Andre Schnabel wrote:
Hi,
Suppose that:
* OOo has 6% of the Windows market.
changed to 8%
* OOo has 80% of the Linux market.
changed to 90%
* Windows has 85% of the desktop market.
changed to 90%
* Linux has 8% of the desktop market.
changed to 3%
As I said, do not nit-pick on numbers. But that last change seems really
suspect. There are only two alternatives to Windows: Linux and Mac.
Linux is supposed to have passed Mac over a year ago, and Windows is
supposed to have 85% of the market (not 90%). So 7-8% for Linux is a
reasonable guess. If you want to fiddle with numbers, please fiddle with
the ones there is less certainty over (the first two).
An everybody could take his own examples ... that's why I rather go with the
numbers we can measure.
Even though they are obviously false because (1) they ignore most Linux
users and (2) they suggest a proportion of usage that is obviously wrong.
I can accept that there are more Windows users than Linux. There is
enough uncertainty in my estimate for that. But 80% is ridiculous.
Andre's suggestion that 80% of our users are on Windows would suggest
that OOo has a roughly equal presence in both OS's which is obviously
not true.
I never said so.
You wrote it.
Another way to get better numbers was to look at the mailheaders at the
users lists (unfortunately not all mailers provide the platform ID).
Quick check at [EMAIL PROTECTED], out of 10 random Mails:
- 6 Windows
- 3 Linux
- 2 unknown
10 is a very small sample, quite useless to represent the market share
of a produce used by tens of millions of people. I once did the same
thing on a larger sample on the users list and I got 70% for Linux.
A sample of 10 emails on one mailing list is a really bad way of
estimating the marketshare of OOo in Windows and Linux.
I don't know what proportion of OOo users use Windows or Linux. But I am
absolutely sure that it's quite a bit less than 80%.
Cheers,
Daniel.
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