:
 
  If you ingore some minor gibberish about buddism:
  
  www.truthdig.com/report/item/20060403_sam_harris_interview
 
 I find your faith in atheism is touching. I wonder why you need so 
 strongly not to believe. As I said to a communist friend of mine the 
 other day, he takes his Marx a lot more seriously than I take my 
 Bible.

I believe only in the purity of math.  Everything else is nonsense.

Humans are fundamentelly evil creatures who deserve to die.
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Re: Great Sam Harris Interview

2006-04-12 Thread Ronn!Blankenship

At 02:20 PM Wednesday 4/12/2006, Charlie Bell wrote:


On 12/04/2006, at 10:01 PM, Ronn!Blankenship wrote:


Of course, it's possible that the answer you get will be
RTF¹M . . .


Now there's a good shortcut to atheism. :-)



Not necessarily, if as some have suggested the Bible is a record of
God's dealings with other humans.  Then it might give you some
useful guidelines which you could employ in your life.  FWIW, my
experience is that God, like a good professor, gives you the
smallest possible hint to get you on the right track.  In some
cases that hint may well be found in the Scriptures


Sure. But, I guess you're just as likely to find that smiting and
stoning is recommended as a solution as kiss-and-make-up is...



That's when it is advisable to request further 
light and knowledge in the form of another hint . . .



--Ronn!  :)

Since I was a small boy, two states have been 
added to our country and two words have been 
added to the pledge of Allegiance... UNDER 
GOD.  Wouldn't it be a pity if someone said that 
is a prayer and that would be eliminated from schools too?

   -- Red Skelton

(Someone asked me to change my .sig quote back, so I did.)




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Re: Great Sam Harris Interview

2006-04-12 Thread Charlie Bell

Sure. But, I guess you're just as likely to find that smiting and
stoning is recommended as a solution as kiss-and-make-up is...



That's when it is advisable to request further light and knowledge  
in the form of another hint . . .


Lord, what sort of rock should I lob at his head?

;)

Charlie
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Re: Great Sam Harris Interview

2006-04-12 Thread The Fool
From: Charlie Bell [EMAIL PROTECTED]

On 12/04/2006, at 10:01 PM, Ronn!Blankenship wrote:

 Of course, it's possible that the answer you get will be  
 RTF¹M . . .

 Now there's a good shortcut to atheism. :-)


 Not necessarily, if as some have suggested the Bible is a record of  
 God's dealings with other humans.  Then it might give you some  
 useful guidelines which you could employ in your life.  FWIW, my  
 experience is that God, like a good professor, gives you the  
 smallest possible hint to get you on the right track.  In some  
 cases that hint may well be found in the Scriptures

Sure. But, I guess you're just as likely to find that smiting and  
stoning is recommended as a solution as kiss-and-make-up is...


Burning virgin girls alive is great fun.  So is abusing your concubine*
sexually untill she dies and then chopping up her body and sending it
to the national leaders.  And who can forget that after you deafeat
someone militarilly, you get to kill every adult woman, every male
adult or child, and your army gets to rape all the female virgins as
young as three, and keep them as sexual slaves.  Great fun.

* A concubine is female sex slave.
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RE: Great Sam Harris Interview

2006-04-12 Thread Dan Minette


 -Original Message-
 From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] On
 Behalf Of Charlie Bell
 Sent: Wednesday, April 12, 2006 1:43 AM
 To: Killer Bs Discussion
 Subject: Re: Great Sam Harris Interview
 
 
 
 Really? What was the Inquistion all about then? 

There was a lot of payback of collaborators with the Moors, ethnic
cleansing, etc. involved in the Inquisition.  But, I realize your
fundamental question is broader than that

Enforcing the
 Doctrine of the Faith, and burning heretics to the faith. Or the
 Mohammedan jihads?  Fundamentalism is a new name for something that
 has been inherent in religion (and politics and tribalism) for as
 long as there have been people - inflexible adherence to whatever
 standard has been chosen, and beating up those that disagree...

Well, I was using the standard definition of fundamentalism in the Christian
religion...which differs from what I see your use as.  It is relevant, and
not just an argument of semantics, because you were asking questions about
the interpretation of scripture.

There is no doubt that, from the start, there have been extremely strong
arguments over theology.  Paul references a number of them in his epistles.
The early church, after Paul, had often had bitter differences.  In
hindsight, I think you can see how people who's family's died preventing
authorities from getting copies of scripture would be very angry at those
who held that it wasn't a critical part of the faith, and thus did hand over
copies.  

But, this didn't result in many real punishments, except shunning, because
there was no earthly authority to back up theological opinion.  When
Christianity became official, then power was available to back up authority.
The first church council at Nicaea produced a creed that defined the
orthodox faith.  Other views were considered heretical.  

From here on out, the Catholic church was a power player.  The bishop of
Rome, pointed to the heritage of Peter, and called himself the vicar of
Peter.  After a while, it was changed to the vicar of Christ.  The church
council pronouncements were considered authoritive, and the result of the
inspiration of the Holy Spirit.

This was the foundation for a number of the problems the developed.  Error
had no right, and thus heretics were to be stamped out by all necessary
means. This included fairly strong measures.

And, of course, there was corruption in the church.  Mundane power was
backed up by the authority of God.  The Inquisition can be seen in the light
of a church that had a strong political component as well as being
populated/led by rigid thinkers who felt that they had the authority of God
and were expected to use their power to fight the evil of those who
disagreed with them.

But, they were not fundamentalists.  The two great doctors of the church
(Agustine and Aquinis) did not emphasize a literal interpretation of
scripture.  The authority of the Church was the keys of the kingdom being
passed on from Peter to his successors, not a literal interpretation of
scripture.

Fundamentalism found it's foundation in the Reformation.  Luther, Calvin,
et. al. needed to find an authority apart from the Catholic church. It was
scripture. Solo scriptura was the cry that undermined the authority of the
keys of the kingdom.  Still, I don't think that Luther was really a
fundamentalist in the modern sense.

Modern day fundamentalism is a reaction to the Enlightenment. The Great
Revivals of the 19th century can be seen as a basis for Adventist religions,
which started the focus of the theology of endtime and is the basis for the
Left Behind understanding that many fundamentalists had.   It was truly
formed, in the US at least, in the early 20th century as a reaction against
more liberal theological developments in various Protestant churches.
Schisms resulted. 

One other thing worth noting...fundamentalists tend to be anti-hierarchical.
Southern Baptists are the best known fundamentalists in the US.  They have
no real hierarchy.  The Southern Baptist Convention does not have authority
over the individual congregations.  Indeed, the congregation rules itself by
vote; they hire and fire ministers.

