So, since Idaho entered the union in 1890, and has been a state ever since. Does this imply that global warming is caused by Idaho being a state?
Based on 'repeating pattern' theory we can never expect the climate to get cooler, right? Since its only gotten 'warmer' recently, we should only expect it to get warmer. Using that theory, when I wake up at 6:00 AM and it starts to get more light out, would it be a safe assumption that it will continue to get brighter and brighter until it blinds us all? No, because we would look at a larger set of data, which shows that the sun rises and sets on a cycle, much like our own climate. It gets warmer, then it cools down, then it gets warmer. Been happening for millions of years. On Mon, Jan 11, 2010 at 3:03 PM, Judah McAuley <[email protected]> wrote: > > Actually, correlation does imply causation. It just doesn't mean causation. > > Besides, a trend doesn't not implicate a cause out of necessity. Larry > said the data showed a sustained increase in average temperature since > 1890, therefore he's willing to be that it will be warmer 20 years > from now than it is today. > > A child sees the sun come up every day of their life. They are willing > to bet that the pattern will repeat and the sun will be coming up > tomorrow. They do not generally understand why the sun will come up > tomorrow but their belief in the pattern is none the less rational. > > There is a pretty clear pattern, haters not withstanding. There is > disagreement about the underlying mechanics and the degree to which > human activity plays a dominant role in the trend. Some people want to > bet against the pattern and they have their reasons for it. That's > pretty much the big picture. > > Judah > > On Mon, Jan 11, 2010 at 11:56 AM, Larry C. Lyons <[email protected]> > wrote: >> >> That's a nice mantra, keep believing it. Myself I prefer the extended >> version of the saying: >> >> Correlation does not imply causation, but it does waggle its eyebrows >> suggestively and gesture furtively while mouthing "look over there". >> >> On Mon, Jan 11, 2010 at 2:50 PM, Scott Stroz <[email protected]> wrote: >>> >>> correlation != causation (unless, so it seems, that it supports your >>> position) > > ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~| Want to reach the ColdFusion community with something they want? Let them know on the House of Fusion mailing lists Archive: http://www.houseoffusion.com/groups/cf-community/message.cfm/messageid:310212 Subscription: http://www.houseoffusion.com/groups/cf-community/subscribe.cfm Unsubscribe: http://www.houseoffusion.com/cf_lists/unsubscribe.cfm?user=11502.10531.5
