@Jai: If B doesn't hit A, then A surely will shoot B. Thus, B's only
chance of survival is to shoot A, so your statement that B will prefer
to kill C is incorrect.

It also looks like you changed 33% to 1/3. When I calculate the
probabilities of C's survival using 1/3 instead of 33%, I get

P(when C shoots at B)=13/36
P(when C shoots at A)=5/18
P(when C shoots in air)=5/12

And I see that I had made a mistake on the last calculation when using
33%. The correct figure is 0.41312 instead of 0.49624 as I had
reported in http://groups.google.com/group/algogeeks/msg/30e11e6ff2945573.

Dave

On Jan 3, 9:34 am, jai gupta <[email protected]> wrote:
> Going case by case and Taking into consideration Daves suggestion that A
> will prefer to kill B if all three are alive and B will prefer to kill C if
> all three are alive, We find the following probabilities of survival of C by
> starting.
> P(when C shoots at B)=2/9
> P(when C shoots at A)=13/36
> P(when C shoots in air)=5/12
>
> Hence C must chose to shoot in air.

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