>1.) I said Bush's SS initiative was dead waaayyy back.  And it is.

>2.) I predicted that if Bush won, he'd be a lame duck.  He is!

Every second term president is a lame duck by definition. The question is 
whether his agenda is still moving forward. Iraqi elections. CAFTA. Energy 
Bill. One, possibly two Supreme Court nominations. An Iraqi Constitution on the 
way, and maybe even a draw-down of U.S. forces in Iraq by mid-2006. And we're 
still in year one of his second term.

>3.) I predicted John Bolton would not be confirmed.  We'll see.  Risky
>though, huh?

Recess appointment coming next week. Then it all depends on 1. how Bolton 
performs at the U.N., and 2. how the 2006 Congressional elections go.

>4.) I predict at least one conviction in the plame case.

very possible as it seems Fitzgerald is doing his best and not sandbagging it 
for the Administration, but I still think it could be difficult to prove 
anything beyond what has already been admitted to unless Judy Miller talks. I 
don't think any of the stuff already out is a crime. If it was, there would 
already be indictments.

>So my record is on the line and I'm looking for evidence that I'm
>right.  So far it's all coming back grand!
>
>The precedent is a big deal though - if the Justice Dept is willing to
>pound a small fish for not so much, they'd have to do at least as much
>in this case.

The whole question is who initially leaked the information, and there is as yet 
no public evidence of who did it. In court, it has nothing to do with what you 
know and everything to do with what you can prove. 

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