@Jai: Oops. I switched two numbers:

P(when C shoots at B)=5/18
P(when C shoots at A)=13/36
P(when C shoots in air)=5/12

Dave

On Jan 3, 10:36 am, Dave <[email protected]> wrote:
> @Jai: If B doesn't hit A, then A surely will shoot B. Thus, B's only
> chance of survival is to shoot A, so your statement that B will prefer
> to kill C is incorrect.
>
> It also looks like you changed 33% to 1/3. When I calculate the
> probabilities of C's survival using 1/3 instead of 33%, I get
>
> P(when C shoots at B)=13/36
> P(when C shoots at A)=5/18
> P(when C shoots in air)=5/12
>
> And I see that I had made a mistake on the last calculation when using
> 33%. The correct figure is 0.41312 instead of 0.49624 as I had
> reported inhttp://groups.google.com/group/algogeeks/msg/30e11e6ff2945573.
>
> Dave
>
> On Jan 3, 9:34 am, jai gupta <[email protected]> wrote:
>
>
>
> > Going case by case and Taking into consideration Daves suggestion that A
> > will prefer to kill B if all three are alive and B will prefer to kill C if
> > all three are alive, We find the following probabilities of survival of C by
> > starting.
> > P(when C shoots at B)=2/9
> > P(when C shoots at A)=13/36
> > P(when C shoots in air)=5/12
>
> > Hence C must chose to shoot in air.- Hide quoted text -
>
> - Show quoted text -

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