Actually, correlation does imply causation. It just doesn't mean causation.

Besides, a trend doesn't not implicate a cause out of necessity. Larry
said the data showed a sustained increase in average temperature since
1890, therefore he's willing to be that it will be warmer 20 years
from now than it is today.

A child sees the sun come up every day of their life. They are willing
to bet that the pattern will repeat and the sun will be coming up
tomorrow. They do not generally understand why the sun will come up
tomorrow but their belief in the pattern is none the less rational.

There is a pretty clear pattern, haters not withstanding. There is
disagreement about the underlying mechanics and the degree to which
human activity plays a dominant role in the trend. Some people want to
bet against the pattern and they have their reasons for it. That's
pretty much the big picture.

Judah

On Mon, Jan 11, 2010 at 11:56 AM, Larry C. Lyons <[email protected]> wrote:
>
> That's a nice mantra, keep believing it. Myself I prefer the extended
> version of the saying:
>
> Correlation does not imply causation, but it does waggle its eyebrows
> suggestively and gesture furtively while mouthing "look over there".
>
> On Mon, Jan 11, 2010 at 2:50 PM, Scott Stroz <[email protected]> wrote:
>>
>> correlation != causation (unless, so it seems, that it supports your 
>> position)

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