Download CSV here: https://www.dropbox.com/s/vude8hbtupp8tda/2013-Chg-Delhi-MP-Raj-Assembly-Result.csv
Thanks... Vikas sent from my phone On Dec 9, 2013 8:01 AM, "Pavan Srinath" <[email protected]> wrote: > Do see Karthik Shashidhar's piece on this in Mint that just came out: > > > http://www.livemint.com/Specials/t5687TxRCE3aKu4svfHXrK/Assembly-elections-Analysing-NOTA.html > > > On Mon, Dec 9, 2013 at 6:29 PM, Sreenivas KN <[email protected]> wrote: > >> Thanks. very informative. >> >> >> On Mon, Dec 9, 2013 at 6:22 PM, Srinivasan Ramani < >> [email protected]> wrote: >> >>> The NOTA % from my calculations show as 0.64% for Delhi overall. >>> >>> There are only four constituencies where NOTA% exceeds margin of >>> victory. Details are here - >>> >>> *constituency* *votes* *candidate* *Vote%* *%Margin bet. >>> Winner/Runner* *NOTA More?* DELHI CANTT 478 None of the Above 0.73 >>> 0.54 Yes R K PURAM 528 None of the Above 0.63 0.39 Yes SULTANPUR >>> MAJRA 1232 None of the Above 1.17 1.05 Yes VIKASPURI 1426 None of >>> the Above 0.79 0.22 Yes >>> >>> >>> >>> >>> >>> >>> >>> >>> On Mon, Dec 9, 2013 at 5:33 PM, Sreenivas KN <[email protected]> wrote: >>> >>>> i agree with your logic. the latest numbers show 1% for delhi, 3% in >>>> chhattisgarh, 2% in Rajasthan and MP. NOTA could have had significant >>>> effect in Delhi and chhattisgarh when the vote share between 2 parties are >>>> very close and a decimal point shift could lead to significant shifts in >>>> results. the logic stated in delhi, people who could have gone to vote for >>>> NOTA (during elections) have chosen AAP on the rebound. would there be a >>>> way to prove this otherwise >>>> >>>> it could give a perspective "what if"? did somebody not put the right >>>> amount of effort in convincing the NOTA group to vote? the reason for >>>> interest in NOTA is that 33% of delhites did not vote also. would there be >>>> some lessons to be learnt from this. >>>> >>>> regards. >>>> >>>> >>>> On Mon, Dec 9, 2013 at 5:03 PM, Srinivasan Ramani < >>>> [email protected]> wrote: >>>> >>>>> Thanks... >>>>> >>>>> NOTA numbers for Delhi are very low and practically insignificant. >>>>> Only 0.5% of the total vote seem to be NOTA and although in some >>>>> constituencies where difference between the winner and the loser has been >>>>> very narrow, I am not sure NOTA was the reason for victory/defeat. I think >>>>> including NOTA would bring about an "induced bias" on the reason for >>>>> results. >>>>> >>>>> >>>>> On Mon, Dec 9, 2013 at 4:59 PM, Sreenivas KN <[email protected]>wrote: >>>>> >>>>>> Cool job and very fast. >>>>>> >>>>>> Can the NOTA numbers / percentages be added for each constituency >>>>>> database. this could be significant since voter percentages who chose >>>>>> NOTA >>>>>> can turn the tables... in many places >>>>>> >>>>>> good to see it live. many thanks. >>>>>> >>>>>> >>>>>> >>>>>> >>>>>> On Mon, Dec 9, 2013 at 4:38 PM, Srinivasan Ramani < >>>>>> [email protected]> wrote: >>>>>> >>>>>>> Here's a map I created using Google Fusion Tables - >>>>>>> http://bit.ly/IWSeCq (Click on constituency to view more details). >>>>>>> >>>>>>> >>>>>>> On Mon, Dec 9, 2013 at 1:47 PM, Sreenivas KN <[email protected]>wrote: >>>>>>> >>>>>>>> hi. >>>>>>>> >>>>>>>> yes. the tabular format provides for votes polled against each >>>>>>>> candidate and constituency wise. looks like we have to scrape the MIS >>>>>>>> back >>>>>>>> to xls or some other format and then attach the geocodes already >>>>>>>> available. >>>>>>>> >>>>>>>> for ready made maps - maybe somebody from the TV channels / media >>>>>>>> who have already done it and used in the election results discussions >>>>>>>> yesterday (Times NOW had some interesting visualizations) can help. >>>>>>>> >>>>>>>> else, it is hard wok for now. :) >>>>>>>> >>>>>>>> If somebody can work on the impact of NOTA (none of the above >>>>>>>> option) on the losers (in terms of margin of loss versus NOTA), it can >>>>>>>> show >>>>>>>> some interesting patterns. This is crucial since Chhattisgarh saw a 3% >>>>>>>> NOTA >>>>>>>> and the difference between congress and bjp vote share was less than >>>>>>>> NOTA >>>>>>>> and New Delhi 1%. this is interesting behavioural science to