No, Sergio, I think our *general* understandings of inference are compatible, 
though no doubt different in specifics. It's knowledge/conclusions drawn from 
existing knowledge.

Leave your EI to one side, then - what is conceptually valuable is an 
insistence on emergence when talking about AGI.

AGI is indeed about "producing emergence" (awkward phrase) - rather than, say, 
"complexity" or "scalability". To overcome a new obstacle in the street, you/a 
robot must produce a new kind of movement - a form of emergence. It won't be 
inferred from previous movements.

The alternative phrase here suggested to me in response to yours, is that the 
key to AGI lies in "emergent incorporation"  (vs inference)  - by embodied 
incorporation of new objects and new movements into our activities. 

From: Sergio Pissanetzky 
Sent: Friday, July 13, 2012 9:00 PM
To: AGI 
Subject: RE: [agi] Emergent "Inference"?


Mike, 

 

you are right, emergent inference is contradictory, because the inference does 
not emerge. I was thinking of another name, perhaps causal inference. 

 

Inference, to me, is finding new facts from known facts, either formulaic or 
not. In this case, EI finds new forms from known forms, but is uncomputable, so 
the new forms can not be derived formulaically. EI does not guess or create 
anything, it finds its self-organized strctures form information, so it needs 
the information first and the structures depend  on and are determined by the 
available information. A new geometry or topolgy emerges in the brain of a 
scientist from an enormously great deal of knowledge acquired by the scientist 
over perhaps many years, observing, reading book, learning other theories. It 
seems to me that your undesrstanding of the term "inference" is different from 
mine. 

 

Sergio

 

 

From: Mike Tintner [mailto:[email protected]] 
Sent: Friday, July 13, 2012 4:25 AM
To: AGI
Subject: [agi] Emergent "Inference"?

 

Can we have a simple example of emergent inference, Sergio?

 

Here's a simple example of what I would consider emergent intelligence -  if a 
program that deals only in a,b,c,d .. the A-Z alphabet,   can suddenly start 
producing something like - though not the same as - Greek or Hebraic 
characters, or cuneiform (without of course knowing beforehand of other 
alphabets). That's true emergence - and the essence of AGI.

 

Or if a program can suddenly move on from building houses with bricks to 
constructing houses of rocks or logs or cardboard boxes. That's true emergence.

 

Emergence = the generation of  1) new kinds of elements that cannot be 
formulaically derived from the existing kinds -  and/or 2) new forms that do 
not fit the same pattern as - cannot be inferred from -  existing forms.

 

Could you explain how "emergent **inference**" isn't a contradiction in terms? 
Isn't something that emerges precisely something that by definition CANNOT be 
"inferred" from what has gone on before?  Every stage of evolution, natural and 
technological, is non-inferrable from the previous one. For example,  the brain 
is not inferrable from a distributed neural net, ditto simple amphibian legs 
from fins, wings from furry pouches (or whatever). The tablet is not inferrable 
from the p.c., the jet is not inferrable from the propellor etc.

 

I've realised that "emergent inference" is a v. useful concept - but useful; I 
suspect, precisely because it is a contradiction in terms. Emergence does not 
occur by inference but by totally different processes.

 

ONe way of highlighting this is : can you give one example of any new kind of 
logic that has been "inferred" from previous kinds? Or any one new kind of 
geometry, that has been inferred from previous kinds? .How could topology have 
been inferred? Or freeform geometry? Or Riemannian geometry?

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