--- Alberto Monteiro <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
>\> What is the evidence of this? Iraqi army was
thought
> invincible in 1991,
> but what we saw was that an amry whose training is
> beating civilians
> prefers to flee than to fight when confronting an
> armed opponent.
> 
> Alberto Monteiro

Definitely not true.  Elite Iraqi formations fought
with some degree of bravery - they were just fighting
an opponent that was completely out of their league. 
_Crusade_ by Rick Atkinson, for example, describes
several major tank battles fought between American and
Iraqi forces.  The best study on the topic (published
in International Security last year) counted 11.  In
all of them the Iraqis fought, and actually fought
hard and with some degree of skill.  That just wasn't
enough against American or British soldiers.

The North Korean Army almost certainly is better,
actually.  It performed at a fairly high level during
the Korean War (a level that no Arab army has ever
attained, in my opinion) and has been training ever
since.  It is also _enormous_, and positioned on the
border.  Most evaluations of the North Korean army
describe its equipment as obsolete, but its level of
training as decent, and training is much, much more
important than equipment.  While I don't think a North
Korean invasion of South Korea would have any
possibility of success, the military situation is
clearly completely different between North Korea and
Iraq.  Iraq's army has been crippled by 10 years of
sanctions.  North Korea's is still formidable.  Iraq
does not have nuclear weapons.  North Korea _already
does_.  Iraq has no significant allies.  North Korea
is protected by China.  Iraq lacks the capacity to
inflict significant harm on any major US ally if we do
attack.  North Korea can kill tens of thousands in
Seoul, and potentially hundreds of thousands in South
Korea and Japan.  _Of course_ we treat Iraq and North
Korea differently.  That isn't a sign of hypocrisy,
it's a sign of rationality.  

Gautam

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