[I wondered whether to post this; then seeing Bob M's post, I decided to}
  Ben: Richard,
  Though we have theoretical disagreements, I largely agree with your
  analysis of the value of prototypes for AGI.Experience has shown repeatedly 
that prototypes displaying "apparently
  intelligent behavior" in various domains are very frequently dead-ends,
  because they embody various sorts of "cheating."

  Edison stuck it on his labs: "There is no expedient to which a man will not 
resort to avoid the labour of thinking." Make that "creative thinking" here.

  Dennis is right: "The best investing practise is to invest only into such 
teams that
  produced working prototype already" Not a full, but a small protoype that 
demonstrates a successful creative idea or two, and shows creative promise of 
cracking the full problem. See how Jeff Hawkins went about things. That's basic 
creative practice.

  When people come to you saying the ideas - the miracles - will come later, 
you don't invest in them, because the overwheming odds are they're not 
addressing the creative problem, and never will.  There are so many would-be 
creatives trying that angle - check out Hollywood.  Both of you show no 
awareness of this basic psychology of creativity - of how the philosophy you're 
expounding sounds awfully like an excuse - and how many 'creative' excuses 
people make for non-creativity. 

  You imply that there have been loads of prototypes already - actually I don't 
think there has been a single one demonstrating *general* intelligence, has 
there?  An investor will want to know what creative ideas you have that 
*directly* start to solve that problem. Not excuses or "just trust me" or "look 
at my ideas about something else entirely, like search algorithms or logic" or 
"this is a v. v. complex project, so complex that it will take too long to 
explain - just feel the width".  Even Minsky can't get away with that.

  P.S. From Bob M's post with which I so agree:

  "I've heard people on AI forums make this claim many times over the
  last 15 years - something like "I have discovered the secret of AI
  !... but I'm not going to tell you what it is unless you give me a lot
  of money".  "

  This forum really should explore the psychology of creativity, to include not 
just creative masters and peaks but all the hurdles along the way at which 
would-be creatives fall. This forum is itself rich material for that psychology.


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