Re: The multiverse is unscientific nonsense??

2023-11-29 Thread Jason Resch
On Thu, Nov 30, 2023, 12:19 AM Brent Meeker  wrote:

>
>
> On 11/29/2023 8:21 PM, Jason Resch wrote:
>
>
>
> On Wed, Nov 29, 2023, 9:57 PM Brent Meeker  wrote:
>
>>
>>
>> On 11/29/2023 4:58 PM, Jason Resch wrote:
>>
>>
>>
>> On Wed, Nov 29, 2023, 7:17 PM Bruce Kellett 
>> wrote:
>>
>>> On Wed, Nov 29, 2023 at 10:49 PM Stathis Papaioannou 
>>> wrote:
>>>
 On Wed, 29 Nov 2023 at 12:34, Bruce Kellett 
 wrote:

> On Wed, Nov 29, 2023 at 12:02 PM Stathis Papaioannou <
> stath...@gmail.com> wrote:
>
>>
 The Born rule allows you to calculate the probability of what
>> outcome you will see in a Universe where all outcomes occur.
>>
>
> You are still conflating incompatible theories. The Born rule is a
> rule for calculating probabilities from the wave function -- it says
> nothing about worlds or existence. MWI is a theory about the existence of
> many worlds. These theories are incompatible, and should not be conflated.
>

 “The Born rule is a rule for calculating probabilities from the wave
 function -- it says nothing about worlds or existence”  -and- “MWI is a
 theory about the existence of many worlds” are not incompatible statements.

>>>
>>> Perhaps that is the wrong way to look at it. The linearity of the
>>> Schrodinger equation implies that the individuals on all branches are the
>>> same: there is nothing to distinguish one of them as "you" and the others
>>> as mere shadows or zombies. In other words, they are all "you". So you are
>>> the person on the branch with all spins up and your probability of seeing
>>> this result is one, since this branch certainly exists, and, by linearity,
>>> "you" are the individual on that branch. This is inconsistent with the
>>> claim that the Born rule gives the probability that "you" will see some
>>> particular result. As we have seen, the probability that "you" will see all
>>> ups in one, whereas the Born probability for this result is 1/2^N. These
>>> probability estimates are incompatible.
>>>
>>
>>
>> According to relativity you exist in all times across your lifespan (and
>> all times are equally really).
>>
>> Sez who?
>>
>
> Sez Einstein, Minkowski, C.W. Rietdijk, Kip Thorne, Briane Greene, and
> Roger Penrose, to name a few.
>
>
> Yes I'm sure you can find some Platonist to cite.
>

Are all of those physicists platonists?

Do you think that your future world-line exists?
>

Yes, but I further believe there's not just one unique future (but many of
them in the multiverse).



>
>
> You take these images intended to help your mathematical intution far too
>> seriously.
>>
>
> You agreed with this at one point in time.
>
>
> Can you quote me?
>



>From this email and the one that follows:

https://groups.google.com/g/everything-list/c/jyB504QkIAs/m/0V0qGJO7Vj0J

"Yes.  So why don't you recognize that "present place" is just a label,
exactly like a latitude and longitude - and then that "present time" is a
label, a coordinate time - which the diagrams I posted made perfectly
clear.  The problem is that you seem to think "here and now" implies a
"there and now"; but "there and now" is ambiguous and is RELATIVE to the
state of motion."

"And just like "here" is relative to state of motion, so is "now". SR isn't
complicated, it
just takes a little adjustment before it's intuitive."



Perhaps I misinterpreted, but I took these quotes to mean you believed the
present was an indexical like "here" and is in no way privileged.



>
> In any case, it's not a mere image, but a well accepted implication of
> relativity.
>
> Then you must believe that your future is as fixed as your past.
>

I have many futures and many pasts (compatible with my present state of
awareness).

Jason


> Brent
>
> See:
>
> https://alwaysasking.com/what-is-time/
>
> For references.
>
>
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> 
> .
>

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Re: The multiverse is unscientific nonsense??

2023-11-29 Thread Brent Meeker



On 11/29/2023 8:21 PM, Jason Resch wrote:



On Wed, Nov 29, 2023, 9:57 PM Brent Meeker  wrote:



On 11/29/2023 4:58 PM, Jason Resch wrote:



On Wed, Nov 29, 2023, 7:17 PM Bruce Kellett
 wrote:

On Wed, Nov 29, 2023 at 10:49 PM Stathis Papaioannou
 wrote:

On Wed, 29 Nov 2023 at 12:34, Bruce Kellett
 wrote:

On Wed, Nov 29, 2023 at 12:02 PM Stathis Papaioannou
 wrote:


The Born rule allows you to calculate the
probability of what outcome you will see in a
Universe where all outcomes occur.


You are still conflating incompatible theories. The
Born rule is a rule for calculating probabilities
from the wave function -- it says nothing about
worlds or existence. MWI is a theory about the
existence of many worlds. These theories are
incompatible, and should not be conflated.


“The Born rule is a rule for calculating probabilities
from the wave function -- it says nothing about worlds or
existence”  -and- “MWI is a theory about the existence of
many worlds” are not incompatible statements.


Perhaps that is the wrong way to look at it. The linearity of
the Schrodinger equation implies that the individuals on all
branches are the same: there is nothing to distinguish one of
them as "you" and the others as mere shadows or zombies. In
other words, they are all "you". So you are the person on the
branch with all spins up and your probability of seeing this
result is one, since this branch certainly exists, and, by
linearity, "you" are the individual on that branch. This is
inconsistent with the claim that the Born rule gives the
probability that "you" will see some particular result. As we
have seen, the probability that "you" will see all ups in
one, whereas the Born probability for this result is 1/2^N.
These probability estimates are incompatible.



According to relativity you exist in all times across your
lifespan (and all times are equally really).

Sez who?


Sez Einstein, Minkowski, C.W. Rietdijk, Kip Thorne, Briane Greene, and 
Roger Penrose, to name a few.


Yes I'm sure you can find some Platonist to cite.  Do you think that 
your future world-line exists?





You take these images intended to help your mathematical intution
far too seriously.


You agreed with this at one point in time.


Can you quote me?



In any case, it's not a mere image, but a well accepted implication of 
relativity.

Then you must believe that your future is as fixed as your past.

Brent


See:

https://alwaysasking.com/what-is-time/

For references.


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Re: The multiverse is unscientific nonsense??