Fundamentalism also tended to rise up among the poorer classes.  Until
fairly recently, it was more associated with tent revival meetings that big
expensive churches.  As the fundamentalists went up in the world, they did
gain political and economic power.  But, their self image of a besieged
underdog is not without rootsits just out of date.  

So, that's why I said fundamentalism is new.  What you have referenced is
not new, of course.  I think a very strong argument can be made that you are
pointing out institutional sins within the Churchand that you are far
from the first.  Indeed, much of scripture wrestles with this problem.  The
prophets who proclaimed God's judgment of Israel were not the established
priests.  Instead, the pointed out the problems with the government

Re: Great Sam Harris Interview

2006-04-12 Thread The Fool
 From: Dan Minette [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 
 But, they were not fundamentalists.  The two great doctors of the
church
 (Agustine and Aquinis) did not emphasize a literal interpretation of
 scripture.  The authority of the Church was the keys of the kingdom
being
 passed on from Peter to his successors, not a literal interpretation
of
 scripture.

The most disastrous consequences must follow upon our believing that
anything false is found in the sacred booksIf you [even] once admit
into such a high sanctuary of authority one false statement, there will
not be left a single sentence of those books, which, if appearing to
anyone difficult in practice or hard to believe, may not by the same
fatal rule be explained away as a statement, in which intentionally,
the author declared what was not true.
--St. Augustine in Epistula, p. 28 

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Re: Great Sam Harris Interview

2006-04-12 Thread Nick Arnett
On 4/12/06, The Fool [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:


 I believe only in the purity of math.  Everything else is nonsense.


Seriously?  And what do you do with Goedel's Incompleteness Theorem?

Nick

--
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[EMAIL PROTECTED]
Messages: 408-904-7198
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Re: Great Sam Harris Interview

2006-04-12 Thread Nick Arnett
On 4/12/06, Dan Minette [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:


 There was a lot of payback of collaborators with the Moors,


No, no.  It was the Moops!


 Fundamentalism found it's foundation in the Reformation.  Luther, Calvin,
 et. al. needed to find an authority apart from the Catholic church. It was
 scripture. Solo scriptura was the cry that undermined the authority of the
 keys of the kingdom.  Still, I don't think that Luther was really a
 fundamentalist in the modern sense.




I don't think it's good to mention sola scriptura and leave out Luther's
other two -- sola fide and sola gratia.  It wasn't just scripture, but
faith and grace as well.



 So, that's why I said fundamentalism is new.


*Christian* fundamentalism of the kind we have today is fairly new.  But
fundamentalism of all sorts has been around for all of recorded history, I'd
wager.  But I'm defining fundamentalism as the idea that one understands an
idea completely, that it is perfect and frozen in time, never needing to be
reinterpreted in the context of the present.  As I think I've said here
before, I see a lot of liberal capitalist fundamentalism in the USA these
days -- and it is rarely challenged.

Nick

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[EMAIL PROTECTED]
Messages: 408-904-7198
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RE: Great Sam Harris Interview

2006-04-12 Thread Dan Minette


 -Original Message-
 From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] On
 Behalf Of The Fool
 Sent: Wednesday, April 12, 2006 3:12 PM
 To: Killer Bs Discussion
 Subject: Re: Great Sam Harris Interview
 
 The most disastrous consequences must follow upon our believing that
 anything false is found in the sacred booksIf you [even] once admit
 into such a high sanctuary of authority one false statement, there will
 not be left a single sentence of those books, which, if appearing to
 anyone difficult in practice or hard to believe, may not by the same
 fatal rule be explained away as a statement, in which intentionally,
 the author declared what was not true.
 --St. Augustine in Epistula, p. 28

(True, but not in a literal sense) != False.  

Just think of transubstantiation. 

Dan M.


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Re: Great Sam Harris Interview

2006-04-12 Thread The Fool
--
From: Nick Arnett [EMAIL PROTECTED]

On 4/12/06, The Fool [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:


 I believe only in the purity of math.  Everything else is nonsense.


Seriously?  And what do you do with Goedel's Incompleteness Theorem?

-
Does it effect the underlying math the all physics is based around?

--
a + b = c
(a + b) * (a - c) = c * (a - c)
a^2 + ab - ac - cb = ca - c^2
a^2 + ab - ac = ca + cb - c^2
a * (a + b - c) = c * (a + b - c)
a = c

Phi the golden mean  = 1.61803398875
1 / Phi = 0.61803398875
Phi^2   = 2.61803398875
phi   = sqroot(1 + .25) + sqroot(.25)
1 / phi  = sqroot(1 + .25) - sqroot(.25) 

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Re: Great Sam Harris Interview

2006-04-12 Thread Dave Land

On Apr 12, 2006, at 12:20 PM, Charlie Bell wrote:


On 12/04/2006, at 10:01 PM, Ronn!Blankenship wrote:


Of course, it's possible that the answer you get will be  
RTF¹M . . .


Now there's a good shortcut to atheism. :-)


Not necessarily, if as some have suggested the Bible is a record  
of God's dealings with other humans.  Then it might give you some  
useful guidelines which you could employ in your life.  FWIW, my  
experience is that God, like a good professor, gives you the  
smallest possible hint to get you on the right track.  In some  
cases that hint may well be found in the Scriptures


Sure. But, I guess you're just as likely to find that smiting and  
stoning is recommended as a solution as kiss-and-make-up is...


In fact (and you probably know this), it is the preponderance of  
smiting and stoning as a means of nation-building that convinces some  
scholars that much of the OT is a human product. It is full of  
exhortations to tribal violence. Those parts it is relatively easy to  
disregard as having normative value for me and to interpret as a  
tiny, feisty nation's self-justification.


Perhaps it is as Ronn! says: that Professor God's hints are  
extraordinarily subtle, that we might best /own/ what we learn by  
pursuing them. The main hint I get from reading some huge swaths of  
Scripture is that regardless of how much violence we do to one  
another, or how poorly we follow what we dimly see as God's will, God  
continues to love and pursue us. That, I find refreshing, remarkable  
and redeeming.


Dave

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RE: Great Sam Harris Interview

2006-04-12 Thread Dan Minette

 
 I don't think it's good to mention sola scriptura and leave out Luther's
 other two -- sola fide and sola gratia.  It wasn't just scripture, but
 faith and grace as well.

I was thinking in terms of teaching authority...Church teachings were not to
be used.

As an aside, would you agree with this statement, which is listed as one of
the sources for JOINT DECLARATION ON THE DOCTRINE OF JUSTIFICATION

by the Lutheran World Federation and the Catholic Church

 
quote
 If we translate from one language to another, then Protestant talk about
justification through faith corresponds to Catholic talk about justification
through grace; and on the other hand, Protestant doctrine understands
substantially under the one word 'faith' what Catholic doctrine (following 1
Cor. 13:13) sums up in the triad of 'faith, hope, and love' (LV:E 52).
end quote

Dan M. 