track. >>>>>>>> >>>>>>>> regards. >>>>>>>> >>>>>>>> >>>>>>>> >>>>>>>> >>>>>>>> >>>>>>>> On Mon, Dec 9, 2013 at 1:30 PM, Pukhraj Singh <[email protected]>wrote: >>>>>>>> >>>>>>>>> Konark: Check this >>>>>>>>> http://eciresults.ap.nic.in/ConstituencywiseU054.htm?ac=4. >>>>>>>>> >>>>>>>>> Sreenivas: I am really keen to know the margins of the runner-ups, >>>>>>>>> and other such secondary or tertiary details. Can the ECI's MIS data >>>>>>>>> be >>>>>>>>> culled and made more interactive? >>>>>>>>> >>>>>>>>> >>>>>>>>> >>>>>>>>> On Mon, Dec 9, 2013 at 1:24 PM, Sreenivas KN >>>>>>>>> <[email protected]>wrote: >>>>>>>>> >>>>>>>>>> the closest we have for now is the results link below. this MIS >>>>>>>>>> went live at around 8 pm last evening. >>>>>>>>>> >>>>>>>>>> http://eciresults.ap.nic.in/ >>>>>>>>>> >>>>>>>>>> nevertheless, not user-friendly >>>>>>>>>> >>>>>>>>>> Hope this helps for starters... >>>>>>>>>> >>>>>>>>>> >>>>>>>>>> >>>>>>>>>> On Mon, Dec 9, 2013 at 1:02 PM, konark modi < >>>>>>>>>> [email protected]> wrote: >>>>>>>>>> >>>>>>>>>>> Hi Pukhraj, >>>>>>>>>>> >>>>>>>>>>> Not for the 2013 elections as I am awaiting for data to be >>>>>>>>>>> released. >>>>>>>>>>> >>>>>>>>>>> For previous years I have done some work with the limited data I >>>>>>>>>>> could find : >>>>>>>>>>> http://indiaelecting.com >>>>>>>>>>> >>>>>>>>>>> Regards >>>>>>>>>>> Konark >>>>>>>>>>> >>>>>>>>>>> >>>>>>>>>>> >>>>>>>>>>> On Mon, Dec 9, 2013 at 1:00 PM, Pukhraj Singh <[email protected] >>>>>>>>>>> > wrote: >>>>>>>>>>> >>>>>>>>>>>> Greetings! >>>>>>>>>>>> >>>>>>>>>>>> Has someone done advanced analytics for the Delhi results? A >>>>>>>>>>>> geographical outlay of the vote shares, runner-ups, etc., would be >>>>>>>>>>>> very >>>>>>>>>>>> useful. >>>>>>>>>>>> >>>>>>>>>>>> Best, >>>>>>>>>>>> Pukhraj >>>>>>>>>>>> Founder, Abroo >>>>>>>>>>>> www.abroo.in >>>>>>>>>>>> >>>>>>>>>>>> >>>>>>>>>>>> -- >>>>>>>>>>>> For more details about this list >>>>>>>>>>>> http://datameet.org/discussions/ >>>>>>>>>>>> --- >>>>>>>>>>>> You received this message because you are subscribed to the >>>>>>>>>>>> Google Groups "datameet" group. >>>>>>>>>>>> To unsubscribe from this group and stop receiving emails from >>>>>>>>>>>> it, send an email to [email protected]. >>>>>>>>>>>> For more options, visit >>>>>>>>>>>> https://groups.google.com/groups/opt_out. >>>>>>>>>>>> >>>>>>>>>>> >>>>>>>>>>> -- >>>>>>>>>>> For more details about this list >>>>>>>>>>> http://datameet.org/discussions/ >>>>>>>>>>> --- >>>>>>>>>>> You received this message because you are subscribed to the >>>>>>>>>>> Google Groups "datameet" group. >>>>>>>>>>> To unsubscribe from this group and stop receiving emails from >>>>>>>>>>> it, send an email to [email protected]. >>>>>>>>>>> For more options, visit https://groups.google.com/groups/opt_out >>>>>>>>>>> . >>>>>>>>>>> >>>>>>>>>> >>>>>>>>>> -- >>>>>>>>>> For more details about this list >>>>>>>>>> http://datameet.org/discussions/ >>>>>>>>>> --- >>>>>>>>>> You received this message because you are subscribed to the >>>>>>>>>> Google Groups "datameet" group. >>>>>>>>>> To unsubscribe from this group and stop receiving emails from it, >>>>>>>>>> send an email to [email protected]. >>>>>>>>>> For more options, visit https://groups.google.com/groups/opt_out. >>>>>>>>>> >>>>>>>>> >>>>>>>>> -- >>>>>>>>> For more details about this list >>>>>>>>> http://datameet.org/discussions/ >>>>>>>>> --- >>>>>>>>> You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google >>>>>>>>> Groups "datameet" group. >>>>>>>>> To unsubscribe from this group and stop receiving emails from it, >>>>>>>>> send an email to [email protected]. >>>>>>>>> For more options, visit https://groups.google.com/groups/opt_out. >>>>>>>>> >>>>>>>> >>>>>>>> -- >>>>>>>> For more details about this list >>>>>>>> http://datameet.org/discussions/ >>>>>>>> --- >>>>>>>> You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google >>>>>>>> Groups "datameet" group. >>>>>>>> To unsubscribe from this group and stop receiving emails from it, >>>>>>>> send an email to [email protected]. >>>>>>>> For more options, visit https://groups.google.com/groups/opt_out. >>>>>>>> >>>>>>> >>>>>>> >>>>>>> >>>>>>> -- >>>>>>> Best Regards, >>>>>>> Srinivasan V. 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