2023-11-29 Thread Jason Resch
On Wed, Nov 29, 2023, 10:45 PM Bruce Kellett  wrote:

> On Thu, Nov 30, 2023 at 12:46 PM Jason Resch  wrote:
>
>> On Wed, Nov 29, 2023, 8:39 PM Bruce Kellett 
>> wrote:
>>
>>> On Thu, Nov 30, 2023 at 11:59 AM Jason Resch 
>>> wrote:
>>>
 On Wed, Nov 29, 2023, 7:17 PM Bruce Kellett 
 wrote:

> On Wed, Nov 29, 2023 at 10:49 PM Stathis Papaioannou <
> stath...@gmail.com> wrote:
>
>> On Wed, 29 Nov 2023 at 12:34, Bruce Kellett 
>> wrote:
>>
>>> On Wed, Nov 29, 2023 at 12:02 PM Stathis Papaioannou <
>>> stath...@gmail.com> wrote:
>>>

>> The Born rule allows you to calculate the probability of what
 outcome you will see in a Universe where all outcomes occur.

>>>
>>> You are still conflating incompatible theories. The Born rule is a
>>> rule for calculating probabilities from the wave function -- it says
>>> nothing about worlds or existence. MWI is a theory about the existence 
>>> of
>>> many worlds. These theories are incompatible, and should not be 
>>> conflated.
>>>
>>
>> “The Born rule is a rule for calculating probabilities from the wave
>> function -- it says nothing about worlds or existence”  -and- “MWI is a
>> theory about the existence of many worlds” are not incompatible 
>> statements.
>>
>
> Perhaps that is the wrong way to look at it. The linearity of the
> Schrodinger equation implies that the individuals on all branches are the
> same: there is nothing to distinguish one of them as "you" and the others
> as mere shadows or zombies. In other words, they are all "you". So you are
> the person on the branch with all spins up and your probability of seeing
> this result is one, since this branch certainly exists, and, by linearity,
> "you" are the individual on that branch. This is inconsistent with the
> claim that the Born rule gives the probability that "you" will see some
> particular result. As we have seen, the probability that "you" will see 
> all
> ups in one, whereas the Born probability for this result is 1/2^N. These
> probability estimates are incompatible.
>


 According to relativity you exist in all times across your lifespan
 (and all times are equally really). Yet you are only ever aware of being in
 one time and in one place. I think this tells us more about the limitations
 of our neurology than it reveals about the extent or nature of reality. If
 a copy of me is created on Mars, the me know Earth doesn't magically become
 aware of it.

>>>
>>> And how do we select out the present moment from the block universe?
>>>
>>
>> I believe all apparent selections are merely indexical illusions. 'Here'
>> is no more real than 'There', 'Now' is no more real than 'Then', 'I' is no
>> more real than 'Him'. We only consider these things special due to the
>> position we happen to be in at the time a consideration is made, but all
>> such considerations exist and are equally valid. All 'Heres' are real, all
>> 'Nows' are real, all points of view are 'Is'. Only, as Shrodigner says, we
>> aren't in a position to survey them all at once.
>>
>
> What a load of fanciful nonsense! This goes no way towards explaining our
> experience.
>

Think about it some more.

Jason



> Bruce
>
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> 
> .
>

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Re: The multiverse is unscientific nonsense??

2023-11-29 Thread Jason Resch
On Wed, Nov 29, 2023, 9:57 PM Brent Meeker  wrote:

>
>
> On 11/29/2023 4:58 PM, Jason Resch wrote:
>
>
>
> On Wed, Nov 29, 2023, 7:17 PM Bruce Kellett  wrote:
>
>> On Wed, Nov 29, 2023 at 10:49 PM Stathis Papaioannou 
>> wrote:
>>
>>> On Wed, 29 Nov 2023 at 12:34, Bruce Kellett 
>>> wrote:
>>>
 On Wed, Nov 29, 2023 at 12:02 PM Stathis Papaioannou <
 stath...@gmail.com> wrote:

>
>>> The Born rule allows you to calculate the probability of what
> outcome you will see in a Universe where all outcomes occur.
>

 You are still conflating incompatible theories. The Born rule is a rule
 for calculating probabilities from the wave function -- it says nothing
 about worlds or existence. MWI is a theory about the existence of many
 worlds. These theories are incompatible, and should not be conflated.

>>>
>>> “The Born rule is a rule for calculating probabilities from the wave
>>> function -- it says nothing about worlds or existence”  -and- “MWI is a
>>> theory about the existence of many worlds” are not incompatible statements.
>>>
>>
>> Perhaps that is the wrong way to look at it. The linearity of the
>> Schrodinger equation implies that the individuals on all branches are the
>> same: there is nothing to distinguish one of them as "you" and the others
>> as mere shadows or zombies. In other words, they are all "you". So you are
>> the person on the branch with all spins up and your probability of seeing
>> this result is one, since this branch certainly exists, and, by linearity,
>> "you" are the individual on that branch. This is inconsistent with the
>> claim that the Born rule gives the probability that "you" will see some
>> particular result. As we have seen, the probability that "you" will see all
>> ups in one, whereas the Born probability for this result is 1/2^N. These
>> probability estimates are incompatible.
>>
>
>
> According to relativity you exist in all times across your lifespan (and
> all times are equally really).
>
> Sez who?
>

Sez Einstein, Minkowski, C.W. Rietdijk, Kip Thorne, Briane Greene, and
Roger Penrose, to name a few.


You take these images intended to help your mathematical intution far too
> seriously.
>

You agreed with this at one point in time.

In any case, it's not a mere image, but a well accepted implication of
relativity. See:

https://alwaysasking.com/what-is-time/

For references.

Jason


>
> Yet you are only ever aware of being in one time and in one place. I think
> this tells us more about the limitations of our neurology than it reveals
> about the extent or nature of reality. If a copy of me is created on Mars,
> the me know Earth doesn't magically become aware of it.
>
> Jason
>
>
>> Bruce
>> --
>> You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups
>> "Everything List" group.
>> To unsubscribe from this group and stop receiving emails from it, send an
>> email to everything-list+unsubscr...@googlegroups.com.
>> To view this discussion on the web visit
>> https://groups.google.com/d/msgid/everything-list/CAFxXSLQL8jz5p5AvoaZAr4%2B06KfsAC8KwA2ZaJpWhDDoYAifpA%40mail.gmail.com
>> 
>> .
>>
> --
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> 
> .
>
>
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> 
> .
>

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Re: The multiverse is unscientific nonsense??