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Re: Great Sam Harris Interview

2006-04-12 Thread Julia Thompson

Jim Sharkey wrote:

The Fool wrote:


I believe only in the purity of math. Everything else is nonsense.

Humans are fundamentelly evil creatures who deserve to die.



You must be great fun at parties.

Jim


That assumes he goes to parties.  He might not.

Julia
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RE: Great Sam Harris Interview

2006-04-12 Thread Dan Minette


 -Original Message-
 From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] On
 Behalf Of Julia Thompson
 Sent: Wednesday, April 12, 2006 3:55 PM
 To: Killer Bs Discussion
 Subject: Re: Great Sam Harris Interview
 
 That assumes he goes to parties.  He might not.

From what I understand, he only goes if he thinks a lot of cute little
numbers would be there.

Dan M. 


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Re: Great Sam Harris Interview

2006-04-12 Thread Richard Baker

The Fool said:


Does it effect the underlying math the all physics is based around?


Yes, it does. It applies to any mathematical system that includes  
ordinary arithmetic.


Rich

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Re: Great Sam Harris Interview

2006-04-12 Thread Deborah Harrell
The Fool [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

 I believe only in the purity of math.  Everything
 else is nonsense.
 Humans are fundamentally evil creatures who deserve
 to die.

My cats and horses would disagree with those
statements:

Mice, voles, birds and deer (yes, deer!)  are not
nonsense.
Grass and alfalfa make perfect gastronomic sense.
Humans are providers of warm laps in which to sit,
pleasing scratching posts such as tables and sofas,
and mildly amusing puzzles like closet doors.
Humans are good for scratching those
impossible-to-reach places (such as the crest of the
neck, or between the jawbones), and are a fairly
reliable source of goodies like carrots and molasses
treats; the amusement factor in overturning a
freshly-loaded manure barrow is not to be discounted!

With significant forbearance and perseverance, humans
are trainable, although they frequently forget what
they have learned.  Treated cruelly, humans can turn
vicious, and some, sad to say, ought to be returned to
the compost heap posthaste.  Firmness, patience,
vigilance and kindness are the watchwords which must
guide one's interactions with these challenging 
creatures.

Debbi
Channeling Various Critturs Maru;-)

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Re: Great Sam Harris Interview

2006-04-12 Thread Robert Seeberger
The Fool wrote:
 From: Andrew Crystall [EMAIL PROTECTED]

 On 11 Apr 2006 at 7:22, The Fool wrote:

 If you ingore some minor gibberish about buddism:

 www.truthdig.com/report/item/20060403_sam_harris_interview

 I find your faith in atheism is touching. I wonder why you need so
 strongly not to believe. As I said to a communist friend of mine 
 the
 other day, he takes his Marx a lot more seriously than I take my
 Bible.

 I believe only in the purity of math.  Everything else is nonsense.

I would not deny that one can find God in math. If the Universe was 
created by a supreme being then his fingerprints are all over it 
(albeit in the most subtle ways).



 Humans are fundamentelly evil creatures who deserve to die.

You first!
G

xponent
Gnostic Reflections Maru
rob 


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Re: Great Sam Harris Interview

2006-04-12 Thread Julia Thompson

Nick Arnett wrote:

On 4/12/06, Dan Minette [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:



There was a lot of payback of collaborators with the Moors,




No, no.  It was the Moops!


Considering my primary meaning of MOOP, matter out of place, that's 
interesting.


Julia

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Great Sam Harris Interview

2006-04-11 Thread The Fool
If you ingore some minor gibberish about buddism:

www.truthdig.com/report/item/20060403_sam_harris_interview

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Re: Great Sam Harris Interview

2006-04-11 Thread Nick Arnett
On 4/11/06, The Fool [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

 If you ingore some minor gibberish about buddism:

 www.truthdig.com/report/item/20060403_sam_harris_interview


For anyone who is wondering, as I was, who the heck Sam Harris is...

With the publication of his 2004 New York Times bestseller, The End of
Faith, a full-throttle attack on religion, Sam Harris became the most
prominent atheist in America.

He also seems to fail to recognize the difference between irrational and
non-rational beliefs.  And this statement,  Religious moderation is just a
cherry-picking of scripture, ultimately, is ridiculous.  It implies that
fundamentalism is the only *complete* form of Christianity.  Nonsense,
really.

There's a lot of blame their theology in what he says.  Aside from my
objection to blaming in general, that sort of argument makes a terribly
simplistic assumption about cause and effect.  Group X acts the way they do
because of their theology  -- there are people who are really willing and
eager to blow themselves up because they think they're going to get to
paradise, Harris argues.  It's not that simple -- but how convenient to
assume that the problem is just their theology. With that in mind, we no
longer have to concern ourselves with any other issues.  Social and economic
injustice and no longer important because it's that damned theology that is
causing the trouble.

Harris argues that terrorists apparently aren't thinking about poverty and
injustice.  He'd have us assume that just because they focus on religion,
their actions have nothing to do with poverty and injustice.  Isn't it
blindingly obvious that the bin Ladens of this world find followers because
of the social and economic conditions where they recruit?  For heaven's
sake, demagogues are *never* are motivated by altruism!  Even those who
claim to be -- the SLA and its demands when Patty Hearst was kidnapped come
to mind -- clearly are motivated by a desire for power as much as they might
want to feed the hungry.  Who knows what else motivates that sort of
behavior -- genetics, toilet training, education... there are myriad
factors.

The idea that terrorists cannot be motivated by poverty because they
personally are well-off is, well, stupid.  Really stupid.  It completely
ignores the basic human characteristic of empathy.  Probably more to the
point, it ignores the basic human desire for power, which sees opportunity
for personal power in the suffering of others.

All we really know is that there is are correlations of varying degrees
between certain beliefs and behaviors.  It seems to me that there's a lot of
evidence that other factors are driving both.  In places that suffer from
poverty and injustice, terrorism and fundamentalism often arise.  But that's
just a correlation, too.  Maybe it is all driven by nutrition.  Who knows?

Do I vote the way I do because of my theology?  Maybe sometimes.  But
there's no doubt in my mind that I also choose my theology because of my
political and social beliefs.  They are inseparable and intertwined, as I
suspect is true for people all over the world.

Harris says, We should be fundamentally hostile to claims to certainty that
are not backed up by evidence and argument.

Now there, he's got something.  I wish he'd take his own advice a bit
more... and realize that the majority of Christians, if not the majority of
humans, tend to agree.  As David Brin points out, we live in a culture that
routinely challenges authority.

