On Fri, Jan 4, 2013 at 5:50 PM, Mike Tintner <[email protected]> wrote:
> The Wired article linked in the Kurzweil letter on Baxter is a great
> article. It makes clear the need for an AGI robot (wh. Baxter isn't yet) -
>
> "the average lifetime bill for [programming and operating] an industrial
> robot is half a million dollars or more."
>
> [This, Matt, is an area where you can do real calculations about the
> potential value of an AGI robot]

As robots do more complex tasks, the cost of programming them will go
up. It is only the hardware that is getting cheaper.

There has been a long history of efforts to improve software
productivity, things like better programming languages, methodology,
and tools, better collaboration, and more powerful computers. But they
have not kept up with the rising cost of skilled human programmers. I
predict this will be the case for decades to come, even with AGI.

--
-- Matt Mahoney, [email protected]


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AGI
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