2023-11-29 Thread Bruce Kellett
On Thu, Nov 30, 2023 at 12:46 PM Jason Resch  wrote:

> On Wed, Nov 29, 2023, 8:39 PM Bruce Kellett  wrote:
>
>> On Thu, Nov 30, 2023 at 11:59 AM Jason Resch 
>> wrote:
>>
>>> On Wed, Nov 29, 2023, 7:17 PM Bruce Kellett 
>>> wrote:
>>>
 On Wed, Nov 29, 2023 at 10:49 PM Stathis Papaioannou <
 stath...@gmail.com> wrote:

> On Wed, 29 Nov 2023 at 12:34, Bruce Kellett 
> wrote:
>
>> On Wed, Nov 29, 2023 at 12:02 PM Stathis Papaioannou <
>> stath...@gmail.com> wrote:
>>
>>>
> The Born rule allows you to calculate the probability of what
>>> outcome you will see in a Universe where all outcomes occur.
>>>
>>
>> You are still conflating incompatible theories. The Born rule is a
>> rule for calculating probabilities from the wave function -- it says
>> nothing about worlds or existence. MWI is a theory about the existence of
>> many worlds. These theories are incompatible, and should not be 
>> conflated.
>>
>
> “The Born rule is a rule for calculating probabilities from the wave
> function -- it says nothing about worlds or existence”  -and- “MWI is a
> theory about the existence of many worlds” are not incompatible 
> statements.
>

 Perhaps that is the wrong way to look at it. The linearity of the
 Schrodinger equation implies that the individuals on all branches are the
 same: there is nothing to distinguish one of them as "you" and the others
 as mere shadows or zombies. In other words, they are all "you". So you are
 the person on the branch with all spins up and your probability of seeing
 this result is one, since this branch certainly exists, and, by linearity,
 "you" are the individual on that branch. This is inconsistent with the
 claim that the Born rule gives the probability that "you" will see some
 particular result. As we have seen, the probability that "you" will see all
 ups in one, whereas the Born probability for this result is 1/2^N. These
 probability estimates are incompatible.

>>>
>>>
>>> According to relativity you exist in all times across your lifespan (and
>>> all times are equally really). Yet you are only ever aware of being in one
>>> time and in one place. I think this tells us more about the limitations of
>>> our neurology than it reveals about the extent or nature of reality. If a
>>> copy of me is created on Mars, the me know Earth doesn't magically become
>>> aware of it.
>>>
>>
>> And how do we select out the present moment from the block universe?
>>
>
> I believe all apparent selections are merely indexical illusions. 'Here'
> is no more real than 'There', 'Now' is no more real than 'Then', 'I' is no
> more real than 'Him'. We only consider these things special due to the
> position we happen to be in at the time a consideration is made, but all
> such considerations exist and are equally valid. All 'Heres' are real, all
> 'Nows' are real, all points of view are 'Is'. Only, as Shrodigner says, we
> aren't in a position to survey them all at once.
>

What a load of fanciful nonsense! This goes no way towards explaining our
experience.

Bruce

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Re: The multiverse is unscientific nonsense??

2023-11-29 Thread Brent Meeker



On 11/29/2023 5:46 PM, Jason Resch wrote:



On Wed, Nov 29, 2023, 8:39 PM Bruce Kellett  wrote:

On Thu, Nov 30, 2023 at 11:59 AM Jason Resch
 wrote:

On Wed, Nov 29, 2023, 7:17 PM Bruce Kellett
 wrote:

On Wed, Nov 29, 2023 at 10:49 PM Stathis Papaioannou
 wrote:

On Wed, 29 Nov 2023 at 12:34, Bruce Kellett
 wrote:

On Wed, Nov 29, 2023 at 12:02 PM Stathis
Papaioannou  wrote:


The Born rule allows you to calculate the
probability of what outcome you will see in a
Universe where all outcomes occur.


You are still conflating incompatible theories.
The Born rule is a rule for calculating
probabilities from the wave function -- it says
nothing about worlds or existence. MWI is a theory
about the existence of many worlds. These theories
are incompatible, and should not be conflated.


“The Born rule is a rule for calculating probabilities
from the wave function -- it says nothing about worlds
or existence”  -and- “MWI is a theory about the
existence of many worlds” are not incompatible statements.


Perhaps that is the wrong way to look at it. The linearity
of the Schrodinger equation implies that the individuals
on all branches are the same: there is nothing to
distinguish one of them as "you" and the others as mere
shadows or zombies. In other words, they are all "you". So
you are the person on the branch with all spins up and
your probability of seeing this result is one, since this
branch certainly exists, and, by linearity, "you" are the
individual on that branch. This is inconsistent with the
claim that the Born rule gives the probability that "you"
will see some particular result. As we have seen, the
probability that "you" will see all ups in one, whereas
the Born probability for this result is 1/2^N. These
probability estimates are incompatible.



According to relativity you exist in all times across your
lifespan (and all times are equally really). Yet you are only
ever aware of being in one time and in one place. I think this
tells us more about the limitations of our neurology than it
reveals about the extent or nature of reality. If a copy of me
is created on Mars, the me know Earth doesn't magically become
aware of it.


And how do we select out the present moment from the block universe?


I believe all apparent selections are merely indexical illusions. 
'Here' is no more real than 'There', 'Now' is no more real than 
'Then', 'I' is no more real than 'Him'. We only consider these things 
special due to the position we happen to be in at the time a 
consideration is made, but all such considerations exist and are 
equally valid. All 'Heres' are real, all 'Nows' are real, all points 
of view are 'Is'. Only, as Shrodigner says, we aren't in a position to 
survey them all at once.


But if somebody drops a bomb on there and you're here and not there you 
may find it makes  a difference.


Brent

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Re: The multiverse is unscientific nonsense??

2023-11-29 Thread Brent Meeker



On 11/29/2023 4:58 PM, Jason Resch wrote:



On Wed, Nov 29, 2023, 7:17 PM Bruce Kellett  wrote:

On Wed, Nov 29, 2023 at 10:49 PM Stathis Papaioannou
 wrote:

On Wed, 29 Nov 2023 at 12:34, Bruce Kellett
 wrote:

On Wed, Nov 29, 2023 at 12:02 PM Stathis Papaioannou
 wrote:


The Born rule allows you to calculate the probability
of what outcome you will see in a Universe where all
outcomes occur.


