On Wed, Oct 27, 2010 at 12:33 PM, Petri Pitkanen
<[email protected]> wrote:
> Not it woudl not be very simple. As these definitions have amount time set.
> So If we compare tournament chess game about 4 hours. We must compare it to
> poker session lasting four hours. Meaning about 200-400 hands. Probability
> that a noob would win champion on that is extremely low.
Why so low?
A strategy that folds all hands except pocket aces and kings and does
some scripted thing with the latter would have a reasonable chance of
coming out ahead after 200-400 hands. I don't know enough to estimate
the actual probabilities, but definitely not in the 10^{-20-30} range,
much-much higher, I wouldn't be surprised if it had a 1% chance or so
against even a pro (who does not know in advance what strategy the
opponent employs).
I don't know much about poker, but I heard that the pros regard poker
as one unending game, which is probably as close to the objective
truth as it gets. You can easily get lucky or unlucky even across
thousands of hands, all poker players have had such up/down streaks.
With best regards,
Sergey Nikolenko.
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