Jed, you are right.
On Sun, Aug 14, 2011 at 11:23 AM, Jed Rothwell <jedrothw...@gmail.com> wrote:
> pca <pierre.carbonne...@gmail.com> wrote:
>
>>
>> Deploying one, let alone millions, of Hyperion units in unsecured places
>> gives plenty of opportunity for competitors to acquire the device and
>> reverse engineer its secret. Defkalion's attempts to add security within
>> the Hyperions are not credible. It's much better for Rossi to have
>> licencee(s) build a few large electricity-generating units in well-garded
>> places, and sell the electricity to resellers.
>
> The strategy would not work, and it would not be allowed. It would not work
> because "security by obscurity" for such a momentous discovery would never
> last. Someone would reveal the secret, or steal a sample of material and
> reverse engineer it.
> It would not be allowed because no first-world nation will permit people to
> build a nuclear reactor without first fully explaining how it works, and
> without having hundreds of experts at national laboratories, universities
> and elsewhere examine the devices to make certain the are safe. The
> accidents at Three Mile Island, Chernobyl and Fukushima make that
> unthinkable. The public would not stand for it. Nor should the public stand
> for it. This is not 1948, when governments and corporations could do
> whatever they please in secrecy. As much as I support cold fusion, I think
> it would be insane to have anything other than kilowatt-scale research
> reactors in laboratories until all of the experts agree they know how the
> reaction works and they are sure it cannot produce harm. This will take many
> years, and billions of dollars.
> Defkalion believes they will be allowed to distribute these things in Europe
> before the devices have been vetted by nuclear experts worldwide and before
> there is complete understanding the the reaction. I think there is no chance
> this will be allowed, even if the Greek Min. of Energy tests are completed
> an a license is granted. As soon it becomes generally known that these are
> nuclear reactors (as I am certain they are) the public and governments
> worldwide will demand that sales be put on hold while experts worldwide test
> thousands of units for thousands of hours.
> Details will be published in leading journals of physics and engineering,
> just as they are for semiconductor or combustion technology. There will be
> conferences with hundreds of attendees at which the technology is discussed
> in great detail, where universities and corporations reveal their latest
> findings and new versions of the reactors. Textbooks on the technology will
> be published. There will be no fundamental technical secrets at all, any
> more than there are for the fundamentals of semiconductors. All this will
> happen -- and must happen -- before a single reactor is sold to the general
> public. That is how the modern world works.
> In the modern world we do not allow automobile companies to sell a new type
> of car until they first spend a hundred million dollars on crash tests and
> other safety verification. We know more about automobiles than practically
> any other technology, so computer simulations of crash-tests would probably
> produce the information we need. But the public still insists that
> manufacturers start over from zero and crash physical prototype cars into
> barriers. The public is right to demand this. The extra cost of this testing
> spread over the cost of each automobile later sold is small, and the
> benefits -- lives and money saved -- far outweigh the cost. Since we make
> such demands on automobile manufacturers for a well-understood, well-known
> conventional technology, I am sure we will make much greater demands for a
> new, unknown type of nuclear reactor. It would be irresponsible not to. This
> will add only a few dollars to the cost of each reactor.
> - Jed
>