You are still conflating incompatible theories. The Born
rule is a rule for calculating probabilities from the wave
function -- it says nothing about worlds or existence. MWI
is a theory about the existence of many worlds. These
theories are incompatible, and should not be conflated.


“The Born rule is a rule for calculating probabilities from
the wave function -- it says nothing about worlds or
existence”  -and- “MWI is a theory about the existence of many
worlds” are not incompatible statements.


Perhaps that is the wrong way to look at it. The linearity of the
Schrodinger equation implies that the individuals on all branches
are the same: there is nothing to distinguish one of them as "you"
and the others as mere shadows or zombies. In other words, they
are all "you". So you are the person on the branch with all spins
up and your probability of seeing this result is one, since this
branch certainly exists, and, by linearity, "you" are the
individual on that branch. This is inconsistent with the claim
that the Born rule gives the probability that "you" will see some
particular result. As we have seen, the probability that "you"
will see all ups in one, whereas the Born probability for this
result is 1/2^N. These probability estimates are incompatible.



According to relativity you exist in all times across your lifespan 
(and all times are equally really).
Sez who?  You take these images intended to help your mathematical 
intution far too seriously.


Brent

Yet you are only ever aware of being in one time and in one place. I 
think this tells us more about the limitations of our neurology than 
it reveals about the extent or nature of reality. If a copy of me is 
created on Mars, the me know Earth doesn't magically become aware of it.


Jason


Bruce
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.

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.


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Re: The multiverse is unscientific nonsense??

2023-11-29 Thread Jason Resch
On Wed, Nov 29, 2023, 8:39 PM Bruce Kellett  wrote:

> On Thu, Nov 30, 2023 at 11:59 AM Jason Resch  wrote:
>
>> On Wed, Nov 29, 2023, 7:17 PM Bruce Kellett 
>> wrote:
>>
>>> On Wed, Nov 29, 2023 at 10:49 PM Stathis Papaioannou 
>>> wrote:
>>>
 On Wed, 29 Nov 2023 at 12:34, Bruce Kellett 
 wrote:

> On Wed, Nov 29, 2023 at 12:02 PM Stathis Papaioannou <
> stath...@gmail.com> wrote:
>
>>
 The Born rule allows you to calculate the probability of what
>> outcome you will see in a Universe where all outcomes occur.
>>
>
> You are still conflating incompatible theories. The Born rule is a
> rule for calculating probabilities from the wave function -- it says
> nothing about worlds or existence. MWI is a theory about the existence of
> many worlds. These theories are incompatible, and should not be conflated.
>

 “The Born rule is a rule for calculating probabilities from the wave
 function -- it says nothing about worlds or existence”  -and- “MWI is a
 theory about the existence of many worlds” are not incompatible statements.

>>>
>>> Perhaps that is the wrong way to look at it. The linearity of the
>>> Schrodinger equation implies that the individuals on all branches are the
>>> same: there is nothing to distinguish one of them as "you" and the others
>>> as mere shadows or zombies. In other words, they are all "you". So you are
>>> the person on the branch with all spins up and your probability of seeing
>>> this result is one, since this branch certainly exists, and, by linearity,
>>> "you" are the individual on that branch. This is inconsistent with the
>>> claim that the Born rule gives the probability that "you" will see some
>>> particular result. As we have seen, the probability that "you" will see all
>>> ups in one, whereas the Born probability for this result is 1/2^N. These
>>> probability estimates are incompatible.
>>>
>>
>>
>> According to relativity you exist in all times across your lifespan (and
>> all times are equally really). Yet you are only ever aware of being in one
>> time and in one place. I think this tells us more about the limitations of
>> our neurology than it reveals about the extent or nature of reality. If a
>> copy of me is created on Mars, the me know Earth doesn't magically become
>> aware of it.
>>
>
> And how do we select out the present moment from the block universe?
>

I believe all apparent selections are merely indexical illusions. 'Here' is
no more real than 'There', 'Now' is no more real than 'Then', 'I' is no
more real than 'Him'. We only consider these things special due to the
position we happen to be in at the time a consideration is made, but all
such considerations exist and are equally valid. All 'Heres' are real, all
'Nows' are real, all points of view are 'Is'. Only, as Shrodigner says, we
aren't in a position to survey them all at once.

Jason


It seems that whatever line you take, there are an awful lot of
> supplementary assumptions needed before MWI gets off the ground.
>
> Bruce
>
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> 
> .
>

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Re: The multiverse is unscientific nonsense??

2023-11-29 Thread Bruce Kellett
On Thu, Nov 30, 2023 at 12:34 PM Brent Meeker  wrote:

> On 11/29/2023 4:17 PM, Bruce Kellett wrote:
>
> On Wed, Nov 29, 2023 at 10:49 PM Stathis Papaioannou 
> wrote:
>
>> On Wed, 29 Nov 2023 at 12:34, Bruce Kellett 
>> wrote:
>>
>>> On Wed, Nov 29, 2023 at 12:02 PM Stathis Papaioannou 
>>> wrote:
>>>

>> The Born rule allows you to calculate the probability of what outcome
 you will see in a Universe where all outcomes occur.

>>>
>>> You are still conflating incompatible theories. The Born rule is a rule
>>> for calculating probabilities from the wave function -- it says nothing
>>> about worlds or existence. MWI is a theory about the existence of many
>>> worlds. These theories are incompatible, and should not be conflated.
>>>
>>
>> “The Born rule is a rule for calculating probabilities from the wave
>> function -- it says nothing about worlds or existence”  -and- “MWI is a
>> theory about the existence of many worlds” are not incompatible statements.
>>
>
> Perhaps that is the wrong way to look at it. The linearity of the
> Schrodinger equation implies that the individuals on all branches are the
> same: there is nothing to distinguish one of them as "you" and the others
> as mere shadows or zombies. In other words, they are all "you". So you are
> the person on the branch with all spins up and your probability of seeing
> this result is one, since this branch certainly exists, and, by linearity,
> "you" are the individual on that branch. This is inconsistent with the
> claim that the Born rule gives the probability that "you" will see some
> particular result. As we have seen, the probability that "you" will see all
> ups in one, whereas the Born probability for this result is 1/2^N. These
> probability estimates are incompatible.
>
>
> How is this different than throwing a die and seeing it came up 6.  Is
> that incompatible with that result having probability 1/6?  Why don't we
> have a multiple-worlds theory of classical probabilities?
>

Maybe because the single world explanation is simpler. We do not have a
theory that says that all possibilities actually occur on each throw of the
die.