Nick

--
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[EMAIL PROTECTED]
Messages: 408-904-7198
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RE: Great Sam Harris Interview

2006-04-11 Thread Dan Minette


 -Original Message-
 From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] On
 Behalf Of Nick Arnett
 Sent: Tuesday, April 11, 2006 10:33 AM
 To: Killer Bs Discussion
 Subject: Re: Great Sam Harris Interview
 
 
 Harris argues that terrorists apparently aren't thinking about poverty and
 injustice.  He'd have us assume that just because they focus on religion,
 their actions have nothing to do with poverty and injustice.  Isn't it
 blindingly obvious that the bin Ladens of this world find followers
 because of the social and economic conditions where they recruit?  For
heaven's sake, demagogues are *never* are motivated by altruism!  Even
those who claim to be -- the SLA and its demands when Patty Hearst was
kidnapped come to mind -- clearly are motivated by a desire for power 
as much as they might want to feed the hungry.  Who knows what else
motivates that sort of behavior -- genetics, toilet training, 
education... there are myriad factors.

One thing that struck methe fundamental reason for the last big European
war was simply elbow room.  

Dan M. 


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Re: Great Sam Harris Interview

2006-04-11 Thread Doug Pensinger
On Tue, 11 Apr 2006 08:33:08 -0700, Nick Arnett [EMAIL PROTECTED] 
wrote:


 Isn't it blindingly obvious that the bin Ladens of this world find 
followers because of the social and economic conditions where they 
recruit?


No, that's not obvious at all.  I'm pretty sure that many of his recruits 
are middle/upper income types.  I would argue that it is the wealth of the 
region that stimulates terrorism and that if the Middle East was 
economically and politically irrelevant there would be no epidemic of 
terrorism.


--
Doug
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RE: Great Sam Harris Interview

2006-04-11 Thread Dan Minette


 -Original Message-
 From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] On
 Behalf Of Doug Pensinger
 Sent: Tuesday, April 11, 2006 12:43 PM
 To: Killer Bs Discussion
 Subject: Re: Great Sam Harris Interview
 
 On Tue, 11 Apr 2006 08:33:08 -0700, Nick Arnett [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 wrote:
 
   Isn't it blindingly obvious that the bin Ladens of this world find
  followers because of the social and economic conditions where they
  recruit?
 
 No, that's not obvious at all.  I'm pretty sure that many of his recruits
 are middle/upper income types.  I would argue that it is the wealth of the
 region that stimulates terrorism and that if the Middle East was
 economically and politically irrelevant there would be no epidemic of
 terrorism.

Supporting that, we don't have a major concern with Bangladesh terrorists or
Zambian terrorists (two countries that have been poor for a long time).

Dan M. 


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Re: Great Sam Harris Interview

2006-04-11 Thread William T Goodall


On 11 Apr 2006, at 4:33PM, Nick Arnett wrote:


But
there's no doubt in my mind that I also choose my theology because  
of my
political and social beliefs.  They are inseparable and  
intertwined, as I

suspect is true for people all over the world.


So religion is just believing whatever you feel like believing then?

Why do you need religion for that?

--
William T Goodall
Mail : [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Web  : http://www.wtgab.demon.co.uk
Blog : http://radio.weblogs.com/0111221/

Aerospace is plumbing with the volume turned up. - John Carmack

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Re: Great Sam Harris Interview

2006-04-11 Thread Dave Land


On Apr 11, 2006, at 11:36 AM, William T Goodall wrote:



On 11 Apr 2006, at 4:33PM, Nick Arnett wrote:


But
there's no doubt in my mind that I also choose my theology because  
of my
political and social beliefs.  They are inseparable and  
intertwined, as I

suspect is true for people all over the world.


So religion is just believing whatever you feel like believing then?

Why do you need religion for that?


You don't, unless you have an impossibly shallow understanding of
religion and insist on using the term incorrectly as a proxy for
taking the matter of having a relationship with a deity seriously.

Nick said that he chose his theology -- which I happen to know he does
in the context of the Lutheran denomination of Christianity -- on the
basis of his political and social beliefs. I have done much the same
thing, as have many other believers of various religions. And the
irreligious as well.

Neither necessarily dominates: my theology (my understanding of God and
of God's relationship with humanity) informs how I view human relations
(political and social beliefs) and my view of human relations informs
how I understand God and God's relationship with humanity. They are, to
steal a phrase, inseparable and intertwined.

Religion doesn't necessarily enter into it,

Dave

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Re: Great Sam Harris Interview

2006-04-11 Thread Charlie Bell


On 11/04/2006, at 6:33 PM, Nick Arnett wrote:



He also seems to fail to recognize the difference between  
irrational and
non-rational beliefs.  And this statement,  Religious moderation  
is just a
cherry-picking of scripture, ultimately, is ridiculous.  It  
implies that

fundamentalism is the only *complete* form of Christianity.  Nonsense,
really.


So how do you decide which parts of scripture to follow and which  
not? The whole bible? Just the NT? Just Jesus' teachings, and ignore  
Paul's commentary?


The implication that fundamentalism is the only complete form of a  
religion is a perfectly reasonable assertion - as that is a starting  
point for measuring how well one would conform to the ideals of that  
religion. To be fair, it's harder with Christianity than Judaism or  
Islam, as the questions I raised above are fairly fundamental  
(heh... ;) ) to the question of What Is A Christian?


But by making choices of which bits of doctrine to accept, one  
changes the nature of one's faith. Nick's a Lutheran, so I might as  
well mention that branch/sect. I have discussed religion with a  
number of Lutherans other than Nick (mainly Germanic Europeans,  
either in Cyprus or in Australia), and all bar one of those still  
practicing that I have met in the flesh (so 6 or 7) are biblical  
literalists. They'd regard themselves as Good Christians. I don't  
know whether anyone still active on this list is a literalist, but if  
one isn't a literalist, then that's a different measure for what  
Christianity is or what a good follower means than for those that  
are. How do we decide what is right?


To me, this is why the traditional teaching of the major religions  
fails, because frankly if one can just make it up as one goes along,  
then one might as well do so, pick an ethical code if one is so  
inclined, and forget about the rest. Occam's razor comes into play,  
why add a whole load of complicating factors...


Faith in a deity/deities/force/whatever is one thing. It's highly  
personal. But faith in a book is something else, and that's where the  
argument starts - if the book says one thing, but a follower  
disagrees and does something else, where's the value in the book?


Charlie


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Re: Great Sam Harris Interview

2006-04-11 Thread Ronn!Blankenship

At 04:22 PM Tuesday 4/11/2006, Charlie Bell wrote:


On 11/04/2006, at 6:33 PM, Nick Arnett wrote:



He also seems to fail to recognize the difference between
irrational and
non-rational beliefs.  And this statement,  Religious moderation
is just a
cherry-picking of scripture, ultimately, is ridiculous.  It
implies that
fundamentalism is the only *complete* form of Christianity.  Nonsense,
really.


