On Thu, Aug 26, 2021, 1:30 AM <[email protected]> wrote:
> Though he seemed to mean 2019 1,000$ is a human brain computer, then 2029 > 1$ = human brain computer..........wth........ Anyway 2029 then = AGI it > seems .... Maybe my 1000$ computer just isn't enough to run an AGI maybe, > we can't figure it out how to on my computer, but the 2029 computer will be > 10-1000 times faster, hence will get it to run on my computer. > Moore's law shows the cost of computing dropping by a factor of 10 every 5 years, which should reach 10 petaflops and 1 petabyte (human brain level) for $1 in 2045. Unfortunately the energy cost of 10^16 operations per dollar is not dropping so fast. Otherwise we would have had AGI in 2015 for $1 million, the threshold for a positive return on investment. As long as the biggest and least reliable component of your phone is the battery, and AGI costs $1 per second for electricity, most of our jobs are safe. ------------------------------------------ Artificial General Intelligence List: AGI Permalink: https://agi.topicbox.com/groups/agi/T607f92b6c1ea30a8-M68c7bb2b090c398fa9611dce Delivery options: https://agi.topicbox.com/groups/agi/subscription
