Won Lee wrote:
> Ian Skinner wrote:
> 
>>Unless I'm misunderstanding your question, we don't need to worry about 
>>any odds once we've drawn a "missed" card.
>>
>>I'm trying to figure out the odds before anything is drawn.  A good example: 
>>how does one calculate the odds of drawing a 5 card flush before the first 
>>card is dealt?
> 
> 
> If you are dealt to K2hearts in the big blind and the flop comes out Ah 
> 8h 5c; the odds of making your flush to the river is about 35% or 9 out 
> of 47.  In poker talk they would say 9:38.  9 possibilities are good. 
> 38 are bad.
> 
> If you played a game where 5 cards were dealt face down the probability 
> you will draw a 5 card flush is.
> 
> 52/52 * 12/52 * 11/52 * 10/52 * 9/52
> 

Opps should be
52/52 * 12/51 * 11/50 * 10/49 * 9/48

And the denom isn't possible outcomes.  It's unknown cards.  Sorry for 
the confusion.


-- 
2004 - The year $184M couldn't buy a pennant.

Ron Artest: Extremely flawed, very accidental, semi-martyr


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