On Wed, 2008-10-08 at 19:11 -0700, David Fotland wrote:
> I suggest you filter all but the very strongest players, to get a more
> accurate komi, from the strongest games.

There is a trade-off here of course.   If you only look at a small
sample you can have a lot of error.  

I'll have 2 constraints:  only games where players are within N ELO
(probably 100) of each other and only games where the weakest is
stronger than E elo.    I'll publish the data for various values of N
and E.

I also won't consider games lost on Time for this purpose and I will use
the ELO calculation from Bayeselo, not the current ratings when the
games were played. 

- Don




> 
> David
> 
> > -----Original Message-----
> > From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] [mailto:computer-go-
> > [EMAIL PROTECTED] On Behalf Of Don Dailey
> > Sent: Wednesday, October 08, 2008 7:03 PM
> > To: Erik van der Werf
> > Cc: computer-go
> > Subject: Re: [computer-go] 7.5-komi for 9x9 in Beijing
> > 
> > 
> > Let me check CGOS statistics based on relatively evenly match
> > opponents and I will filter out players that are pretty weak.  Then
> > I'll present the data.
> > 
> > CGOS is not really a democracy, but I do care about the wishes of the
> > program authors.   So after I show some data,  if it's highly in favor
> > of white I would like to hear from those opposed and those in favor of
> > going to 6.5 komi.    I am interested also in HOW opposed or HOW much
> > in
> > favor you are.   But let's wait for the data first.
> > 
> > - Don
> > 
> > 
> > 
> > 
> > On Thu, 2008-10-09 at 01:09 +0200, Erik van der Werf wrote:
> > > Maybe we could just do a vote?
> > >
> > > Erik
> > >
> > >
> > > On Wed, Oct 8, 2008 at 11:56 PM, Don Dailey <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
> > > > On Wed, 2008-10-08 at 22:43 +0200, Erik van der Werf wrote:
> > > >> > The only reason I would favor one over the other is if it turned
> > > >> > out that in "practical play" the games ended up
> > > >> closer.
> > > >> > For instance if black won a 53% at 6.5 komi and white wins 51%
> > at
> > > >> 7.5
> > > >> > komi, I would favor 7.5 because it kept the scores close.
> > > >>
> > > >> Last week I was told that, with 7.5 komi against itself, Mogo wins
> > > >> over 60% as White. Also against my own program I have much better
> > > >> chances when playing White.
> > > >
> > > > I really don't trust this after doing the Leela experiments.
> > > >
> > > > Also, I studied this a while back with CGOS data and saw a very
> > tiny
> > > > advantage for white, not much.  This was even when I filtered the
> > > > weaker opponents out.  I suppose I could do this again but it
> > > > doesn't seem to prove anything.
> > > >
> > > >> As programs become stronger the advantage for one side with
> > > >> fractional komi will inevitably become totally unbalanced. At some
> > > >> point we will approach 100% and then I rather have that go to the
> > > >> first player. The only fair alternative is to use integer komi.
> > > >
> > > > I think we have a long time for that to happen.    When that day
> > comes,
> > > > 9x9 will be like checkers is now,  you have to play 10 or 20 draws
> > > > just to get 1 or 2 wins.
> > > >
> > > > - Don
> > > >
> > > >
> > > >
> > > >
> > > >>
> > > >
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> > > >
> 
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