On Fri, Jan 23, 2009 at 1:23 PM, Scott S wrote:

> Just for the sake of asking, isn't this something that the UN should've
> handled.
>

If the UN wasn't Club Med for dictators, it might have been successful.



> Shouldn't our efforts have been pointed in the direction of leaning on
> the UN to remove Saddam.
>

We did everything we could at the UN. The French, Russians, and Chinese
didn't give a damn about Saddam. The oil for food program was a joke, Saddam
co-opted officials at the UN and in governments around the world with
payoffs, and he made billions in illegal oil sales. The only things that
kept him semi-honest were the no-fly zone and the embargo, which
successfully cut off Iraq from oil infrastructure and limited Saddam's
ability to produce oil.


> I'm still of the opinion that going after Saddam and  Al Queda with the
> US Armed Forces is like swatting a fly with a shotgun.


Agreed. What were the alternatives? Even Clinton and Gore said we would have
to deal with Saddam eventually. So what else could we do?

1. Do nothing and watch Saddam escape the embargo and re-arm.
2. ? I have no idea.

If our intelligence services hadn't been gutted in the 80's and raped by
> Aldrich Ames we would've been able to handle Hussein and Bin Laden in
> the way that they should've been:
> quietly, and discreetly.
>

Knowing what we know today, I don't think we could have infiltrated the
Iraqi government, but it certainly would have been worth a shot.


> And the might of our armed forces could be pointed squarely where it
> should be: at North Korea, Iran and Darfur
>

North Korea can be handled by containment, but the civilian cost of military
action would be so high that we could never justify a pre-emptive attack. It
will be interesting to see what happens when Kim Jong Il dies. Maybe the
leadership will loosen control, but as long as they have all that weaponry
pointed at South Korea, we're stuck.

Iran, we, maybe the economic collapse may take care of them for us, because
they are getting killed by the price of oil and they can't survive for long
at $33/barrel.

Darfur is a mess. What do we do there? China has the big stake there, they
need to step up, but the odds of them defending innocent civilians in Darfur
is less than zero. We're frozen out at the moment and I don't see that
changing.

But let's not stop there. What about Nigeria? Sri Lanka? Colombia?
Afghanistan? Pakistan? Somalia? A big chunk of the world is screwed up, and
we can only do so much to change things.

If you could pick one place to help bring freedom, peace, and security to
next, where would it be, and what form would our assistance take?

 I think I might choose Mexico because it is so strategically important to
us. As to what form assistance would take, military assistance to the
Mexican government against the cartels is what I would offer, but it would
have to be accompanied by structural changes in Mexico to open the economy
more, provide transparency, a safe framework for foreign investment, and
some other things. Maybe legalization/decriminalization of marijuana would
be part of the deal, I don't know. The only way we are ever going to break
the cartels is to legalize their market and force them to become legitimate
businesses. Fighting drug use is never going to work, we have to figure out
something else.


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