Bruce

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Re: The multiverse is unscientific nonsense??

2023-11-29 Thread Jason Resch
On Wed, Nov 29, 2023, 8:34 PM Brent Meeker  wrote:

>
>
> On 11/29/2023 4:17 PM, Bruce Kellett wrote:
>
> On Wed, Nov 29, 2023 at 10:49 PM Stathis Papaioannou 
> wrote:
>
>> On Wed, 29 Nov 2023 at 12:34, Bruce Kellett 
>> wrote:
>>
>>> On Wed, Nov 29, 2023 at 12:02 PM Stathis Papaioannou 
>>> wrote:
>>>

>> The Born rule allows you to calculate the probability of what outcome
 you will see in a Universe where all outcomes occur.

>>>
>>> You are still conflating incompatible theories. The Born rule is a rule
>>> for calculating probabilities from the wave function -- it says nothing
>>> about worlds or existence. MWI is a theory about the existence of many
>>> worlds. These theories are incompatible, and should not be conflated.
>>>
>>
>> “The Born rule is a rule for calculating probabilities from the wave
>> function -- it says nothing about worlds or existence”  -and- “MWI is a
>> theory about the existence of many worlds” are not incompatible statements.
>>
>
> Perhaps that is the wrong way to look at it. The linearity of the
> Schrodinger equation implies that the individuals on all branches are the
> same: there is nothing to distinguish one of them as "you" and the others
> as mere shadows or zombies. In other words, they are all "you". So you are
> the person on the branch with all spins up and your probability of seeing
> this result is one, since this branch certainly exists, and, by linearity,
> "you" are the individual on that branch. This is inconsistent with the
> claim that the Born rule gives the probability that "you" will see some
> particular result. As we have seen, the probability that "you" will see all
> ups in one, whereas the Born probability for this result is 1/2^N. These
> probability estimates are incompatible.
>
>
> How is this different than throwing a die and seeing it came up 6.  Is
> that incompatible with that result having probability 1/6?  Why don't we
> have a multiple-worlds theory of classical probabilities?
>

It's interesting, Feynman and others had this exact debate in that
reference scerir provided (asking how quantum probabilities are different
from dice rolls, Feynman thought there was an important difference).

Jason


> Brent
>
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> 
> .
>

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Re: The multiverse is unscientific nonsense??

2023-11-29 Thread Bruce Kellett
On Thu, Nov 30, 2023 at 11:59 AM Jason Resch  wrote:

> On Wed, Nov 29, 2023, 7:17 PM Bruce Kellett  wrote:
>
>> On Wed, Nov 29, 2023 at 10:49 PM Stathis Papaioannou 
>> wrote:
>>
>>> On Wed, 29 Nov 2023 at 12:34, Bruce Kellett 
>>> wrote:
>>>
 On Wed, Nov 29, 2023 at 12:02 PM Stathis Papaioannou <
 stath...@gmail.com> wrote:

>
>>> The Born rule allows you to calculate the probability of what
> outcome you will see in a Universe where all outcomes occur.
>

 You are still conflating incompatible theories. The Born rule is a rule
 for calculating probabilities from the wave function -- it says nothing
 about worlds or existence. MWI is a theory about the existence of many
 worlds. These theories are incompatible, and should not be conflated.

>>>
>>> “The Born rule is a rule for calculating probabilities from the wave
>>> function -- it says nothing about worlds or existence”  -and- “MWI is a
>>> theory about the existence of many worlds” are not incompatible statements.
>>>
>>
>> Perhaps that is the wrong way to look at it. The linearity of the
>> Schrodinger equation implies that the individuals on all branches are the
>> same: there is nothing to distinguish one of them as "you" and the others
>> as mere shadows or zombies. In other words, they are all "you". So you are
>> the person on the branch with all spins up and your probability of seeing
>> this result is one, since this branch certainly exists, and, by linearity,
>> "you" are the individual on that branch. This is inconsistent with the
>> claim that the Born rule gives the probability that "you" will see some
>> particular result. As we have seen, the probability that "you" will see all
>> ups in one, whereas the Born probability for this result is 1/2^N. These
>> probability estimates are incompatible.
>>
>
>
> According to relativity you exist in all times across your lifespan (and
> all times are equally really). Yet you are only ever aware of being in one
> time and in one place. I think this tells us more about the limitations of
> our neurology than it reveals about the extent or nature of reality. If a
> copy of me is created on Mars, the me know Earth doesn't magically become
> aware of it.
>

And how do we select out the present moment from the block universe? It
seems that whatever line you take, there are an awful lot of supplementary
assumptions needed before MWI gets off the ground.

Bruce

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Re: The multiverse is unscientific nonsense??

2023-11-29 Thread Brent Meeker



On 11/29/2023 4:17 PM, Bruce Kellett wrote:
On Wed, Nov 29, 2023 at 10:49 PM Stathis Papaioannou 
 wrote:


On Wed, 29 Nov 2023 at 12:34, Bruce Kellett
 wrote:

On Wed, Nov 29, 2023 at 12:02 PM Stathis Papaioannou
 wrote:


The Born rule allows you to calculate the probability of
what outcome you will see in a Universe where all outcomes
occur.


You are still conflating incompatible theories. The Born rule
is a rule for calculating probabilities from the wave function
-- it says nothing about worlds or existence. MWI is a theory
about the existence of many worlds. These theories are
incompatible, and should not be conflated.


“The Born rule is a rule for calculating probabilities from the
wave function -- it says nothing about worlds or existence”  -and-
“MWI is a theory about the existence of many worlds” are not
incompatible statements.


Perhaps that is the wrong way to look at it. The linearity of the 
Schrodinger equation implies that the individuals on all branches are 
the same: there is nothing to distinguish one of them as "you" and the 
others as mere shadows or zombies. In other words, they are all "you". 
So you are the person on the branch with all spins up and your 
probability of seeing this result is one, since this branch certainly 
exists, and, by linearity, "you" are the individual on that branch. 
This is inconsistent with the claim that the Born rule gives the 
probability that "you" will see some particular result. As we have 
seen, the probability that "you" will see all ups in one, whereas the 
Born probability for this result is 1/2^N. These probability estimates 
are incompatible.


