--- Dan Minette <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
> I read it and  its not much different than what you
> suggested 3 months ago.
> It appears to me that no one but the US is
> interested in a multinational
> approach.   I recall you saying that the US would
> handle it by putting
> pressure on China.  If, as expected by many, the
> reprocessing plant opens
> with the start of the Iraq war, time will be getting
> short soon.  When will
> the pressure start to work?
> 
> If the reprocessing plant doesn't start, then the
> clock doesn't start
> ticking.  But, I really am not sanguine about that.
> 
> Dan M.

I'm not sure.  At this point the North Koreans have
two cards left to play.  They can test missiles over
Japan (again) and they can open the reprocessing
plant.  If it's true that everyone in the region has
told them that's a red line that they absolutely,
positively, cannot cross under any circumstances (the
main new thing I was referring to) then the Bush
strategy makes sense, to me, because the testing of
the missile is likely to work to our benefit, not
theirs.  So far, the reprocessing has not started. 
Given that it looks like action is beginning in the
Gulf as we write this, North Korea has to realize that
their window of maximum opportunity is about to slam
shut - so if they haven't begun reprocessing within
the next few weeks, then we know that they were
bluffing.  The fact that they haven't begun already is
a strong signal in that direction, actually.

Gautam

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