correlation != causation (unless, so it seems, that it supports your position)

On Mon, Jan 11, 2010 at 2:46 PM, Larry C. Lyons <[email protected]> wrote:
>
> I'll bet $500. Although given your time frame I'll want interest on
> the amount as well.
>
> Just for a thought experiment, get NOAA's temperature recordings in
> the US for the last 140 years  - 1860 on. Now do a moving average
> analysis. You'll see there is a steady upwards trend since the
> recordings were first kept. Now look at the measurements over the last
> 50 years. You'll see that the temperature increase is statistically
> significant. now plot that 140 year curve against the output of
> greenhouse gasses for the same time period. Guess what there is very
> little difference between the two curves. To me that strongly supports
> the current climate change hypotheses.
>
> Moreover when reputable scientific organizations like NOAA,and the
> IOS all support the global climate change theory, that seals it for
> me.
>
> given teh weight of scientific opinion vs a few crank climate deniers,
> I'll go with the scientific consensus.
>
> On Mon, Jan 11, 2010 at 2:30 PM, Robert Munn <[email protected]> wrote:
>>
>> I love it! None of you can bear to admit you got suckered.
>>
>> Here's a bet - twenty years from now the average temperature will be lower
>> than it was last year.
>>
>>
>> On Mon, Jan 11, 2010 at 11:27 AM, Dana  wrote:
>>
>>>
>>> no it's not ;) when I wear a watch I wear it on the inside left wrist. Not
>>> that I wear a watch much any more.
>>>
>>
>>
>>
>
> 

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