Here are some historical numbers Chris. I think it is possible to extrapolate future growth from this curve in percentages per year.
Historical Global Internet Traffic Data, 1984 through 2014 Year Traffic (GB/mo) 1984 15 1985 33 1986 65 1987 128 1988 252 1989 498 1990 1,000 1991 2,002 1992 4,444 1993 8,715 1994 25,830 1995 150,500 1996 1,200,000 1997 5,000,000 1998 11,200,000 1999 25,500,000 2000 75,250,000 2001 175,000,000 2002 356,000,000 2003 681,050,000 2004 1,267,800,000 2005 1,802,745,619 2006 2,910,579,371 2007 4,477,367,718 2008 6,491,159,470 2009 9,301,984,735 2010 13,751,003,569 2011 19,974,008,812 2012 26,214,897,380 2013 32,798,830,927 2014 42,423,169,029 Here is a comparison of percentages of growth across a few different industries from 2000 to 2014. Internet traffic increased by 56% over this 14 year period. So, if you wanted to “future proof” your network for the next 14 years, maybe the 56% number is something you could apply to your current pre customer average consumption. Frank Befera VP of Broadband & Cable Operations Rodeo Networks Direct - 218-348-8722 Office - 509-210-3023 http://www.rodeonetworks.com f.bef...@rodeonetworks.com > On Aug 8, 2019, at 9:12 PM, af-requ...@af.afmug.com wrote: > > Send AF mailing list submissions to > af@af.afmug.com > > To subscribe or unsubscribe via the World Wide Web, visit > http://af.afmug.com/mailman/listinfo/af_af.afmug.com > or, via email, send a message with subject or body 'help' to > af-requ...@af.afmug.com > > You can reach the person managing the list at > af-ow...@af.afmug.com > > When replying, please edit your Subject line so it is more specific > than "Re: Contents of AF digest..." > > > Today's Topics: > > 1. Re: Future FTTH bandwidth usage standard (Chris Fabien) > 2. Re: Future FTTH bandwidth usage standard > (Mark - Myakka Technologies) > 3. Cambium and Xirrus Sitting in a Tree... (Mike Hammett) > 4. Re: Cambium and Xirrus Sitting in a Tree... (Matt Hoppes) > > > ---------------------------------------------------------------------- > > Message: 1 > Date: Thu, 8 Aug 2019 20:08:55 -0400 > From: Chris Fabien <ch...@lakenetmi.com> > To: AnimalFarm Microwave Users Group <af@af.afmug.com> > Subject: Re: [AFMUG] Future FTTH bandwidth usage standard > Message-ID: > <calgrl5vuofb_dlcemasrsqj73z8jqrvvrxftyvjhvh-awma...@mail.gmail.com> > Content-Type: text/plain; charset="utf-8" > > How do you forecast that to increase in the future? Double every year? > Every 2 years? Is there a Moore's Law for bandwidth usage? > > > On Thu, Aug 8, 2019 at 6:37 PM <ch...@wbmfg.com> wrote: > >> 4 Mbps is what my average works out to. >> >> *From:* Chris Fabien >> *Sent:* Thursday, August 8, 2019 4:34 PM >> *To:* AnimalFarm Microwave Users Group >> *Subject:* [AFMUG] Future FTTH bandwidth usage standard >> >> Is there any standard or common rule of thumb to design for future usage >> when designing a FTTH deployment? As in, we estimate average usage per sub >> to be 2Mbps now and increase by 40% per year. The intent being to certify >> that your design will meet demand for say 10 years. >> >> ------------------------------ >> -- >> AF mailing list >> AF@af.afmug.com >> http://af.afmug.com/mailman/listinfo/af_af.afmug.com >> >> -- >> AF mailing list >> AF@af.afmug.com >> http://af.afmug.com/mailman/listinfo/af_af.afmug.com >> > -------------- next part -------------- > An HTML attachment was scrubbed... > URL: > <http://af.afmug.com/mailman/private/af_af.afmug.com/attachments/20190808/7cf4a30c/attachment-0001.html> > > ------------------------------ > > Message: 2 > Date: Thu, 8 Aug 2019 20:35:59 -0400 > From: Mark - Myakka Technologies <m...@mailmt.com> > To: AnimalFarm Microwave Users Group <af@af.afmug.com> > Subject: Re: [AFMUG] Future FTTH bandwidth usage standard > Message-ID: <868514049.20190808203...@mailmt.com> > Content-Type: text/plain; charset="us-ascii" > > An HTML attachment was scrubbed... > URL: > <http://af.afmug.com/mailman/private/af_af.afmug.com/attachments/20190808/2223ce3b/attachment-0001.html> > > ------------------------------ > > Message: 3 > Date: Thu, 8 Aug 2019 20:05:21 -0500 (CDT) > From: Mike Hammett <af...@ics-il.net> > To: af@af.afmug.com > Subject: [AFMUG] Cambium and Xirrus Sitting in a Tree... > Message-ID: > <1888953975.3762.1565312717228.JavaMail.mhammett@ThunderFuck> > Content-Type: text/plain; charset="utf-8" > > https://www.facebook.com/thebrotherswisp/posts/2197959450329495 > > > https://twitter.com/TheBrothersWISP/status/1159627870437871617 > > > > > > ----- > Mike Hammett > Intelligent Computing Solutions > > Midwest Internet Exchange > > The Brothers WISP > > > > > -------------- next part -------------- > An HTML attachment was scrubbed... > URL: > <http://af.afmug.com/mailman/private/af_af.afmug.com/attachments/20190808/7f9fd414/attachment-0001.html> > > ------------------------------ > > Message: 4 > Date: Thu, 8 Aug 2019 21:11:54 -0400 > From: Matt Hoppes <mattli...@rivervalleyinternet.net> > To: AnimalFarm Microwave Users Group <af@af.afmug.com> > Subject: Re: [AFMUG] Cambium and Xirrus Sitting in a Tree... > Message-ID: > <d56558ad-2979-4712-8071-4d33a54cb...@rivervalleyinternet.net> > Content-Type: text/plain; charset="us-ascii" > > I see nothing. Was this suppose to link to a specific post? > >> On Aug 8, 2019, at 9:05 PM, Mike Hammett <af...@ics-il.net> wrote: >> >> https://www.facebook.com/thebrotherswisp/posts/2197959450329495 >> >> https://twitter.com/TheBrothersWISP/status/1159627870437871617 >> >> >> >> >> ----- >> Mike Hammett >> Intelligent Computing Solutions >> >> Midwest Internet Exchange >> >> The Brothers WISP >> >> >> >> >> -- >> AF mailing list >> AF@af.afmug.com >> http://af.afmug.com/mailman/listinfo/af_af.afmug.com > -------------- next part -------------- > An HTML attachment was scrubbed... > URL: > <http://af.afmug.com/mailman/private/af_af.afmug.com/attachments/20190808/b532bd2f/attachment.html> > > ------------------------------ > > Subject: Digest Footer > > AF mailing list > AF@af.afmug.com > http://af.afmug.com/mailman/listinfo/af_af.afmug.com > > > ------------------------------ > > End of AF Digest, Vol 15, Issue 70 > **********************************
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