Just some analysis on my part, but yesterday's meeting with Bush that
Maliki skipped and the leaked memo suggest that the battle for Baghdad
might be about to begin.

It would seem that Bush is sending a message to Maliki: don't align
yourself with Sadr because we're going to take him out.

Maliki is thinking the Americans are about to pull out and looking at
Sadr's 40,000 troops and thinking he better side with the big local
boy on the block (never mind that Sadr is VERY friendly with Iran
these days).

Therefore I would say that we're seeing the political battle prior to
the physical battle for Baghdad.

So the US would seem to have 2 options:

1.) To fight Iran we engage in a battle to the death with Sadr and his
40k troops, or
2.) We commit to staying in Iraq for a long time and hope the other
20+ factions fighting don't overwhelm us.

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