On Tue, Nov 11, 2014 at 8:33 AM, John Rose via AGI <[email protected]> wrote: > A model of this type of future predicting is strongly dependent of how AGI > multi-bifurcates into more AGI. IOW are we initially occupied by a few or by > many of them. The mathematics of the ethics is significantly different in the > two scenarios I think.
The internet has billions of computers, but they communicate much faster than we do, so they appear to us as one. But there are other difficulties. We can only predict the future by extrapolating trends. Technology prices will drop. Population will grow. Sea levels will rise. But trends end. In the 1950's there was a rapid growth of nuclear power and space travel, so we predicted nuclear powered flying cars and vacations on Mars. Nobody predicted mobile phones or the internet. -- -- Matt Mahoney, [email protected] ------------------------------------------- AGI Archives: https://www.listbox.com/member/archive/303/=now RSS Feed: https://www.listbox.com/member/archive/rss/303/21088071-f452e424 Modify Your Subscription: https://www.listbox.com/member/?member_id=21088071&id_secret=21088071-58d57657 Powered by Listbox: http://www.listbox.com
