----- Original Message -----
From: "Richard Baker" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
To: <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
Sent: Wednesday, February 05, 2003 8:35 AM
Subject: Re: The Axis of Weasel


> Erik said:
>
> > Just why should the EU seriously on military and foreign policy
> > matters?
>
> Let's not forget that the EU itself is a triumph of the collective
> foreign policies of the European nations. Of course, the US was vital
> militarily because it helped protect Europe from the might of the
> Soviet Union, but it's almost entirely as a result of the methods of
> the western European nations that the end of the Cold War sees a stable
> European Union and not a handful of competitive powers as has been
> usual in modern history. I think the US should be thankful that its
> worst foreign policy problems are the relatively trivial matters of
> Iraq and North Korea rather than, say, a cold war (or hot....) between
> a France and Germany both with nuclear weapons.

There is a lot of validity in this argument.  However, let be quibble.  The
US troops in Europe had a two-fold function.  The US clearly has forces far
superior to any country in Europe.  Its projection of force in Europe is
tremendous.  Indeed, I'd argue that the US projection of force in Europe is
stronger than the EU's projection of force in Europe.

As a result, the US was able to provide guarantees that Germany, for
example, would not be able to use military power to push any other country
in Europe.  Europeans had/have a police force for the first time: the US
Army.  With essential security thus guaranteed, they were able to work on
unity without worrying about security.  The article that Gautam quoted
discusses this very well, I think.

I want to be very clear here that I do not wish to minimize the
accomplishment by stating it was partly dependant on the presence of the
US.  It is still a tremendous accomplishment.  But it is a joint
accomplishment of the US and Europe.  And, it was win-win all around
because, as you pointed out, the US doesn't have to worry about a nuclear
European war.

> Given the various military or diplomatic crises that plagued Europe
> every few decades before WW2 (including such spasms as WW1, the
> Franco-Prussian war, the Napoleonic Wars, the European wars of which
> the American Revolution formed a small component, the Seven Years
> War...), this is no small achievement. That the EU is about to
> assimilate the various nations of eastern Europe and is likely to also
> admit the Balkan nations and perhaps even some nations of North Africa
> is even more remarkable.

That's valid, but let me give one more example to buttress my point.  Back
in the early '90s, I was pleased to see that the European nations decided
that they could handle the Balkans themselves.  The risk posed USSR
definitely required the US to defend Europe.  But, Serbia didn't seem
strong enough to require the US. Surely, Europe was quite capable of
handling Serbia.

Unfortunately, that was not true.  The United States was required to
intervene.  So, even in its own backyard, against a very minor power,
Europe is dependant on the US.

Its not just a matter of believing that military power is the solution to
every problem.  To use chess terms, its believing that the outcome of
various endgames influences play in the opening and midgames.  To use go
terms, one stone placed in one corner of the board can have tremendous
influence on the play at the opposite corner.  Europe's foreign policy is
based on the assumption that the United States is always there as the
ultimate force.  It assumes that it need not consider force, because it can
call upon the US.

What would have happened in the Balkans if Clinton and Bush decided it was
a European problem, and that the US needed to keep out?  Does anyone
question the concept that Milosovitch (sp) would still be in power, and in
charge of a significant military force?  How many hundreds of thousands
would have died as a result?

Dan M.


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