Hard but not impossible - even when you *are* fitting to low-res density. See 
https://twitter.com/crolltristan/status/1381258326223290373?s=21 for example - 
no Ramachandran outliers, 1.3% sidechain outliers, clashscore of 2... yet 
multiple regions out of register by anywhere up to 15 residues! I never 
publicly named the structure (although I did share my rebuilt model with the 
authors), but the videos and images in that thread should be enough to 
illustrate the scale of the problem.

And that was *with* a map to fit! Take away the map, and run some MD energy 
minimisation (perhaps with added Ramachandran and rotamer restraints), and I 
think it would be easy to get your model to fool most “simple” validation 
metrics (please don’t actually do this). The upshot is that I still think 
validation of predicted models in the absence of at least moderate-resolution 
experimental data is still a major challenge requiring very careful thought.

— Tristan

On 13 Jan 2022, at 18:41, James Holton 
<jmhol...@lbl.gov<mailto:jmhol...@lbl.gov>> wrote:

Agree with Pavel.

Something I think worth adding is a reminder that the MolProbity score only 
looks at bad clashes, ramachandran and rotamer outliers.

MPscore=0.426∗ln(1+clashscore)+0.33∗ln(1+max(0,rota_out−1))+0.25∗ln(1+max(0,rama_iffy−2))+0.5

 It pays no attention whatsoever to twisted peptide bonds, C-beta deviations, 
and, for that matter, bond lengths and bond angles. If you tweak your weights 
right you can get excellent MP scores, but horrible "geometry" in the 
traditional bonds-and-angles sense. The logic behind this kind of validation is 
that normally nonbonds and torsions are much softer than bond and angle 
restraints and therefore fertile ground for detecting problems.  Thus far, I am 
not aware of any "Grand Unified Score" that combines all geometric 
considerations, but perhaps it is time for one?

Tristan's trivial solution aside, it is actually very hard to make all the 
"geometry" ideal for a real-world fold, and especially difficult to do without 
also screwing up the agreement with density (R factor).  I would argue that if 
you don't have an R factor then you should get one, but I am interested in 
opinions about alternatives.

I.E. What if we could train an AI to predict Rfree by looking at the 
coordinates?

-James Holton
MAD Scientist

On 12/21/2021 9:25 AM, Pavel Afonine wrote:
Hi Reza,
If you think about it this way... Validation is making sure that the model 
makes sense, data make sense and model-to-data fit make sense, then the answer 
to your question is obvious: in your case you do not have experimental data (at 
least in a way we used to think of it) and so then of these three validation 
items you only have one, which, for example, means you don’t have to report 
things like R-factors or completeness in high-resolution shell.
Really, the geometry of an alpha helix does not depend on how you determined 
it: using X-rays or cryo-EM or something else! So, most (if not all) model 
validation tools still apply.
Pavel

On Mon, Dec 20, 2021 at 8:10 AM Reza Khayat 
<rkha...@ccny.cuny.edu<mailto:rkha...@ccny.cuny.edu>> wrote:

Hi,

Can anyone suggest how to validate a predicted structure? Something similar to 
wwPDB validation without the need for refinement statistics. I realize this is 
a strange question given that the geometry of the model is anticipated to be 
fine if the structure was predicted by a server that minimizes the geometry to 
improve its statistics. Nonetheless, the journal has asked me for such a 
report. Thanks.

Best wishes,

Reza


Reza Khayat, PhD
Associate Professor
City College of New York
Department of Chemistry and Biochemistry
New York, NY 10031

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