On your point, fresh evidence that the Iranian govt. is directly backing the
Shiite militias in Iraq:

http://abcnews.go.com/International/IraqCoverage/story?id=2688501

We should have taken out that thug Sadr back in 2004 when we issued a
warrant for his arrest. Now it's going to be a big fight. We still have to
do it, though, otherwise we're going to end up pulling out and leaving Iraq
to a full-scale war between Sunnis backed by Jordan and Shiites backed by
Iran. It will be interesting to see where Syria falls in this fight- Sunni
Baathist government but allied by proxy with the Shiite militias via their
alliance with Iran.


On 11/30/06, Gruss wrote:
>
> Just some analysis on my part, but yesterday's meeting with Bush that
> Maliki skipped and the leaked memo suggest that the battle for Baghdad
> might be about to begin.
>
> It would seem that Bush is sending a message to Maliki: don't align
> yourself with Sadr because we're going to take him out.
>
> Maliki is thinking the Americans are about to pull out and looking at
> Sadr's 40,000 troops and thinking he better side with the big local
> boy on the block (never mind that Sadr is VERY friendly with Iran
> these days).
>
> Therefore I would say that we're seeing the political battle prior to
> the physical battle for Baghdad.
>
> So the US would seem to have 2 options:
>
> 1.) To fight Iran we engage in a battle to the death with Sadr and his
> 40k troops, or
> 2.) We commit to staying in Iraq for a long time and hope the other
> 20+ factions fighting don't overwhelm us.
>
> 

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