It's a nice graph, but you still can't make transistors smaller than atoms. If we did a similar projection of automotive technology from 1890 to 1920, we would be buying cars for one cent and driving faster than the speed of light.
Even though we live in a finite universe where a singularity is not even theoretically possible, I am still optimistic about the near future. Nanotechnology will be the next phase of computation after transistors, but right now it costs a million times more (10^8 DNA operations per dollar, see https://www.genome.gov/about-genomics/fact-sheets/DNA-Sequencing-Costs-Data ), which puts it 30 years behind. That's probably good, because that's the technology that could potentially wipe out our species once it's cheap enough for anyone to play with. In the meantime, there is room to optimize existing silicon for low precision, fault tolerant sparse matrix operations. I expect to see more AI vision applications in the future, like small self driving delivery vehicles and smart home and business security that can see who is there and what you're doing. On Sun, Aug 29, 2021, 9:10 AM <[email protected]> wrote: > See above. Also, not sure what you are meaning (not enough information), > is not the line the whole prediction of cost and computation? What *are* > you saying, is not the line staying true? What should happen in the image > above? > *Artificial General Intelligence List <https://agi.topicbox.com/latest>* > / AGI / see discussions <https://agi.topicbox.com/groups/agi> + > participants <https://agi.topicbox.com/groups/agi/members> + > delivery options <https://agi.topicbox.com/groups/agi/subscription> > Permalink > <https://agi.topicbox.com/groups/agi/T607f92b6c1ea30a8-Mbb1fd120561b3d64a9877dac> > ------------------------------------------ Artificial General Intelligence List: AGI Permalink: https://agi.topicbox.com/groups/agi/T607f92b6c1ea30a8-M37282ef114afc42946f5bf2c Delivery options: https://agi.topicbox.com/groups/agi/subscription
