Nobody knows how to test for an adult IQ of 250. What is the IQ of your smart phone?
Copies of a simulation give you copies of the same prediction. Markets beat individuals because individuals are different. The PAQ compression algorithm works on this principle. It averages together many independent models to predict the next input bit. On Tue, Aug 7, 2018, 10:16 PM MP via AGI <[email protected]> wrote: > Or you could have one AGI with the mental capacity to simulate a mind with > an IQ of 250, then run simulations of those millions of minds one right > after the other in a serial fashion. I’m sure it’d be smart enough to > figure out when to stop and make a descision based on the minds it serially > simulates. > > My point is, minds beat math. > > Sent from ProtonMail Mobile > > > On Tue, Aug 7, 2018 at 9:11 PM, Matt Mahoney via AGI <[email protected]> > wrote: > > Prediction in sports is big business. Same as betting on stocks and other > investments. The best predictor is the market price. If there was an > algorithm that could do better then everyone would use it. You are going to > have equal amounts of wins and losses no matter what. > > For AGI to beat the markets it has to be smarter than not just one human > but millions of humans. > > On Tue, Aug 7, 2018, 5:29 PM MP via AGI <[email protected]> wrote: > >> The issue lies in trying to use simple mathematical structures to predict >> the behavior of the human mind. >> >> You need an AGI with the irrationality and flexibility of the human mind >> to predict their behaviors. >> >> Sent from ProtonMail Mobile >> >> >> On Tue, Aug 7, 2018 at 10:48 AM, Dorian Aur via AGI <[email protected]> >> wrote: >> >> Predictive algorithms are no better at telling the future, see >> >> >> https://medium.com/@bakhtiyari/artificial-intelligence-failed-in-world-cup-2018-6af10602206a >> >> Where is the issue? >> >> Dorian >> >> *Artificial General Intelligence List <https://agi.topicbox.com/latest>* > / AGI / see discussions <https://agi.topicbox.com/groups/agi> + > participants <https://agi.topicbox.com/groups/agi/members> + delivery > options <https://agi.topicbox.com/groups/agi/subscription> Permalink > <https://agi.topicbox.com/groups/agi/T63cec70f214bbcf8-M72ba229cbc95f117b53fb4ae> > ------------------------------------------ Artificial General Intelligence List: AGI Permalink: https://agi.topicbox.com/groups/agi/T63cec70f214bbcf8-Md1021feb83efd862f54c24f6 Delivery options: https://agi.topicbox.com/groups/agi/subscription