So how do you decide which parts of scripture to follow and which
not? The whole bible? Just the NT? Just Jesus' teachings, and ignore
Paul's commentary?

The implication that fundamentalism is the only complete form of a
religion is a perfectly reasonable assertion - as that is a starting
point for measuring how well one would conform to the ideals of that
religion. To be fair, it's harder with Christianity than Judaism or
Islam, as the questions I raised above are fairly fundamental
(heh... ;) ) to the question of What Is A Christian?

But by making choices of which bits of doctrine to accept, one
changes the nature of one's faith. Nick's a Lutheran, so I might as
well mention that branch/sect. I have discussed religion with a
number of Lutherans other than Nick (mainly Germanic Europeans,
either in Cyprus or in Australia), and all bar one of those still
practicing that I have met in the flesh (so 6 or 7) are biblical
literalists. They'd regard themselves as Good Christians. I don't
know whether anyone still active on this list is a literalist, but if
one isn't a literalist, then that's a different measure for what
Christianity is or what a good follower means than for those that
are. How do we decide what is right?

To me, this is why the traditional teaching of the major religions
fails, because frankly if one can just make it up as one goes along,
then one might as well do so, pick an ethical code if one is so
inclined, and forget about the rest. Occam's razor comes into play,
why add a whole load of complicating factors...

Faith in a deity/deities/force/whatever is one thing. It's highly
personal. But faith in a book is something else, and that's where the
argument starts - if the book says one thing, but a follower
disagrees and does something else, where's the value in the book?

Charlie



One answer is that if there really is a God, you could try asking Him 
what He wants you to do . . .



--Ronn!  :)

Since I was a small boy, two states have been added to our country 
and two words have been added to the pledge of Allegiance... UNDER 
GOD.  Wouldn't it be a pity if someone said that is a prayer and that 
would be eliminated from schools too?

   -- Red Skelton

(Someone asked me to change my .sig quote back, so I did.)




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Re: Great Sam Harris Interview

2006-04-11 Thread Charlie Bell


On 12/04/2006, at 12:33 AM, Ronn!Blankenship wrote:


Faith in a deity/deities/force/whatever is one thing. It's highly
personal. But faith in a book is something else, and that's where the
argument starts - if the book says one thing, but a follower
disagrees and does something else, where's the value in the book?

Charlie



One answer is that if there really is a God, you could try asking  
Him what He wants you to do . . .


Sure. Like I say, it's highly personal.

Charlie
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Re: Great Sam Harris Interview

2006-04-11 Thread Dave Land

On Apr 11, 2006, at 2:22 PM, Charlie Bell wrote:


On 11/04/2006, at 6:33 PM, Nick Arnett wrote:

He also seems to fail to recognize the difference between  
irrational and
non-rational beliefs.  And this statement,  Religious moderation  
is just a
cherry-picking of scripture, ultimately, is ridiculous.  It  
implies that
fundamentalism is the only *complete* form of Christianity.   
Nonsense,

really.


So how do you decide which parts of scripture to follow and which  
not? The whole bible? Just the NT? Just Jesus' teachings, and  
ignore Paul's commentary?


...

Faith in a deity/deities/force/whatever is one thing. It's highly  
personal. But faith in a book is something else, and that's where  
the argument starts - if the book says one thing, but a follower  
disagrees and does something else, where's the value in the book?


One view  -- a minority view in Christianity -- is that the Bible is  
a human product, not a divine one. The Bible records certain people's  
wrestling with who God might be and how they might relate to God. The  
value in such a book (which is definitely NOT to be worshiped, but  
can still be taken very seriously) is that it lets us know what our  
spiritual forbears thought and believed, which might inform our  
understanding of God and our relationship to God. It also contains  
some historically-factual events.


It has been said The Bible is true, and some of it actually  
happened. Problems arise when our (modern, Western) ideas of the  
equality of truth and factuality are layered on top of writings  
that didn't originate in the same understanding of truth and factuality.


Unfortunately, that's all I have time for right now, but I do hold  
that there is value in the book, and it is not that it was handed  
down from deity.


Dave

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Re: Great Sam Harris Interview

2006-04-11 Thread Nick Arnett
On 4/11/06, Doug Pensinger [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:


 No, that's not obvious at all.  I'm pretty sure that many of his recruits
 are middle/upper income types.  I would argue that it is the wealth of the
 region that stimulates terrorism and that if the Middle East was
 economically and politically irrelevant there would be no epidemic of
 terrorism.


Wealth or distribution of wealth?

Nick


--
Nick Arnett
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
Messages: 408-904-7198
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Re: Great Sam Harris Interview

2006-04-11 Thread Nick Arnett
On 4/11/06, Dan Minette [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:



 Supporting that, we don't have a major concern with Bangladesh terrorists
 or
 Zambian terrorists (two countries that have been poor for a long time).


I didn't say that poverty results in or correlates to terrorism.  It's not
that simple.

Nick


--
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[EMAIL PROTECTED]
Messages: 408-904-7198
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Re: Great Sam Harris Interview

2006-04-11 Thread Nick Arnett
On 4/11/06, Charlie Bell [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:


 I have discussed religion with a
 number of Lutherans other than Nick (mainly Germanic Europeans,
 either in Cyprus or in Australia), and all bar one of those still
 practicing that I have met in the flesh (so 6 or 7) are biblical
 literalists.


Are you sure?  That's not a typical Lutheran belief, not at all.  At the
core of Lutheranism are scripture, faith and grace... the inclusion of faith
and grace means that scripture does not stand alone, leaving no room for
literalism.

They'd regard themselves as Good Christians. I don't
 know whether anyone still active on this list is a literalist, but if
 one isn't a literalist, then that's a different measure for what
 Christianity is or what a good follower means than for those that
 are. How do we decide what is right?


Perhaps that the wrong question.  Perhaps the challenge is how to live with
uncertainty, as Harris challenges us.

To me, this is why the traditional teaching of the major religions
 fails, because frankly if one can just make it up as one goes along,


But that's not it at all.


 Faith in a deity/deities/force/whatever is one thing. It's highly
 personal. But faith in a book is something else, and that's where the
 argument starts - if the book says one thing, but a follower
 disagrees and does something else, where's the value in the book?


Plenty of Christians go astray by worshiping the Bible.

Nick


--
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[EMAIL PROTECTED]
Messages: 408-904-7198
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Re: Great Sam Harris Interview

2006-04-11 Thread Doug Pensinger

Nick wrote:

I wrote:




No, that's not obvious at all.  I'm pretty sure that many of his  
recruits
are middle/upper income types.  I would argue that it is the wealth of 
the region that stimulates terrorism and that if the Middle East was

economically and politically irrelevant there would be no epidemic of
terrorism.



