It's just math. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Central_limit_theorem

When you add random variables, you add their means and variances and
the sum tends to a Gaussian curve. When you multiply instead of add,
the same thing happens when you take the log of the distributions.
On Fri, Jun 15, 2018 at 11:05 PM Steve Richfield via AGI
<agi@agi.topicbox.com> wrote:
>
> Matt,
>
> Yours is a remarkable posting - with SO much crammed into just two 
> paragraphs. Several disciplines would benefit if you were to write this in 
> more bite-sized pieces spread over several pages, with explanations mixed in. 
> Or, perhaps, I have simply missed a VERY important article?
>
> Steve
>
> On 10:29AM, Fri, Jun 15, 2018 Matt Mahoney via AGI <agi@agi.topicbox.com> 
> wrote:
>>
>> On Thu, Jun 14, 2018 at 10:40 PM Steve Richfield via AGI
>> <agi@agi.topicbox.com> wrote:
>> >
>> > In the space of real world "problems", I suspect the distribution of 
>> > difficulty follows the Zipf function, like pretty much everything else 
>> > does.
>> 
>> A Zipf distribution is a power law distribution. The reason that power
>> law distributions are so common over different domains (for example,
>> wealth distribution or population of cities) is the same reason that
>> Gaussian normal distributions are common. When you add a large set of
>> small random variables, the result is Gaussian by the central limit
>> theorem. When you multiply instead of add, you get a power law
>> distribution, which is the exponential of a Gaussian. It happens
>> whenever small random variations are in proportion to the magnitude of
>> the variable.
>> 
>> So yes, the distribution of problem difficulty over broad domains is
>> Zipf or power law. It is why intelligence (as measured by problem
>> solving ability) is proportional to the log of computing power. The
>> value of intelligent systems grows linearly while their power grows
>> exponentially by Moore's law.
>> 
>> --
>> -- Matt Mahoney, mattmahone...@gmail.com
>
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-- 
-- Matt Mahoney, mattmahone...@gmail.com

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