> Ian wrote: > I would argue that by the year 2200 or 2300 science will probably have a > pretty good idea what type of warming is happening now and what caused it. > > Whether or not that knowledge does them any good is a giant open question. >
Unfortunately if these past 10 years are a "special cause" trend we'll know a helluva lot sooner than that. Technically it takes 6 to make a special cause trend, but then the time frame needs to be long enough to make that trend relevant. With that rule in mind we've had essentially 2 decades of increasing global temps which would mean we'd need 4 more to statistically verify a global warming trend. Add in a 7th just to be safe. Therefore by 2060 we'll know if we've for sure got a trend that'll kill humans. At that point the question will be will the trend kill all humans or just most of us. ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~| Want to reach the ColdFusion community with something they want? Let them know on the House of Fusion mailing lists Archive: http://www.houseoffusion.com/groups/cf-community/message.cfm/messageid:308721 Subscription: http://www.houseoffusion.com/groups/cf-community/subscribe.cfm Unsubscribe: http://www.houseoffusion.com/cf_lists/unsubscribe.cfm?user=89.70.5