Wealth or distribution of wealth?


The terrorism is not a product of how the oil wealth is distributed; it's 
a product of the interest of the rest of the world in the oil.  Their bone 
of contention is that we build bases there and that we contaminate their 
culture with ours.  If they were all poor, they would be relatively 
powerless to do anything about it, but because everyone wants what they've 
got, they have the leverage and the resources to pursue their ideological 
goals.


IMO, if we had continued the energy policies set forth by Jimmy Carter 
instead of largely abandoning them in the late '80s, our problems in that 
region would be minimal because with some degree of energy independence, 
we wouldn't need their oil so much and they wouldn't be so important. To a 
large extent we have made them what they are.


This is not to apologize for terrorism, BTW.   There is nothing good or 
right about Bin Laden and his ilk.


--
Doug
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RE: Great Sam Harris Interview

2006-04-11 Thread Dan Minette


 -Original Message-
 From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] On
 Behalf Of Doug Pensinger
 Sent: Tuesday, April 11, 2006 7:03 PM
 To: Killer Bs Discussion
 Subject: Re: Great Sam Harris Interview
 
 Nick wrote:
 
 I wrote:
 
 
  No, that's not obvious at all.  I'm pretty sure that many of his
  recruits
  are middle/upper income types.  I would argue that it is the wealth of
  the region that stimulates terrorism and that if the Middle East was
  economically and politically irrelevant there would be no epidemic of
  terrorism.
 
  Wealth or distribution of wealth?
 
 The terrorism is not a product of how the oil wealth is distributed; it's
 a product of the interest of the rest of the world in the oil.  Their bone
 of contention is that we build bases there and that we contaminate their
 culture with ours.  If they were all poor, they would be relatively
 powerless to do anything about it, but because everyone wants what they've
 got, they have the leverage and the resources to pursue their ideological
 goals.
 
 IMO, if we had continued the energy policies set forth by Jimmy Carter
 instead of largely abandoning them in the late '80s, our problems in that
 region would be minimal because with some degree of energy independence,
 we wouldn't need their oil so much and they wouldn't be so important. To a
 large extent we have made them what they are.

While conservation policies would have some effect, one can see a much
better correlation between changes in prices and changes in oil usage than
in governmental policies and the use of oil.  Oil use would be lower in the
US now if we decided to, say, impose a tax on gas similar to the one in the
UK, but the increase in the US use is not the main factor in the increase in
the world's use now.  The Asian economic boom is responsible, since they are
at a point where economic growth has a high energy dependence.

I'll agree that if the Arabs were as poor as Sub-Sahara Africa, the chances
of us worrying about Islamic terrorists would be minimal.  But, I think
conservation measures would have mostly cut oil exploration outside of the
Middle East, instead of reducing the importance of that region.

I recall looking at an oil well log the first time I was in the UAE.  I
asked which tool was performing badly, since there was a cross over between
the neutron and the density tool in a 200 foot water sand.  I was told, that
log was good, it wasn't water; it was oil.  I had never seen more than 20-30
feet of pay in the North Sea, the Gulf of Mexico (GOM), the Alaska wells I
had looked at.  200 feet of high porosity pay just blew me away.

Total production costs in the Middle East are as low as $5.00/barrel.  In
the US, we are now producing oil with a total cost of $30.00/barrel.  If oil
falls back to $10.00/barrel, as it did in 1999, then the Middle Eastern
countries will be a lot poorer, but they will gradually increase their
market share as high price production is shut in.

Indeed, if you look at that time frame, AQ was not drying up and blowing
awaythey were strengthening.  If you want a turning point, the embargo
of 1973 is probably the best candidate, although the die was pretty well
cast by then.

Dan M.



 This is not to apologize for terrorism, BTW.   There is nothing good or
 right about Bin Laden and his ilk.
 
 --
 Doug
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RE: Great Sam Harris Interview

2006-04-11 Thread Dan Minette


 -Original Message-
 From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] On
 Behalf Of Dave Land
 Sent: Tuesday, April 11, 2006 5:31 PM
 To: Killer Bs Discussion
 Subject: Re: Great Sam Harris Interview
 

 One view  -- a minority view in Christianity -- is that the Bible is
 a human product, not a divine one. The Bible records certain people's
 wrestling with who God might be and how they might relate to God. The
 value in such a book (which is definitely NOT to be worshiped, but
 can still be taken very seriously) is that it lets us know what our
 spiritual forbears thought and believed, which might inform our
 understanding of God and our relationship to God. It also contains
 some historically-factual events.

The Catholic understanding is that scripture is a result of a covenant
relationship between God and the people of God. The relationship comes
first, and scripture is the result of relationship.

Historically and traditionally, Christians do not think of the Bible as a
copy of the Mother of all Books which sits in heaven, as the Koran is
considered.  It is considered the inspired word of God.  Literalists would
picture this inspiration as close to dictation.  I can recall from Catholic
grade school, the view that the evangelist said what he wanted to say and
God used him to say what he wanted to say.  The inerrancy of the bible, for
Catholics, is in it's teachings of those truths necessary for salvation.  

Non-fundamentalists Protestants (including a number of Evangelical
Christians I know) agree that inspiration is not dictation.  One common
theme, which I think you agree with, is that literalism puts God in a box
that is far too small.

 It has been said The Bible is true, and some of it actually
 happened. Problems arise when our (modern, Western) ideas of the
 equality of truth and factuality are layered on top of writings
 that didn't originate in the same understanding of truth and factuality.
 
That is very consistent with the mainstream Catholic/Jewish/Protestant
scholarship.  People of faith use very human techniques, such as historical
criticism, to understand the meaning the author wished to convey to his
readers and listeners. (paraphrase of Raymond Brownwho's as middle of
the road as there is).  Modern scholarship is taken into account when the
faith community develops their theological understanding of scriptures.

Dan M.




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RE: Great Sam Harris Interview

2006-04-11 Thread Dan Minette


 -Original Message-
 From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] On
 Behalf Of Charlie Bell
 Sent: Tuesday, April 11, 2006 4:23 PM
 To: Killer Bs Discussion
 Subject: Re: Great Sam Harris Interview
 
 
 
 So how do you decide which parts of scripture to follow and which
 not? The whole bible? Just the NT? Just Jesus' teachings, and ignore
 Paul's commentary?

If one is Christian, then the Incarnate Word of God (Jesus) has the greatest
authority.  Still the whole of scripture is considered by modern Christians
to be authoritive. How one understands this authority in a collection of
works that contains both sides of theological disputes (such as the dispute
over retribution theology) tends to be complex.  Literalism cannot really
work consistentlyI never met someone who was really a literalist
concerning the whole of scriptures.they just don't count their
non-literal reading as non-literal.

