Hello Nick,

> You are proposing that the tournament should start by pairing strong 
> players with weak players, and claiming that this is more likely to 
> result in the strongest player winning the tournament.  I don't see it.

A formal proof for the general case. "Only" special cases (for instance
with one top player, (n-1) semi-strong players, n weak players) have
been proven.

However, one can run "some" simulations to get a feeling for it.
The following model (with wins and losses only) will do:
For each player i a positive number r[i] is given, his rating.
When i plays j, i will win with prob
r[i] / ( r[i] + r[j] ),
and j will win with
r[j] / ( r[i] + r[j] ).
For simplicity we assume that different games run independently of 
each other.

Select some set of 2*n strengths and try
different pairing schemes to see, how often
which player wins.

Ingo.
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