How is this different than throwing a die and seeing it came up 6. Is 
that incompatible with that result having probability 1/6?  Why don't we 
have a multiple-worlds theory of classical probabilities?


Brent

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Re: The multiverse is unscientific nonsense??

2023-11-29 Thread Jason Resch
On Wed, Nov 29, 2023, 7:17 PM Bruce Kellett  wrote:

> On Wed, Nov 29, 2023 at 10:49 PM Stathis Papaioannou 
> wrote:
>
>> On Wed, 29 Nov 2023 at 12:34, Bruce Kellett 
>> wrote:
>>
>>> On Wed, Nov 29, 2023 at 12:02 PM Stathis Papaioannou 
>>> wrote:
>>>

>> The Born rule allows you to calculate the probability of what outcome
 you will see in a Universe where all outcomes occur.

>>>
>>> You are still conflating incompatible theories. The Born rule is a rule
>>> for calculating probabilities from the wave function -- it says nothing
>>> about worlds or existence. MWI is a theory about the existence of many
>>> worlds. These theories are incompatible, and should not be conflated.
>>>
>>
>> “The Born rule is a rule for calculating probabilities from the wave
>> function -- it says nothing about worlds or existence”  -and- “MWI is a
>> theory about the existence of many worlds” are not incompatible statements.
>>
>
> Perhaps that is the wrong way to look at it. The linearity of the
> Schrodinger equation implies that the individuals on all branches are the
> same: there is nothing to distinguish one of them as "you" and the others
> as mere shadows or zombies. In other words, they are all "you". So you are
> the person on the branch with all spins up and your probability of seeing
> this result is one, since this branch certainly exists, and, by linearity,
> "you" are the individual on that branch. This is inconsistent with the
> claim that the Born rule gives the probability that "you" will see some
> particular result. As we have seen, the probability that "you" will see all
> ups in one, whereas the Born probability for this result is 1/2^N. These
> probability estimates are incompatible.
>


According to relativity you exist in all times across your lifespan (and
all times are equally really). Yet you are only ever aware of being in one
time and in one place. I think this tells us more about the limitations of
our neurology than it reveals about the extent or nature of reality. If a
copy of me is created on Mars, the me know Earth doesn't magically become
aware of it.

Jason


> Bruce
>
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> 
> .
>

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Re: The multiverse is unscientific nonsense??

2023-11-29 Thread Bruce Kellett
On Wed, Nov 29, 2023 at 10:49 PM Stathis Papaioannou 
wrote:

> On Wed, 29 Nov 2023 at 12:34, Bruce Kellett  wrote:
>
>> On Wed, Nov 29, 2023 at 12:02 PM Stathis Papaioannou 
>> wrote:
>>
>>>
> The Born rule allows you to calculate the probability of what outcome
>>> you will see in a Universe where all outcomes occur.
>>>
>>
>> You are still conflating incompatible theories. The Born rule is a rule
>> for calculating probabilities from the wave function -- it says nothing
>> about worlds or existence. MWI is a theory about the existence of many
>> worlds. These theories are incompatible, and should not be conflated.
>>
>
> “The Born rule is a rule for calculating probabilities from the wave
> function -- it says nothing about worlds or existence”  -and- “MWI is a
> theory about the existence of many worlds” are not incompatible statements.
>

Perhaps that is the wrong way to look at it. The linearity of the
Schrodinger equation implies that the individuals on all branches are the
same: there is nothing to distinguish one of them as "you" and the others
as mere shadows or zombies. In other words, they are all "you". So you are
the person on the branch with all spins up and your probability of seeing
this result is one, since this branch certainly exists, and, by linearity,
"you" are the individual on that branch. This is inconsistent with the
claim that the Born rule gives the probability that "you" will see some
particular result. As we have seen, the probability that "you" will see all
ups in one, whereas the Born probability for this result is 1/2^N. These
probability estimates are incompatible.

Bruce

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Re: The multiverse is unscientific nonsense??

2023-11-29 Thread Brent Meeker



On 11/29/2023 10:01 AM, John Clark wrote:
On Tue, Nov 28, 2023 at 7:43 PM Brent Meeker  
wrote:


/> For comparison you could posit a theory, MWI*, which is MWI
plus the provision that only one exists with probability as
defined by the Born rule.  Would MWI* be a different
interpretation than modern-CI? /


In that case  MWI* would be the same as CI un that neithercould 
explain why Schrodinger's equation and the Born ruletreat one world 
very differently from all the others that makes it more real. MWI*we 
have to start talking about measurement and observers and all that crap.


All that crap that makes up everything we observe, write down, report 
and cite in papers?  That crap?


Brent

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Re: The multiverse is unscientific nonsense??

2023-11-29 Thread Brent Meeker



On 11/29/2023 6:27 AM, 'scerir' via Everything List wrote:


[Bruce] Not really comparable. The probability of what ball you get is 
distinct from the fact that the ball exists. MWI is not a theory about 
what you will see. Any theory about that is necessarily a single world 
theory since you only see one ball. MWI is a theory about what exists, 
and its claim is that many worlds all exist with probability one.


Principle of least information? Omniverse -> Multiverse -> Universe?

"/Jaynes' followers propose a profound connection between action and 
information, such that the principle of least action and the laws of 
thermodynamics both derive from basic symmetries of logic itself. /



I'd like to see that derivation.


/We need only accept that all conceivable universes are equally likely, /


That figures; they are zero likely.

/a principle of least information. Under this assumption, we can 
imagine a smooth spectrum from metaphysics to physics, from the 
omniverse to the multiverse to the universe, where the fundamental 
axis is information, and the only fundamental law is that you can 
never assume more than you know./" -- David Dalrymple



Just scienecy speak.

Brent



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Re: The multiverse is unscientific nonsense??

