--- Doug Pensinger <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
> They don't need a military capable of challenging
> us, Gautam, all they 
> have to do is string us out in the Middle East. 

Geez, Doug, don't elevate the stakes here.  First (you
mentioned the draft, which I snipped, sorry) we
certainly don't need a draft to put another, say,
100,000 troops in Iraq (which would put us at about
250,000, which is where we need to be).  It is within
the capacity of the US military to do that.  The MIT
Political Science Department is heavily Democratic and
I just watched a bunch of liberal Democratic Security
Studies professors attack Kerry for what they called
"fear-mongering" over the draft.  They'll all vote for
him, but they think he's apallingly dishonest on this
topic.  So I don't think you're right on that.  

Even more than that, as I said above, don't elevate
the stakes in this war.  I think we should make every
effort to win, certainly.  But if President Kerry
announced on January 20th "We're getting the hell out
of that godforsaken country" (as at least one of my
professors wants him to do) the United States would
remain the most powerful nation in the world by the
widest margin of any nation in the history of the
world.  The military would be back up to its prewar
state of readiness within a year.  The American
economy would (assuming oil price stability) continue
on largely unaffected.  It would not be the end of the
world.  It wouldn't even be the end of multipolarity. 
It would be _unfortunate_ (most particularly for the
people of Iraq).  But that's all it would be.  China
would still be dependent on exports to the US.  Europe
would still be fading into irrelevance.  Russia would
still be trying to rebuild a shattered economy and
country and _also_ dealing with one of the worst
demographic catastrophes in human history.  The worst
possible outcome from this war would be _bad_, but (as
Adam Smith said) "There's a lot of ruin in a nation"
and there's much more ruin in this nation.

=====
Gautam Mukunda
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
"Freedom is not free"
http://www.mukunda.blogspot.com


                
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