On Mon, Sep 22, 2008 at 3:56 AM, Matt Mahoney <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: > --- On Sun, 9/21/08, Vladimir Nesov <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: > >> Hence the question: you are making a very strong assertion by >> effectively saying that there is no shortcut, period (in the >> short-term perspective, anyway). How sure are you in this >> assertion? > > I can't prove it, but the fact that thousands of smart people have worked on > AI for decades without results suggests that an undiscovered shortcut is about > as likely as proving P = NP. Not that I expect people to stop trying to solve > either of these... >
So, do you think that there is at least, say, 99% probability that AGI won't be developed by a reasonably small group in the next 30 years? -- Vladimir Nesov [EMAIL PROTECTED] http://causalityrelay.wordpress.com/ ------------------------------------------- agi Archives: https://www.listbox.com/member/archive/303/=now RSS Feed: https://www.listbox.com/member/archive/rss/303/ Modify Your Subscription: https://www.listbox.com/member/?member_id=8660244&id_secret=114414975-3c8e69 Powered by Listbox: http://www.listbox.com
