This might have improved things:
http://android-developers.blogspot.com/2010/07/market-statistics-adjustments.html

though I still see a pretty big discrepancy.

On Jul 6, 7:40 am, Mark Carter <[email protected]> wrote:
> Could this be multiple gmail accounts being used on the same device?
>
> On 6 July 2010 05:45, Maps.Huge.Info (Maps API Guru) <[email protected]>wrote:
>
>
>
> > I've noticed a wide disparity between downloads and actual users
> > who've used the app at least once. For instance, in the developer
> > console, I see 549,180 downloads but from my server records I see
> > 492,475 devices have actually run the app at least once. Could it be
> > that 50,000 people have downloaded the app and never run it? I find
> > that difficult to believe. I track users by their Android ID, not
> > their Google account, so if they got a new device and downloaded the
> > app, it could count as a new user.
>
> > Perhaps when a user uninstalls the app, then goes back and reinstalls
> > it, that counts as another download. My system would track that as an
> > existing user, not a new one.
>
> > -John Coryat
>
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