Re: Return to Education and IV

2002-11-04 Thread Bryan Caplan
Robin Hanson wrote: Now maybe you accept this, and think yourself part of, or advisor to, an elite empowered to make ordinary people do things that are good for them, whether they like it or not. I think that what Bill might say is that even though people under-invest in their own

Re: Return to Education and IV

2002-11-04 Thread AdmrlLocke
In a message dated 11/4/02 4:30:31 PM, [EMAIL PROTECTED] writes: I think Bill would say that he's pretty sure. He's seen the data, crunched the numbers, read the literature, etc. If you feel comfortable failing people on their exams, why shouldn't you feel comfortable giving them a failing

Re: Return to Education and IV

2002-11-04 Thread Robin Hanson
Bryan Caplan wrote: Now maybe you accept this, and think yourself part of, or advisor to, an elite empowered to make ordinary people do things that are good for them, whether they like it or not. I think that what Bill might say is that even though people under-invest in their own education,

Re: Return to Education and IV

2002-11-04 Thread Bryan D Caplan
Robin Hanson wrote: I know that Bryan Caplan would say that people as consumers and people as voters are just two different sets of preferences, and there is no particular reason to expect much consistency between them. But that's a pretty unusual position, so I didn't necessarily expect

Re: Return to Education and IV

2002-10-29 Thread Robin Hanson
On 10/25/02, William Dickens wrote: ... the rationality assumptions built into to any inter-temporal optimizing model are so demanding that sort of trying to get it right will get you no where near the predictions of the of the full-rationality-perfect-information model. The deviations are

Re: Return to Education and IV

2002-10-29 Thread Bryan Caplan
I have a lot to say in response to Bill on this topic. In fact, I was too fascinated with the topic to sleep well last night. I'm going to begin by answering a few specific points, then give one longer post. William Dickens wrote: If the decision is literally a no-brainer, then failing to

Re: Return to Education and IV

2002-10-29 Thread Bryan Caplan
William Dickens wrote: I see Bill already answered my question. Not the way you think. See my response to yours. I should also add that the social costs of tuition are much higher than the private costs for public universities, making it even more likely that the social return is quite

Re: Return to Education and IV

2002-10-28 Thread Bryan Caplan
A belated reply to Bill. William Dickens wrote: Note its the _parents_ in your story who are groaning, not the kids. OK, I'll admit that the no idea was based on what I know it was like when I was going to college in the 70s. However, it is still my impression after 13 years of teaching

Re: Return to Education and IV

2002-10-28 Thread Bryan Caplan
Eric Crampton wrote: On Fri, 25 Oct 2002, William Dickens wrote: continue schooling largely under weights the future benefits. Nearly everyone should get more schooling than they do. This is only one of I see Bill already answered my question. Blunt reaction: Come on! If you really

Re: Return to Education and IV

2002-10-28 Thread William Dickens
If the decision is literally a no-brainer, then failing to consider alternatives is rational. ??!!! Not if they make the wrong choice! OK, I suppose you are going to argue that all the people who didn't have a clue what the return to continuing their education was are the ones for whom it was

RE: Return to Education and IV

2002-10-28 Thread Grey Thomas
Data that includes going to college almost certainly includes SAT scores. (I also think they correlate strongly with IQ, but haven't looked for that data). I'm sure that the effect of more schooling is higher on those with higher SAT scores. In addition, I'd guess the data includes average,

Re: Return to Education and IV

2002-10-28 Thread Jason DeBacker
Is there a significant difference in the returns to education for those who get schooling in top ranked programs? I thought I remember a Newsweek a couple years back that had a story about SAT scores of successful people (two profiles were G.W. Bush and Gore so I guess it was around 2000),

Re: Return to Education and IV

2002-10-25 Thread Eric Crampton
On Fri, 25 Oct 2002, William Dickens wrote: continue schooling largely under weights the future benefits. Nearly everyone should get more schooling than they do. This is only one of Self-serving Eric, who hopes to be an econoimcs professor, couldn't agree more. Demand for college professors

Re: Return to Education and IV

2002-10-24 Thread William Dickens
Of course, very few people, if any, are profoundly rational optimizers, but they are approximate optimizers. This is always the response of mainstream economists when one points out that people obviously are not behaving as models predict. Unfortunately, for a lot of people that is where the

Re: Return to Education and IV

2002-10-24 Thread AdmrlLocke
In a message dated 10/24/02 10:51:12 AM, [EMAIL PROTECTED] writes: This is always the response of mainstream economists when one points out that people obviously are not behaving as models predict. Unfortunately, for a lot of people that is where the discussion stops. The assumption seems to

Re: Return to Education and IV

2002-10-22 Thread William Dickens
because I strongly suspect that 1) people have almost no idea how much it will be worth for them to continue in school, Gee, now you're sounding Austrian! No idea? Come on. Just look at how parents groan when their kids talk about the low-earning majors like sociology, and rejoice when

Re: Return to Education and IV

2002-10-22 Thread William Dickens
The history majors knew they'd make less with a history degree, on average, but placed a higher value on doing something they enjoyed then on having a higher income. Yes, but did they know how much of a difference it would make? I once did a survey of students in one of my undergraduate

Re: Return to Education and IV

2002-10-18 Thread William Dickens
But controling for IQ isn't warranted if years of schooling is endogenous. Kevin Lang has written extensively about these issues. - - Bill William T. Dickens The Brookings Institution 1775 Massachusetts Avenue, NW Washington, DC 20036 Phone: (202) 797-6113 FAX: (202) 797-6181 E-MAIL: [EMAIL

Re: Return to Education and IV

2002-10-18 Thread Bryan Caplan
William Dickens wrote: But controling for IQ isn't warranted if years of schooling is endogenous. Kevin Lang has written extensively about these issues. - - Could you enlighten us? Bill William T. Dickens The Brookings Institution 1775 Massachusetts Avenue, NW Washington, DC 20036

Re: Return to Education and IV

2002-10-17 Thread Bryan Caplan
William Dickens wrote: As I remember the standard neo-classical answer to this is that the main source of endogenaity isn't ability bias but discount rate bias - - that people with below average discount rates get more schooling. I hadn't thought of that (or heard it). Is there actually

Re: Return to Education and IV

2002-10-17 Thread Rodney F Weiher
Just a note on discount rates. The late sociologist Ed Banfield had an entire theory of poverty, education, crime, and in general, class distinction based not on income but on discount rates, e.g. higher rates, less education, more crime, lower-class behavior. It was very intuitive in terms of a

Re: Return to Education and IV

2002-10-17 Thread Bryan Caplan
Rodney F Weiher wrote: Just a note on discount rates. The late sociologist Ed Banfield had an entire theory of poverty, education, crime, and in general, class distinction based not on income but on discount rates, e.g. higher rates, less education, more crime, lower-class behavior. Yes,

Re: Return to Education and IV

2002-10-17 Thread Bryan Caplan
Alex T Tabarrok wrote: Bryan's question, however, can be rephrased as not how do you explain the data (low ability bias and high discount rate bias) but why is it that ability bias appears low? Ability bias isn't really low. Using the NLSY data, for example, controlling for AFQT scores

Re: Return to Education and IV

2002-10-16 Thread William Dickens
As I remember the standard neo-classical answer to this is that the main source of endogenaity isn't ability bias but discount rate bias - - that people with below average discount rates get more schooling. So if the question you want to know is the effect of attending high school vs. only going