On Thu, 05 May 2005 23:58:34 -0400, JDG wrote > By all the usual statistical tests, this model is > very robust. And yet, every four years that same model is > spectacularly wrong. And so, after each Presidential election the > model is tweaked to account for the latest observation - all to no > avail. Every four years the model's future predictions are > invariably wrong.
Then it is an excellent predictor, isn't it? If it were not, then it would be right half the time. ;-) Nick _______________________________________________ http://www.mccmedia.com/mailman/listinfo/brin-l
