I hope so, and I feel that today energy cost is felt as a master parameter.
It is just that it seems that it is only 10% of the produced good value... It is just a confilt between what my eyes see, and what the consensus seems to be... In that domain my intuition is not good enough to have a safe opinion... anyway it will make a shock of productivity, and as many say here, will create new organization, goods, services, that maybe will have more impact. One of them is simply food, water, education, ... 2012/7/18 Jed Rothwell <jedrothw...@gmail.com> > Alain Sepeda <alain.sep...@gmail.com> wrote: > > It will be important shock, but not so huge. at most 10% >> >> of course you can expect that the technology will become even cheaper, >> but even if LENR get to zero, the turbines, cooling and alike will stay as >> expensive (and I have under estimated their cost). >> > > I suggest you read my book, chapters 14 and 15 especially. I show why cold > fusion will probably reduce electric power costs by two-thirds quickly, and > why eventually it will reduce all energy costs -- including equipment costs > -- by orders of magnitude. > > To summarize: when one component in a system falls in price, the other > components also soon become cheaper. Cheap microcomputers spurred the > development of cheap hard disks and printers. > > I may be wrong about that, but I consulted with experts and thought about > it carefully. I did not reach that conclusion in week or two. More like > several years after reading lots of books. > > - Jed > >
