Good guestion Diane...yes there is validity for profiling the genetic
combination of that breeding...but as in everything, we must understand the
value of each test measurement.

I had asked OFA regarding profiling litter and the specific predictive
value.� They have completed data analysis on litter profiles on goldens,
labs, GS and Rotts at 4-6 months of age.�

They indicated that CKCSs would most likely fall in this predictive range.
The purpose for having a litter profiled is that this would give you a look
at that genetic combination of that breeding and their possible recessive
traits.

The results are:
Sensitivity= 80% reported
A rate that indicates the percent of dogs with the disease who are CORRECTLY
classified as having the disease.

Specificity= 97% reported
A rate that indicates the percent of dogs WITHOUT disease who are correctly
classified as not having the disease

Predictive Value:
High Sensitivity + High Specificity Rates = Excellent Predictive Value; this
has good predictive values.

As you can see this has a very high specificity level of 97%...the negative
is that you have a 80% sensitivity rate indicating 20% chance of false
positives.so you may remove dogs from your breeding program that are not
truly problematic.  That is why it is important...I feel to re-evaluate at 2
years of age and maybe at 5 years of age.

This is Just Food for Thought...
Kathy Yonkers
Stuarthome CKCS

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