I stick by my original for the following reasons:

1. Some power users did have 640k in 1981, while 128k-256k was typical on
PC's

2. 512MB is plenty for all but a small percentage of users.  Performance
does not increase notably above that amount except for a few specific
applications (very large databases, etc.)

3. I wrote that quote a little over a year ago, which means that number
would be approaching 2GB today.

4. If you look at the amount of RAM that was typical and the amount
available/useable over the last 23 years, you'll see that it stays very
close to the amount that would be given by my corollary.

Not that any of that really matters ;-)

Geoff

----- Original Message ----- 
From: "Byron Q. Desnoyers Winmill" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
To: "Apple2list" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
Sent: Friday, October 22, 2004 12:27 PM
Subject: Re: Computers in school (was: Apple IIc +(color monitor?))


> On Fri, Oct 22, 2004 at 12:16:00PM -0500, Geoff Strickler wrote:
> > "The number of transistors per square inch on integrated circuits will
> > double approximately every 18 months for the foreseeable future."
> > -Moore's Law (as restated by Gordon Moore in the 1980's)
> >
> > I have created a modified version of this theory that I call Strickler's
> > corollary:
> > "The amount of memory required for a computer workstation doubles every
two
> > years."
> > -Geoff Strickler, 2003
> >
> > By applying Strickler's corollary to Bill Gates' statement, I arrive at
the
> > statement "1.25GB ought to be enough for anybody."
> > -Geoff Strickler, 2003
>
> Which is a bit off the mark. ;-)  640 kB was a lot of memory in
> 1981, at least for a personal computer.  These days, 1.25 GB is
> normal for the so called "power users".
>
> If you replace 640 kB with 64 kB and use Moore's 18 month cycle
> you end up with 2 GB, which is pretty close to what we see these
> days (ie. we may be off by one or two 18 month cycles in 23 years).
> So Moore's prediction was on the mark when put in the context of
> memory.
>
> Byron.
>



-- 
Apple2list is sponsored by <http://lowendmac.com/> and...

    /      Buy books, CDs, videos, and more from Amazon.com     \
   / <http://www.amazon.com/exec/obidos/redirect-home/lowendmac> \

      Support Low End Mac <http://lowendmac.com/lists/support.html>

Apple2list info:        <http://lowendmac.com/lists/apple2.html>
  --> AOL users, remove "mailto:";
Send list messages to:  <mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
To unsubscribe, email:  <mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
For digest mode, email: <mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
Subscription questions: <mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
Archive: <http://www.mail-archive.com/apple2list%40mail.maclaunch.com/>

Using a Mac? Free email & more at Applelinks! http://www.applelinks.com

Reply via email to