>From your examples it is obvious that text to image and video is rapidly improving. No doubt we will see this technology in movies by next year. But there is still a big step to custom generated music replacing mass media in about 30 years. Video game graphics have vastly improved over the last 40 years to the point we don't need human actors any more, but we still need humans to direct and curate the movie, knowing what an audience will like, even if that just means experimenting with prompts.
I was not impressed with the music clips, but that's just me. Artists already have some advanced tools, like keyboards that can sound like any instrument. Streaming services can recommend songs based on what you listened to, liked, or skipped in the past. We already have apps that can identify songs by artist and title just by listening. But unlike video, we don't have a language for describing music much beyond that. I'm estimating 30 years assuming that the cost of generating a movie or song using AI drops by half every 1.5 years, when the average audience size drops from 1 million to 1. I think music generation is a harder problem than video. With video an AI can learn your tastes by tracking eye movements and facial expressions, but music mostly lacks these clues. On Sat, Feb 17, 2024, 11:31 AM <[email protected]> wrote: > *First see my last reply above, I showed something before but maybe you > missed it I guess.* > > > > On Friday, February 16, 2024, at 1:16 PM, Matt Mahoney wrote: > > It costs $1M to $10M to produce a movie for a mass audience that you would > pay $1 to $10 to watch. If Moore's law drops the price by half every 18 > months, then we are still 25 years from customized movie genres replacing > mass entertainment. Should we expect a similar time scale for music? > > > Below is 3 AIs, each a year apart, don't you see what's happening? Ya, > movie generation is going to be all done by 2025. > > 2021 Nov 24: > https://github.com/microsoft/NUWA/blob/main/NUWA.md > > 2022 Oct 5 > https://imagen.research.google/video/ > > 2 days ago: > https://openai.com/sora > *Artificial General Intelligence List <https://agi.topicbox.com/latest>* > / AGI / see discussions <https://agi.topicbox.com/groups/agi> + > participants <https://agi.topicbox.com/groups/agi/members> + > delivery options <https://agi.topicbox.com/groups/agi/subscription> > Permalink > <https://agi.topicbox.com/groups/agi/T4ad5d8c386d0e116-M099ae48c25a18052ea57c3fe> > ------------------------------------------ Artificial General Intelligence List: AGI Permalink: https://agi.topicbox.com/groups/agi/T4ad5d8c386d0e116-M0cf8f52ed0acbaf2f1fc7509 Delivery options: https://agi.topicbox.com/groups/agi/subscription
