> Now, there is no easy way to predict what strategy it will settle on, but
> "build a modest bunker and ask to be left alone" surely isn't it. At the
> very least it needs to become the strongest military power in the
> world, and
> stay that way. I
...
> Billy Brown
>

I think this line of thinking makes way too many assumptions about the
technologies this uber-AI might discover.

It could discover a truly impenetrable shield, for example.

It could project itself into an entirely different universe...

It might decide we pose so little threat to it, with its shield up, that
fighting with us isn't worthwhile.  By opening its shield perhaps it would
expose itself to .0001% chance of not getting rewarded, whereas by leaving
its shield up and leaving us alone, it might have .000000001% chance of not
getting rewarded.

ETc.

I agree that bad outcomes are possible, but I don't see how we can possibly
estimate the odds of them.

-- ben g

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