Do see Karthik Shashidhar's piece on this in Mint that just came out:

http://www.livemint.com/Specials/t5687TxRCE3aKu4svfHXrK/Assembly-elections-Analysing-NOTA.html


On Mon, Dec 9, 2013 at 6:29 PM, Sreenivas KN <[email protected]> wrote:

> Thanks. very informative.
>
>
> On Mon, Dec 9, 2013 at 6:22 PM, Srinivasan Ramani <[email protected]
> > wrote:
>
>> The NOTA % from my calculations show as 0.64% for Delhi overall.
>>
>> There are only four constituencies where NOTA% exceeds margin of victory.
>> Details are here -
>>
>>    *constituency* *votes* *candidate* *Vote%* *%Margin bet.
>> Winner/Runner* *NOTA More?*  DELHI CANTT 478  None of the Above 0.73 0.54
>>  Yes  R K PURAM 528  None of the Above 0.63 0.39  Yes  SULTANPUR MAJRA
>> 1232  None of the Above 1.17 1.05  Yes  VIKASPURI 1426  None of the Above
>> 0.79 0.22  Yes
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>
>> On Mon, Dec 9, 2013 at 5:33 PM, Sreenivas KN <[email protected]> wrote:
>>
>>> i agree with your logic. the latest numbers show 1% for delhi, 3% in
>>> chhattisgarh, 2% in Rajasthan and MP. NOTA could have had significant
>>> effect in Delhi and chhattisgarh when the vote share between 2 parties are
>>> very close and a decimal point shift could lead to significant shifts in
>>> results. the logic stated in delhi, people who could have gone to vote for
>>> NOTA (during elections) have chosen AAP on the rebound. would there be a
>>> way to prove this otherwise
>>>
>>> it could give a perspective "what if"? did somebody not put the right
>>> amount of effort in convincing the NOTA group to vote? the reason for
>>> interest in NOTA  is that 33% of delhites did not vote also. would there be
>>> some lessons to be learnt from this.
>>>
>>> regards.
>>>
>>>
>>> On Mon, Dec 9, 2013 at 5:03 PM, Srinivasan Ramani <
>>> [email protected]> wrote:
>>>
>>>> Thanks...
>>>>
>>>> NOTA numbers for Delhi are very low and practically insignificant. Only
>>>> 0.5% of the total vote seem to be NOTA and although in some constituencies
>>>> where difference between the winner and the loser has been very narrow, I
>>>> am not sure NOTA was the reason for victory/defeat. I think including NOTA
>>>> would bring about an "induced bias" on the reason for results.
>>>>
>>>>
>>>> On Mon, Dec 9, 2013 at 4:59 PM, Sreenivas KN <[email protected]>wrote:
>>>>
>>>>> Cool job and very fast.
>>>>>
>>>>> Can the NOTA numbers / percentages be added for each constituency
>>>>> database. this could be significant since voter percentages who chose NOTA
>>>>> can turn the tables... in many places
>>>>>
>>>>> good to see it live. many thanks.
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>> On Mon, Dec 9, 2013 at 4:38 PM, Srinivasan Ramani <
>>>>> [email protected]> wrote:
>>>>>
>>>>>> Here's a map I created using Google Fusion Tables -
>>>>>> http://bit.ly/IWSeCq (Click on constituency to view more details).
>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>> On Mon, Dec 9, 2013 at 1:47 PM, Sreenivas KN <[email protected]>wrote:
>>>>>>
>>>>>>> hi.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> yes. the tabular format provides for votes polled against each
>>>>>>> candidate and constituency wise. looks like we have to scrape the MIS 
>>>>>>> back
>>>>>>> to xls or some other format and then attach the geocodes already 
>>>>>>> available.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> for ready made maps - maybe somebody from the TV channels / media
>>>>>>> who have already done it and used in the election results discussions
>>>>>>> yesterday (Times NOW had some interesting visualizations) can help.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> else, it is hard wok for now. :)
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> If somebody can work on the impact of NOTA (none of the above
>>>>>>> option) on the losers (in terms of margin of loss versus NOTA), it can 
>>>>>>> show
>>>>>>> some interesting patterns. This is crucial since Chhattisgarh saw a 3% 
>>>>>>> NOTA
>>>>>>> and the difference between congress and bjp vote share was less than 
>>>>>>> NOTA
>>>>>>> and New Delhi 1%. this is interesting behavioural science to track.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> regards.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> On Mon, Dec 9, 2013 at 1:30 PM, Pukhraj Singh <[email protected]>wrote:
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>> Konark: Check this
>>>>>>>> http://eciresults.ap.nic.in/ConstituencywiseU054.htm?ac=4.
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>> Sreenivas: I am really keen to know the margins of the runner-ups,
>>>>>>>> and other such secondary or tertiary details. Can the ECI's MIS data be
>>>>>>>> culled and made more interactive?
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>> On Mon, Dec 9, 2013 at 1:24 PM, Sreenivas KN <[email protected]>wrote:
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>> the closest we have for now is the results link below. this MIS
>>>>>>>>> went live at around 8 pm last evening.
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>> http://eciresults.ap.nic.in/
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>> nevertheless, not user-friendly
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>> Hope this helps for starters...
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>> On Mon, Dec 9, 2013 at 1:02 PM, konark modi <[email protected]
>>>>>>>>> > wrote:
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>> Hi Pukhraj,
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>> Not for the 2013 elections as I am awaiting for data to be
>>>>>>>>>> released.
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>> For previous years I have done some work with the limited data I
>>>>>>>>>> could find :
>>>>>>>>>> http://indiaelecting.com
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>> Regards
>>>>>>>>>> Konark
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>> On Mon, Dec 9, 2013 at 1:00 PM, Pukhraj Singh 
>>>>>>>>>> <[email protected]>wrote:
>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>> Greetings!
>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>> Has someone done advanced analytics for the Delhi results? A
>>>>>>>>>>> geographical outlay of the vote shares, runner-ups, etc., would be 
>>>>>>>>>>> very
>>>>>>>>>>> useful.
>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>> Best,
>>>>>>>>>>> Pukhraj
>>>>>>>>>>> Founder, Abroo
>>>>>>>>>>> www.abroo.in
>>>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>>>
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>>>>>> --
>>>>>> Best Regards,
>>>>>> Srinivasan V. Ramani ,
>>>>>> Senior Assistant Editor,
>>>>>> Economic and Political Weekly ,
>>>>>>
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