On Sun, Apr 27, 2008 at 6:08 PM, Ben Goertzel <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
>  Certainly, the failure of the Biosphere experiment is evidence in your favor.
>  There, the scientists failed to predict basic high-level properties of
>  a pretty simple
>  closed ecosystem, based on their knowledge of the parts.

Indeed, naturally so. For that matter, we've been building aeroplanes
for a century now, and we still need to test new designs in wind
tunnel simulations.

But Biosphere 2 almost worked, impressively so given that it was the
first attempt, and the species were a large and complicated mixture
from a bunch of different ecologies; based on the information
successfully gathered by the experiment, a Biosphere 3 probably would
work. I think that's strong evidence that, even though complexity is
of course the norm, we still can successfully engineer complex
systems, as long as we accept a certain amount of trial and error is
part of the process.

-------------------------------------------
agi
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