2023-11-29 Thread Jason Resch
On Wed, Nov 29, 2023 at 2:59 PM Brent Meeker  wrote:

>
>
> On 11/29/2023 4:00 AM, John Clark wrote:
>
> On Tue, Nov 28, 2023 at 7:30 PM Brent Meeker 
> wrote:
>
> *> MWI fans assert that it is superior because it doesn't assume the Born
>> rule, only the Schroedinger equation.  I wouldn't claim that the (modern)
>> version of Copenhagen is superior to MWI, I'm just unconvinced of the
>> converse.*
>
>
> A pretty convincing argument can be made that if the Many Worlds idea is
> true then the Born Rule must have the ability to predict the most probable
> outcome of any quantum experiment and as an added bonus, unlike its
> competitors, it can do so without adding any random elements. However I
> admit nobody has ever been able to prove that Many Worlds is the only
> possible explanation of why the Born Rule works, and we already know from
> experiments that it does. Put it this way, if Many Worlds is true then the
> Born Rule works, and if the Born Rule works (and we know that it does) then
> Many Worlds MIGHT be true. But that's still a hell of a lot better than any
> other quantum interpretation anybody has managed to come up with, at least
> so far. I'm not certain Many Worlds is correct, but I am certain its
> competitors are wrong, or so bad they're not even wrong.
>
> And as far as assumptions are concerned, every scientist, not just
> physicists, has no choice but to assume that probability must be a real
> number between zero and one, and all the probabilities must add up to
> exactly one for any given situation, because otherwise the very concept
> of probability would make no sense. And we know that taking the square root
> of the absolute value is the only way to get a number like that out of a
> complex function like Schrodinger's wave equation.  If Many Worlds is
> true, and If each version of Brent Meeker makes bets In accordance with the
> laws of probability so derived, then more Brent Meekers will make money
> by following the advice given by the Born Rule than if they followed any
> other betting strategy. Yes some Brent Meekers will still go broke even
> if they follow the Born Rule, but most will not.
>
>
> Yes, I knew all that.  But does it follow from the Schroedinger equation
> alone.  Reading the Carroll/Sebens paper is suggestive, but it depends on
> transforming to a basis that makes the number of components match the Born
> rule.  But it seems to me that one could transform to basis where the
> number of components did not match the Born rule.  Their example is chosen
> so that in the transformed basis each component has amplitude 1 ,  but
> that's just scaling.  They even start with eqn (33) which is not
> normalized.  So it shows how to convert a weighted superposition into a
> branch count.  But it appears to me that it could produce any number of
> branches.  The example is chosen to neatly produce all branches of
> amplitude 1, but that cannot be significant since eqn(35) is not
> normalized.  So the number of branches is not actually determined and could
> be anything.
>

I found this interesting, on comparing whether all bases are really on
equal footing or not:

https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/XDkeuJTFjM9Y2x6v6/which-basis-is-more-fundamental

Jason

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Re: The multiverse is unscientific nonsense??

2023-11-29 Thread Brent Meeker



On 11/29/2023 4:00 AM, John Clark wrote:
On Tue, Nov 28, 2023 at 7:30 PM Brent Meeker  
wrote:


/> MWI fans assert that it is superior because it doesn't assume
the Born rule, only the Schroedinger equation.  I wouldn't claim
that the (modern) version of Copenhagen is superior to MWI, I'm
just unconvinced of the converse./


A pretty convincing argument can be made that if the Many Worlds idea 
is true then the Born Rule must have the ability to predict the most 
probable outcome of any quantum experiment and as an added bonus, 
unlike its competitors, it can do so without adding any random 
elements. However I admit nobody has ever been able to prove that Many 
Worlds is the only possible explanation of why the Born Rule works, 
and we already know from experiments that it does. Put it this way, if 
Many Worlds is true then the Born Rule works, and if the Born Rule 
works (and we know that it does) then Many Worlds MIGHT be true. But 
that's still a hell of a lot better than any other quantum 
interpretation anybody has managed to come up with, at least so far. 
I'm not certain Many Worlds is correct, but I am certain its 
competitors are wrong, or so bad they're not even wrong.


And as far as assumptions are concerned,every scientist, not just 
physicists, has no choice but to assume that probability must be a 
real number between zero and one, and all the probabilities mustadd up 
to exactly one for any given situation, because otherwise the very 
concept of probability would make no sense. And we know that taking 
the square root of the absolute value is the only way to get a number 
like that out of a complex function like Schrodinger's wave equation. 
If Many Worlds is true, and If each version of Brent Meeker makes bets 
In accordance with the laws of probability so derived, then more Brent 
Meekers will make money by following the advice given by the Born Rule 
than if they followed any other betting strategy. Yes some Brent 
Meekers will still go broke even if they follow the Born Rule, but 
most will not.


Yes, I knew all that.  But does it follow from the Schroedinger equation 
alone.  Reading the Carroll/Sebens paper is suggestive, but it depends 
on transforming to a basis that makes the number of components match the 
Born rule.  But it seems to me that one could transform to basis where 
the number of components did not match the Born rule.  Their example is 
chosen so that in the transformed basis each component has amplitude 1 
,  but that's just scaling.  They even start with eqn (33) which is not 
normalized.  So it shows how to convert a weighted superposition into a 
branch count.  But it appears to me that it could produce any number of 
branches.  The example is chosen to neatly produce all branches of 
amplitude 1, but that cannot be significant since eqn(35) is not 
normalized.  So the number of branches is not actually determined and 
could be anything.


Brent



John K Clark    See what's on my new list at Extropolis 


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Re: The multiverse is unscientific nonsense??

2023-11-29 Thread John Clark
On Tue, Nov 28, 2023 at 7:43 PM Brent Meeker  wrote:

*> For comparison you could posit a theory, MWI*, which is MWI plus the
> provision that only one exists with probability as defined by the Born
> rule.  Would MWI* be a different interpretation than modern-CI? *


In that case  MWI* would be the same as CI un that neither could explain
why Schrodinger's equation and the Born rule treat one world very
differently from all the others that makes it more real.  MWI* we have to
start talking about measurement and observers and all that crap.
 John K ClarkSee what's on my new list at  Extropolis

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Re: The multiverse is unscientific nonsense??

2023-11-29 Thread 'scerir' via Everything List
[Bruce] Not really comparable. The probability of what ball you get is distinct 
from the fact that the ball exists. MWI is not a theory about what you will 
see. Any theory about that is necessarily a single world theory since you only 
see one ball. MWI is a theory about what exists, and its claim is that many 
worlds all exist with probability one.

 

Principle of least information? Omniverse -> Multiverse -> Universe?

