I want to know how many of you are going to use 'shit-tons' as part of your
conversations now :D

On Sun, Apr 5, 2009 at 2:07 PM, Gruss Gott <[email protected]> wrote:

>
> > RoMunn wrote:
> >
> > What do you think would happen if the sun provided the earth with 2% more
> or
> > less total radiation than it does today? The planet would be a furnace or
> a
> > ball of ice, and there is absolutely nothing we could do about it.
> >
>
> The thing I find surprising is that someone would be so bold as to try
> to predict something like this.
>
> The correct answer is Scotts: we don't know, we need to know more, if
> we're going to spend money on something it should be that, but it
> needs to be well throught through.
>
> Statistically, the question is are we in "common cause" temperature
> variation or "special cause" variation.  The unfortunate part of this
> type of analysis is that you typically don't know you're in
> special-cause until things break.
>
> The financial crisis is a great example of this.  Leverage and swaps
> were rising exponentially but the Bush administration amongst most
> others poo-pooed the idea that anything was wrong until the shit hit
> the fan.
>
> In this case we simply cannot afford to wait.
>
> Thus we need to begin extensive research immediately on the order of,
> say, $100 billion.
>
> If what Ian says is true, we have some pretty good evidence we're in
> special-cause which means the entire globe better start spending
> shit-tons of money.
>
> But let's confirm that.
>
> 

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