There are several formulations that give general rules for understanding
scriptures.  Peter Gomes gives one good one: scriptural principals, not
scriptural practices.  Shirley Guthrie give 6 reasonable principals for
Christians...I think I can give them from memory if asked...if not..Teri has
them.

But, let me give my own set of rules for interpretation.


First, one needs to set each work in context to properly understand it.  One
cannot get the meaning of Jonah, for example, if one thinks it was meant as
a history of a minor prophet.  It's a literary piece written to get a
theological message/messages across...one(s) that I think happens to be
great messages for their times and ours.

Second, scripture is seen in light of the community's growth in their
covenant relationship with God, as told from the human side.  Thus, we can
see the theology that God rewards good people here on earth early in the Old
Testament, and then discussions of the reasons that theology doesn't work
very well later.  With a timeline, one can see the growth of the people's
understandingfor example, the development from seeing Yahwah being one
god among many (but very powerful and _their_ god) to being the God of all,
who calls all to himself.  

As a Christian, I tend to look to Jesus and Paul for guidance in
understanding scripture.  Both discussed going to the heart of scripture, as
did Hiller (a noted rabbi of that time...roughly).  So, my questions of
scripture are more guided towards what is the heart of the relationship
instead of looking for specific prohibitions against things like
polyester/cotton blends.

In addition, I agree with the argument that all Christians have,
unconsciously or consciously, a cannon within the cannon.  That is to say
a central statement that one uses to interpret other parts of scripture.
Mine is Jesus' answer to the question what is the greatest commandment:

Love your God with your whole heart, your whole soul, and your whole mind

and

Love your neighbor as yourself.

My justification for this is that Jesus is multiply attested (in the 3
synoptic gospels) to having said this.John has a very similar saying in
Jesus' farewell discourse love one another and Paul states...three things
endure: faith hope and love; and the greatest of these is love.



 
 The implication that fundamentalism is the only complete form of a
 religion is a perfectly reasonable assertion 

But, with Christianity, then one would have to argue that it was incomplete
for most of its existence.  Fundamentalism is really rather new.

Dan M.


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Re: Great Sam Harris Interview

2006-04-11 Thread Robert Seeberger
Nick Arnett wrote:
 Plenty of Christians go astray by worshiping the Bible.


I suppose I get kinda wierd on this subject. But I agree with Nick's 
statement above.

IMO, the study of Man and the study of the Universe are much more 
important than the study of the Bible and are much more likely to 
dribble out little nuggets of truth.



xponent
Tetragrammaton Ultimatums Maru
rob 


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RE: Great Sam Harris Interview

2006-04-11 Thread Dan Minette


 -Original Message-
 From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] On
 Behalf Of Nick Arnett
 Sent: Tuesday, April 11, 2006 5:47 PM
 To: Killer Bs Discussion
 Subject: Re: Great Sam Harris Interview
 
 On 4/11/06, Dan Minette [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 
 
 
  Supporting that, we don't have a major concern with Bangladesh
 terrorists
  or
  Zambian terrorists (two countries that have been poor for a long time).
 
 
 I didn't say that poverty results in or correlates to terrorism.  It's not
 that simple.

But without correlation, then it's hard to identify it as a major cause.
Let me put forward another candidate: honor/pride.  We know that there is a
strong, almost overwhelming by our standards, concept of honor in Arab
cultures, as well there is in Afghanistan and Pakistan.  Honor killings are
a strong example of this. The critical importance of blood ties and the
prevalence of revenge killings are other examples of this.

I'd argue that, for members of AQ, the decadent West dominating the world is
a crime against the natural order of things.  It is a tremendous insult to
their pride.  Even if they and/or their family have become wealthy by
trading with the West, the lack of honor is still galling.  It's not just
the military dominance of the US that is objectionable.  More than anything,
it is the cultural dominance.  The West, the US, and above all Israel (which
is secretly controlling the USjust look at the history books: the
Protocols of the Elders of Zion of you don't believe thisneed to be put
in their proper place.  The only hope for their own honor, and the rightful
ordering of the world, is to fight these powers by all means necessary.
Thus, terrorism is acceptable.

I think it fits.  Also, pride also fits with the elbow room reason for war
given by the Germans.

Dan M. 




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Re: Great Sam Harris Interview

2006-04-11 Thread Doug Pensinger

 Dan wrote:


While conservation policies would have some effect, one can see a much
better correlation between changes in prices and changes in oil usage 
than in governmental policies and the use of oil.


In the eight years following Carter's moral equivelent of war, during a 
period of economic expansion, oil demand fell by about 17% and imports 
droped from 46 to 30%.  Two thirds of the oil we consume is on 
transportation, but thanks to the SUV loophole, the average efficiency of 
U.S. vehicles is very poor.


Oil use would be lower in  the US now if we decided to, say, impose a 
tax on gas similar to the one in the UK,


A new energy tax is a great idea because it would encourage conservation.

but the increase in the US use is not the main factor in the  increase 
in the world's use now.  The Asian economic boom is  
responsible, since they are at a point where economic growth has a high 
energy dependence.


Oh come on, Dan.  The _difference_ in the situation might be Asian 
economic growth, but the U.S. still consumes a lopsided proportion of the 
energy resources available.  If there were ten people in a room drinking 
beer and one of them was drinking three times as much as any of the others 
and another person entered the room and started drinking, who's most 
responsible for the keg going dry?  The guy that just walked in?


I'll agree that if the Arabs were as poor as Sub-Sahara Africa, the  
chances of us worrying about Islamic terrorists would be   
minimal.  But, I think conservation measures would have mostly cut oil 
exploration outside of  the Middle East, instead of reducing  the 
importance of that region.



Indeed, if you look at that time frame, AQ was not drying up and blowing
awaythey were strengthening.  If you want a turning point, the 
embargo of 1973 is probably the best candidate, although the die was 
pretty well

cast by then.


AQ was formed in the '90s due to our presence in their homeland which was 
in turn was a direct result of our thirst for their oil.  Or does anyone 
believe we would have come to the aid of Equatorial Guinea if they had 
been invaded by Cameroon?


--
Doug
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Re: Great Sam Harris Interview

2006-04-11 Thread Nick Arnett
On 4/11/06, Dan Minette [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:


  I didn't say that poverty results in or correlates to terrorism.  It's
 not
  that simple.

 But without correlation, then it's hard to identify it as a major cause.


I don't think you're following me.  I didn't say that poverty is a major
cause of terrorism.  I don't believe that.

I was saying that social, political and economic conditions in the Middle
East have created an environment favorable to recruiting terrorists by
demagogues.  My point was to argue against focusing on religion as the
reason there are terrorists arising in Islamic countries, as Harris chooses
to do.

