ceejay;180751 Wrote: > Nice example. The history of science has several (many?) examples of > how outrageous ideas eventually become mainstream. > > However, let's not forget that there are far, far more examples of > outrageous ideas that remain outrageous because they always were > stupid. > > So, if there is general scientific consensus on something (eg HIV as a > cause for AIDS, or CO2 as a cause for global warming) then the > *likelihood* is that it is correct. Not certainty, of course - nothing > scientific is ever certain. > > But to argue from "here is an example of where outrageous became > mainstream" to "therefore I will disbelieve all scientific consensus" > is, shall we say, a bit dodgy. > > Just an opinion, of course. > > Ceejay
How can you even compare a contagious disease, where we are looking for bacteria or virus as the single cause, to global warming where we are trying to identify one factor's contribution among a multitude of factors, using extremely noisy and unreliable data? (Rather than AIDS, perhaps something like the raise of astma would have been a better example.) Concensus amongst scientists don't give very good likelihood of something being true. All it means is that they haven't been able to get further in their research, as things stand. Scientist SHOULD bicker, or I would say that they are not doing their job properly. -- P Floding No, I didn't ABX it. And I won't even if you ask me. (Especially not if you ask me.) ------------------------------------------------------------------------ P Floding's Profile: http://forums.slimdevices.com/member.php?userid=2932 View this thread: http://forums.slimdevices.com/showthread.php?t=32352 _______________________________________________ audiophiles mailing list [email protected] http://lists.slimdevices.com/lists/listinfo/audiophiles