"Jaynes' followers propose a profound connection between action and 
information, such that the principle of least action and the laws of 
thermodynamics both derive from basic symmetries of logic itself. We need only 
accept that all conceivable universes are equally likely, a principle of least 
information. Under this assumption, we can imagine a smooth spectrum from 
metaphysics to physics, from the omniverse to the multiverse to the universe, 
where the fundamental axis is information, and the only fundamental law is that 
you can never assume more than you know." -- David Dalrymple

 

 

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Re: The multiverse is unscientific nonsense??

2023-11-29 Thread John Clark
On Tue, Nov 28, 2023 at 7:30 PM Brent Meeker  wrote:

*> MWI fans assert that it is superior because it doesn't assume the Born
> rule, only the Schroedinger equation.  I wouldn't claim that the (modern)
> version of Copenhagen is superior to MWI, I'm just unconvinced of the
> converse.*


A pretty convincing argument can be made that if the Many Worlds idea is
true then the Born Rule must have the ability to predict the most probable
outcome of any quantum experiment and as an added bonus, unlike its
competitors, it can do so without adding any random elements. However I
admit nobody has ever been able to prove that Many Worlds is the only
possible explanation of why the Born Rule works, and we already know from
experiments that it does. Put it this way, if Many Worlds is true then the
Born Rule works, and if the Born Rule works (and we know that it does) then
Many Worlds MIGHT be true. But that's still a hell of a lot better than any
other quantum interpretation anybody has managed to come up with, at least
so far. I'm not certain Many Worlds is correct, but I am certain its
competitors are wrong, or so bad they're not even wrong.

And as far as assumptions are concerned, every scientist, not just
physicists, has no choice but to assume that probability must be a real
number between zero and one, and all the probabilities must add up to
exactly one for any given situation, because otherwise the very concept of
probability would make no sense. And we know that taking the square root of
the absolute value is the only way to get a number like that out of a
complex function like Schrodinger's wave equation.  If Many Worlds is true,
and If each version of Brent Meeker makes bets In accordance with the laws
of probability so derived, then more Brent Meekers will make money by
following the advice given by the Born Rule than if they followed any other
betting strategy. Yes some Brent Meekers will still go broke even if they
follow the Born Rule, but most will not.

John K ClarkSee what's on my new list at  Extropolis

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Re: The multiverse is unscientific nonsense??

2023-11-29 Thread Stathis Papaioannou
On Wed, 29 Nov 2023 at 12:34, Bruce Kellett  wrote:

> On Wed, Nov 29, 2023 at 12:02 PM Stathis Papaioannou 
> wrote:
>
>> On Wed, 29 Nov 2023 at 11:32, Bruce Kellett 
>> wrote:
>>
>>> On Wed, Nov 29, 2023 at 11:25 AM Stathis Papaioannou 
>>> wrote:
>>>
 On Wed, 29 Nov 2023 at 11:17, Bruce Kellett 
 wrote:

> On Wed, Nov 29, 2023 at 11:13 AM Stathis Papaioannou <
> stath...@gmail.com> wrote:
>
>> On Wed, 29 Nov 2023 at 10:53, Bruce Kellett 
>> wrote:
>>
>>> On Wed, Nov 29, 2023 at 10:40 AM Stathis Papaioannou <
>>> stath...@gmail.com> wrote:
>>>
 On Wed, 29 Nov 2023 at 09:34, Bruce Kellett 
 wrote:

> On Wed, Nov 29, 2023 at 9:29 AM John Clark 
> wrote:
>
>> On Tue, Nov 28, 2023 at 5:14 PM Bruce Kellett <
>> bhkellet...@gmail.com> wrote:
>>
>> *> Given a long series of N spin measurements, MWI says that
>>> there is always one person who sees N spin-ups. Since this 
>>> observation is
>>> certain, it has probability one. Whereas the Born probability of 
>>> seeing N
>>> ups is 1/2^N. A clear contradiction.*
>>
>>
>>
>>  The probability that Bruce Kellett will see N spin-ups is
>> indeed one. However the probability that you will see  N spin-ups
>> is not. As I mentioned before, for this sort of discussion the way 
>> the
>> English language handles personal pronouns needs to be modified.
>>
>
> It is not a question of whether you will see the N spin-ups, or
> whether it is just one copy of Bruce Kellett that will see this. The
> incompatibility arises from the fact that the series of N spin-ups
> necessarily exits in MWI, where it only has probability 1/2^N from 
> the Born
> rule.
>

 If you lived in any sort of universe where you were duplicated,
 there would be some probability that you would see different outcomes.

>>>
>>> So what? The problem you have is that you have changed the rules of
>>> the theory -- from a theory about what exists, to a theory about what 
>>> you
>>> will see. Since you will only ever see one outcome, one world, you have
>>> reduced it from a theory of many worlds to a theory of a single world --
>>> the world you will see!
>>>
>>
>> Obviously the Born rule under MWI is about the probability of what
>> outcome you will see.
>>
>
> As I pointed out, if it is a theory about what you will see, then it
> is a single world theory, since you will only ever see just one world.
> Hence the incompatibility with Many worlds, which is a theory about what
> exists.
>

 If I pull a coloured ball out of a basket, there is a probability of
 what ball I will see and a theory about what balls exist.

>>>
>>>
>>> Not really comparable. The probability of what ball you get is distinct
>>> from the fact that the ball exists. MWI is not a theory about what you will
>>> see. Any theory about that is necessarily a single world theory since you
>>> only see one ball. MWI is a theory about what exists, and its claim is that
>>> many worlds all exist with probability one.
>>>
>>
>> The Born rule allows you to calculate the probability of what outcome you
>> will see in a Universe where all outcomes occur.
>>
>
> You are still conflating incompatible theories. The Born rule is a rule
> for calculating probabilities from the wave function -- it says nothing
> about worlds or existence. MWI is a theory about the existence of many
> worlds. These theories are incompatible, and should not be conflated.
>

“The Born rule is a rule for calculating probabilities from the wave
function -- it says nothing about worlds or existence”  -and- “MWI is a
theory about the existence of many worlds” are not incompatible statements.

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Re: The multiverse is unscientific nonsense??

2023-11-29 Thread John Clark
On Tue, Nov 28, 2023 at 6:49 PM Bruce Kellett  wrote:

*> the Born rule is incompatible with MWI. It is not incompatible with the
> CI.*


Nothing is incompatible with CI and nothing is compatible with it either
because nobody knows what the hell CI is saying, and that includes Niels
Bohr.

 John K ClarkSee what's on my new list at  Extropolis

bni

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