More to the point, there are many reasons such things happen.  Religion is
just one of a bunch of interacting forces at work.  And I do think it is
blindingly obvious that more than religion creates the swamps of injustice
in which the mosquitoes of terrorism breed, to paraphrase Jim Wallis.

Nick

--
Nick Arnett
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
Messages: 408-904-7198
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RE: Great Sam Harris Interview

2006-04-11 Thread Dan Minette


 -Original Message-
 From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] On
 Behalf Of Doug Pensinger
 Sent: Tuesday, April 11, 2006 10:17 PM
 To: Killer Bs Discussion
 Subject: Re: Great Sam Harris Interview
 
   Dan wrote:
 
  While conservation policies would have some effect, one can see a much
  better correlation between changes in prices and changes in oil usage
  than in governmental policies and the use of oil.
 
 In the eight years following Carter's moral equivelent of war, during a
 period of economic expansion,

Very slow expansion.  

 oil demand fell by about 17% and imports
 dropped from 46 to 30%.  Two thirds of the oil we consume is on
 transportation, but thanks to the SUV loophole, the average efficiency of
 U.S. vehicles is very poor.

Obtaining the oil production data from

http://tonto.eia.doe.gov/dnav/pet/pet_sum_crdsnd_adc_mbbl_m.htm

and the crude oil prices from

http://inflationdata.com/inflation/Inflation_Rate/Historical_Oil_Prices_Tabl
e.asp


We get the following table:

 production   
US imports total  price GDP   US Population
1970   9.6   1.3   11.0   $17.193.6   203
1971   9.5   1.7   11.1   $17.503.7   208
1972   9.4   2.2   11.7   $18.763.9   210
1973   9.2   3.2   12.5   $20.884.1   212
1974   8.8   3.5   12.3   $37.264.1   214
1975   8.4   4.1   12.5   $44.634.1   216
1976   8.1   5.3   13.4   $45.314.3   218
1977   8.2   6.6   14.9   $46.744.5   220
1978   8.7   6.4   15.1   $45.134.8   223
1979   8.6   6.5   15.1   $67.424.9   225
1980   8.6   5.3   13.9   $89.484.9   227
1981   8.6   4.4   13.0   $77.495.0   230
1982   8.6   3.5   12.1   $64.964.9   233
1983   8.7   3.3   12.0   $57.485.1   235
1984   8.9   3.4   12.3   $54.485.5   237
1985   9.0   3.2   12.2   $49.255.7   239
1986   8.7   4.2   12.9   $25.925.9   242
1987   8.3   4.7   13.0   $30.746.1   244
1988   8.1   5.1   13.2   $24.786.4   246
1989   7.6   5.8   13.5   $29.096.6   247
1990   7.4   5.9   13.2   $34.836.7   249
1991   7.4   5.8   13.2   $29.196.7   253
1992   7.2   6.1   13.3   $27.006.9   255
1993   6.8   6.8   13.6   $22.837.1   258
1994   6.7   7.1   13.7   $20.797.3   261
1995   6.6   7.2   13.8   $21.647.5   263
1996   6.5   7.5   14.0   $25.667.8   265
1997   6.5   8.2   14.7   $22.868.2   268
1998   6.3   8.7   15.0   $14.388.5   270
1999   5.9   8.7   14.6   $19.528.9   276
2000   5.8   9.1   14.9   $31.299.2   281
2001   5.8   9.3   15.1   $25.57  278
2002   5.7   9.1   14.9   $24.94   
2003   5.7   9.7   15.3   $29.63   
2004   5.4  10.1   15.5   $39.21   
2005   5.1  10.1   15.2   $50.38 287

My apologies if things don't line up perfectly.  Let's see...Carter made the
speech in April, 1977 and consumption rose slightly through '79...even
though prices rose to $67/barrel in '79 (inflation adjusted dollars).  Crude
oil prices rose to $89/barrel  in '80 and consumption went through the
floor.  US production, which dropped from '70 until '76 responded to the
increase in price by rising roughly 10%.  The peak of exploration and
drilling was the week I hired on in the oil patchthe first week of '82.
It fell somewhat until '83-'84, but then rose slightly in '86.  The wheels
came off in '86.  You can see US production falling after that, and imports
increasing.

I see good correlations with pricesit's not surprising that a 5x
increase in prices would cut consumption.  But, I don't see a direct result
of Carter's speech.  I see the normal lag between the end of exploration and
the drop in production in the US...and I see a fairly quick response to high
prices.  I'm not sure why we need more than market forces to explain what
happened.

One other interesting pointeven though prices almost quadrupled between
1970 and 1979, the ratio of oil consumption to GDP (inflation adjusted)
remained virtually constantit actually increased very slightly.  This
was after both Ford and Carter pushed conservation.
 
Dan M. 


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RE: Great Sam Harris Interview

2006-04-11 Thread Dan Minette


 -Original Message-
 From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] On
 Behalf Of Nick Arnett
 Sent: Tuesday, April 11, 2006 11:05 PM
 To: Killer Bs Discussion
 Subject: Re: Great Sam Harris Interview
 
 On 4/11/06, Dan Minette [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 
 
   I didn't say that poverty results in or correlates to terrorism.  It's
  not
   that simple.
 
  But without correlation, then it's hard to identify it as a major cause.
 
 
 I don't think you're following me.  I didn't say that poverty is a major
 cause of terrorism.  I don't believe that.
 
 I was saying that social, political and economic conditions in the Middle
 East have created an environment favorable to recruiting terrorists by
 demagogues.  My point was to argue against focusing on religion as the
 reason there are terrorists arising in Islamic countries, as Harris
 chooses
 to do.
 
I certainly agree with that basic point, and differ with the Fool.  

 More to the point, there are many reasons such things happen.  Religion is
 just one of a bunch of interacting forces at work.  And I do think it is
 blindingly obvious that more than religion creates the swamps of injustice
 in which the mosquitoes of terrorism breed, to paraphrase Jim Wallis.


Well, draining the swamp appeals to lots of different people, with many
different viewpoints.  I think that, it is fair to say, that the Middle East
is a region that is uniquely dangerous for the world.  The only other hot
spot that rivals that area is the Korean peninsula...which has its own
unique history. For example, there is little risk of an attack on the WTC by
terrorists from Zimbabwe, even though the people there suffer horridly under
their government.  

I think the unique mix of a region that both brings cash in hand over fist
and is ruled by a small group of people who control that cash fosters a lot
of the danger of terrorism in the Middle East.  The leader of Zimbabwe does
not have the resources to build atomic weapons that can set of a massive
nuclear war.  The leader of Iran does...and the West is sending him $50
billion/year to spend as he sees fit.  Bin Laden came from a
multi-billionaire family, and had access to millions.  That helped fund
their operations.

Dan M.



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