Jerry Johnson wrote:
> Do you really believe that is all?

Does it matter what I believe?

> Are you willing to bet a million lives that the have no interest in weapons?

Apart from the alternative I already gave, sponsor their nuclear program and give them CANDU technology, I don't see an alternative that would not have equal or worse consequences.

> Do you think that once
> they have enriched uranium in quantity, some will not makes its way to
> a weapons program, or get "lost" and into the hands of those we label
> terrorists?

I do not consider that risk any greater than with all the fissible material available in many places for those who are willing to send in a dozen armed men to take it.

Face it: after the fuckup with the claims of WMD in Iraq nobody is going to 'just believe' anybody who claims that WMD are being developed by Iran. And even if somebody believes them, Iran has beforehand agreed to any inspections the IAEA deems necessary and everybody will point at Iraq as an example that inspections work and make it impossible for a country to develop WMD.
The way Iraq was handled has created the perfect opportunity for Iran to push the issue.

The Security Council might drag the issue out for a year or so, but if they really have to Iran just cancels their membership of the non proliferation treaty and starts up their centrifuges 3 months later. And anything done to forcibly stop them is an act of agression.

Jochem
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