OK, having made the case for going into Iraq, I'm
going to do something fairly bizarre and explain why I
didn't make up my mind about it until recently, and
why I'm still not necessarily enthusiastic.  First,
let me suggest that everyone read

http://www.timesonline.co.uk/printFriendly/0,,1-152-561996,00.html

I think this is a great article, and (unlike some
commentators) I think his last point is an entirely
legitimate one.  The greatest danger from this war is,
I think, American hubris.  Some of the critics of
American policy are making this argument also - the
problem is that they cheapen their argument by pairing
it with many others that are insupportable.  If (as
too many critics do) you say the US has been evil, and
done evil, so we oppose it now, then you're not
credible.  If you were on the side of the USSR in the
Cold War, and you oppose the US now, you're not
credible.  If you're not willing to make any
contribution to global order, but you think that the
US should act at your beck and call when _you_ think
it's necessary, you're not credible.

If I were to argue against American action in Iraq,
here's what I'd say.  Over the course of the twentieth
century, there can be no doubt that American action in
the world has been overwhelmingly for the good of the
world.  Despite some tragic mistakes the United States
has, on the whole, acted with a sense of morality and
restraint unrivalled by any other nation in history. 
Any other country so much stronger than all others
would have used its power for self-aggrandizement and
conquest.  The fact that the US has not done so is
extraordinary, and a tribute to the American people.

Having said that - anyone could be tempted by the
prospect of power.  Past performance, as they say, is
no guarantee of future results.  There is no doubt
that toppling Saddam Hussein will lower the bar of
when the US decides to do such a thing (let's ignore
Noriega).  Having lowered it once, it will be easier
to lower it again.  There is a real risk that the US
will be tempted to use its extraordinary power.  At
first it will be for the global good - and I think
that toppling Hussein will be good for the world, in
the long run.  But eventually the risk is real that
the US will use its power for its own good instead,
and this could be the first step down that very
dangerous path.  Right now we don't want to be an
empire.  But the disparity between us and the rest of
the world is so great that, at least in the short
term, the US has something that no power in history
has ever had before it - the prospect of an almost
costless empire.  Faced with that choice, it is
reasonable to fear that even the United States might
decide to take it.  So it makes sense to try and
persuade the US not to act here, because it might be
more difficult to do it in the future.

Gautam

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