Please define expectancy. The conversation is about goal pritoritization for an AGI.Given that an AGI will have important and urgent goals what is the best prioritization scheme? I like the notion of salience as a combination of the two attributes. ~PM
Date: Sun, 14 Sep 2014 11:18:00 -0700 Subject: Re: [agi] Importance vs. Urgency From: [email protected] To: [email protected] HI, It seems that if you plot situations on a 2-D graph relating urgency and importance, that they will all fall along a negatively-sloped diagonal line EXCEPT some that lie above the line that should be done immediately, and some that fall below the line, and hence can be put off forever. It sounds like this discussion is about the line, and not about the outliers, when it is handling the outliers that offers the greatest value. Is this discussion simply about the slope (and shape) of the diagonal line mentioned above? Doesn't computing expectancy cover this entire subject? Steve ================ On Sat, Sep 13, 2014 at 1:12 PM, Russ Hurlbut via AGI <[email protected]> wrote: Steven Covey crusades for breaking free of urgency and putting important things first, but considers them as equals on two dimensions of a quadrant. In a study of factors that affect task prioritization reported by pilots, importance was cited more frequently by a margin of greater than 2:1, yet concludes that with a model of status (urgency) uses procedure to obtain value (importance). Another study on decision making by urgency gating suggests a policy that maximizes reward rate is to estimate evidence by accumulating only novel information and then compare the result to a decreasing accuracy criterion. The brain approximates this policy by multiplying an estimate of sensory evidence with a motor-related urgency signal and that the latter is primarily responsible for neural activity build up. Since the brain is wired to treat novelty as a measure of importance, this would lead to some measure of salience that combines the two. The paper concludes that "the build up of neural activity observed in many decision-making tasks is not primarily attributable to the integration of sensory information but that it is caused by an urgency signal, related to motor preparation, that implements a simple policy for achieving a speed-accuracy trade off." Finally, one may consider valence and a distinction between positive urgency and negative urgency - the tendency to engage in rash action in response to extreme positive/negative affect. Such a distinction could bias risk-taking behavior. On Fri, Sep 12, 2014 at 9:55 PM, Piaget Modeler via AGI <[email protected]> wrote: Importance then urgency, or urgency then importance? Which? ~PM AGI | Archives | Modify Your Subscription AGI | Archives | Modify Your Subscription -- Full employment can be had with the stoke of a pen. Simply institute a six hour workday. That will easily create enough new jobs to bring back full employment. AGI | Archives | Modify Your Subscription ------------------------------------------- AGI Archives: https://www.listbox.com/member/archive/303/=now RSS Feed: https://www.listbox.com/member/archive/rss/303/21088071-f452e424 Modify Your Subscription: https://www.listbox.com/member/?member_id=21088071&id_secret=21088071-58d57657 Powered by Listbox: http://www.listbox.com
